Forecast updates

These quick-response articles analyse key events in terms of how we expect them to affect our political and economic forecast, and are closely tied to the structure of our Country Report service.
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Economy | Forecast | Policy trends |April 4th 2024

Europe chart of the week: the business environment outlook

Greece will see the largest improvement, while central Europe will use investment incentives to attract nearshoring.
Politics | Forecast | Political stability |March 19th 2024

Uzbekistan seeks extradition of Karakalpak activist

The Uzbek government will continue to apply pressure on activists residing in the country and abroad.
Economy | Forecast | Fiscal policy outlook |February 1st 2024

Uzbekistan's fiscal consolidation to move slowly

The 2024 budget avoids VAT rises, but sets out plans to increase revenue collection amid a period of higher growth.
Economy | Forecast | Policy trends |December 8th 2023

Europe chart of the week: the Russia-West sanctions game

Russia will continue to adapt to Western sanctions, but some industries will remain under stress.
Politics | Forecast | International relations |November 22nd 2023

Russia starts gas exports to Uzbekistan via Kazakhstan

New gas imports will help to alleviate chronic winter shortages that affect Uzbekistan each year.
Politics | Forecast | International relations |November 8th 2023

French president Macron visits Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan

Nuclear and critical materials co-operation will remain a lynchpin of French interests in Central Asia.
Politics | Forecast | International relations |November 1st 2023

Central Asia looks to boost ties with Gulf states

The two blocs will look to expand untapped trade potential.
Politics | Forecast | International relations |November 1st 2023

US-Central Asia relations are set to grow

A recent summit signals an era of closer co-operation, with a focus on trade and regional connectivity.
Politics | Forecast | International relations |October 17th 2023

Central Asian leaders meet in Dushanbe

Tensions around unsolved border and water-management disputes remain, despite an increased impetus for co-operation.
Politics | Forecast | Political stability |October 5th 2023

Uzbek president demotes chief of staff and promotes daughter

Mr Mirziyoyev seeks to thwart the creation of a rival centre of power and increase the weight of his family in politics.