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Abstract 


Fat mass may be a causal determinant of bone mass, but the evidence is conflicting, possibly reflecting the influence of confounding factors. The recent identification of common genetic variants related to obesity in children provides an opportunity to implement a Mendelian randomization study of obesity and bone outcomes, which is less subject to confounding and several biases than conventional approaches. Genotyping was retrieved for variants of two loci reliably associated with adiposity (the fat mass and obesity-related gene FTO and that upstream of the MC4R locus) within 7470 children from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) who had undergone total body DXA scans at a mean of 9.9 yr. Relationships between both fat mass/genotypes and bone measures were assessed in efforts to determine evidence of causality between adiposity and bone mass. In conventional tests of association, both with and without height adjustment, total fat mass was strongly related to total body, spinal, and upper and lower limb BMC (ratio of geometric means [RGM]: 1.118 [95% CI: 1.112, 1.123], 1.110 [95% CI: 1.102, 1.119], 1.101 [95% CI: 1.093, 1.108], 1.146 [95% CI: 1.143, 1.155]; p < 10(-10) [adjusted for sex, height, and sitting height]). Equivalent or larger effects were obtained from instrumental variable (IV) regression including the same covariates (1.139 [95% CI: 1.064, 1.220], 1.090 [95% CI: 1.010, 1.177], 1.142 [95% CI: 1.049, 1.243], 1.176 [95% CI: 1.099, 1.257]; p = 0.0002, 0.03, 0.002, and 2.3(-6) respectively). Similar results were obtained after adjusting for puberty, when truncal fat mass was used in place of total fat, and when bone area was used instead of bone mass. In analyses where total body BMC adjusted for bone area (BA) was the outcome (reflecting volumetric BMD), linear regression with fat mass showed evidence for association (1.004 [95% CI: 1.002, 1.007], p = 0.0001). IV regression also showed a positive effect (1.031 [95% CI: 1.000, 1.062], p = 0.05). When MC4R and FTO markers were used as instruments for fat mass, similar associations with BMC were seen to those with fat mass as measured by DXA. This suggests that fat mass is on the causal pathway for bone mass in children. In addition, both directly assessed and IV-assessed relationships between fat mass and volumetric density showed evidence for positive effects, supporting a hypothesis that fat effects on bone mass are not entirely accounted for by association with overall bone size.

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J Bone Miner Res. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2010 May 24.
Published in final edited form as:
PMCID: PMC2875165
EMSID: UKMS4666
PMID: 19016587

HOW DOES BODY FAT INFLUENCE BONE MASS IN CHILDHOOD? A MENDELIAN RANDOMISATION APPROACH

Abstract

Fat mass may be a causal determinant of bone mass, but the evidence is conflicting, possibly reflecting the influence of confounding factors. The recent identification of common genetic variants related to obesity in children provides an opportunity to implement a Mendelian randomization study of obesity and bone outcomes, which is less subject to confounding and several biases than conventional approaches. Genotyping was retrieved for variants of two loci reliably associated with adiposity (the fat mass and obesity related gene FTO and that upstream of the MC4R locus) within 7470 children from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) who have undergone total body DXA scans at mean 9.9 years. Relationships between both fat mass/genotypes and bone measures were assessed in efforts to determine evidence of causality between adiposity and bone mass. In conventional tests of association, both with and without height adjustment, total fat mass was strongly related to total body, spinal, upper and lower limb bone mineral content (BMC) (ratio of geometric means [RGM] 1.118 [1.112, 1.123], 1.110 [1.102, 1.119], 1.101 [1.093, 1.108], 1.146 [1.143, 1.155]; p=<10e-10 (adjusted for gender, height and sitting height)). Equivalent or larger effects were obtained from instrumental variable (IV) regression including the same covariates (1.139 [1.064, 1.220], 1.090 [1.010, 1.177], 1.142 [1.049, 1.243], 1.176 [1.099, 1.257]; p=0.0002, 0.03, 0.002, 2.3e-06 respectively). Similar results were obtained after adjusting for puberty, when trunkal fat mass was used in place of total fat, and when bone area was used instead of bone mass. In analyses where total body BMC adjusted for bone area (BA) was the outcome (reflecting volumetric bone density), linear regression with fat mass showed evidence for association (1.004 [1.002, 1.007], p=0.0001). IV regression also revealed a positive effect (1.031 [1.000, 1.062], p=0.05). When MC4R and FTO markers were used as instruments for fat mass, similar associations with BMC were seen to those with fat mass as measured by DXA. This suggests that fat mass is on the causal pathway for bone mass in children. In addition, both directly assessed and IV assessed relationships between fat mass and volumetric density showed evidence for positive effects supporting a hypothesis that fat effects may be important past simple co-association with overall bone size.

INTRODUCTION

There is considerable interest in understanding the factors that influence skeletal development, since this may enable population-based interventions aimed at reducing the burden of osteoporotic fractures in later life by optimising bone mass accrual in childhood. Weight, body composition and particularly lean mass are amongst the strongest determinants of bone mass throughout life, largely reflecting adaptation of skeletal modelling to loading. However, whether fat mass affects skeletal development independently of lean mass remains controversial. For example, obese children have been reported to have a lower bone mass for a given weight in several previous studies (1-5). In contrast, in a study in which indices of proximal femur geometry were derived from hip DXA scans in overweight adolescents, fat mass was not found to influence any skeletal parameter independently of lean mass (6). In a study of 18 obese and 30 non-obese children, bone age in the former group was more advanced, but BMD was similar (7).

Cohort studies of the relationship between fat and bone mass in children and young adults have likewise yielded conflicting results. In 1068 men aged ~19 years, fat mass was positively correlated with tibial cross sectional area as assessed by pQCT, whereas a negative association was observed at the radius, suggesting that adipose tissue acts to stimulate growth of weight-bearing bones only (8). On the other hand, in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), fat mass was positively related to bone mass as reflected by bone mineral content (BMC) in 3032 children at age ~10 years as measured at the total body, upper and lower limbs (9). In contrast, in a study based on 300 subjects aged 13-21, fat mass was not found to be related to either leg or lumbar spine bone mass or femoral or spinal cross sectional area as measured by pQCT (10). These apparently conflicting reports into the relationship between fat and bone mass in childhood are mirrored by findings in adults (11).

A possible explanation for these conflicting results is that the relationship between fat and bone mass is subject to confounding, which distinct studies may adjust for to differing degrees. Diet, physical activity, socio-economic factors, puberty, lean mass and illness are among many factors which may influence both fat and bone mass, and may therefore act as possible confounding factors. In terms of the true nature of any functional relationship between fat and bone mass in childhood, theoretically, fat might exert both positive and negative effects. For example, adipose tissue is known to express aromatase enzymes that convert steroid precursors to estrogen, which has variously been reported to stimulate (12) and suppress periosteal (13) bone growth in childhood. Furthermore, increased leptin levels secondary to higher fat mass have been suggested to mediate the negative association between fat mass and periosteal growth observed at non-weight bearing sites (8). Conversely, fat mass may stimulate bone growth via a direct mechanical action of increased load (14), by association with increased lean mass that occurs in obese subjects (14), by association with the secretion of bone active hormones from pancreatic beta cells (15), or by an indirect action on timing of pubertal events (16).

Mendelian randomisation, whereby genetic variation associated with the risk exposure of interest is used as a non-confounded proxy for that exposure (17,18), represents a potential approach for non-confounded assessment of the relationships which may exist between variables such as fat and bone mass in childhood. The application of this approach has been made possible by the recent discovery of common markers related to the FTO and MC4R genes, which can act as independent genetic associates of a small, but detectable, portion of the variance in human adiposity (19,20). In the present study, we aim to use a Mendelian randomisation approach to explore the relationship between fat and bone mass in childhood, by utilising FTO and MC4R markers as instrumental variable(s) (IV) for fat mass.

METHODS

Study Population

The Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) is a prospective study, which recruited pregnant women with expected delivery dates between April 1991 and December 1992 from Bristol, UK. The cohort is population-based and broadly representative at the point of recruitment (21). Individuals of known non-white ethnic origin were excluded from all analyses. DNA was collected from mothers and children as described previously (22). Of these births, 13988 were alive at 12 months. The present study is based on results for total body DXA scans obtained at a research clinic to which the whole cohort was invited at mean age of 9.8 years. Ethical approval was obtained from the ALSPAC Law & Ethics Committee, and local research ethics committees. Parental consent and child’s assent were obtained for all measurements made.

Measurement of Height, Weight and DXA-Derived Parameters

Of the 7725 children who attended the research clinic at age 9, 7470 agreed to undergo a whole body DXA scan, which was performed using a Lunar Prodigy with paediatric scanning software. At the same time, sitting and standing height were measured using a Harpenden Stadiometer, as was weight using a Tanita Body Fat Analyser and leg length. After exclusion of scans with anomalies (e.g. movement artefacts, artefacts caused by jewellery), complete scans were available for 7336 children. These were evaluated and re-analysed as necessary, to ensure that borders between adjacent sub-regions were optimally placed. Fat mass was expressed as total and trunkal fat mass. Bone variables comprised whole body minus head (hereafter referred to as ‘total body’), upper limb and lower limb BMC, bone area, and ‘areal’ BMD (obtained by dividing BMC by bone area). A more rigorous method for adjusting for skeletal size, area-adjusted BMC (ABMC), was also derived to provide a measure of ‘volumetric’ BMD, by using linear regression to adjust BMC for bone area. The coefficient of variation for total body BMD was 0.8%, based on analysis of results from 122 children who had two scans performed on the same day. DXA variables for the spine were derived from spine sub-regional analysis of whole body scans, excluding scans showing any spinal curvature, as previously described (23).

Genotyping

Genotyping of the FTO SNP rs9939609 was undertaken in 8,480 children (19). Genotyping was performed by KBiosciences (Hoddesdon, UK) using their own system of fluorescence-based competitive allele-specific PCR (KASPar). Details of assay design are available from the KBiosciences website (http://www.kbioscience.co.uk). Genotyping of the MC4R SNP rs17782313 was undertaken in the same manner within the ALSPAC cohort. For this variant 9024 individuals had recorded genotype information. Together with DXA data, for both rs9939609 and rs17782313, this yielded an approximate working sample size of n=5,300 individuals for total body measures, and 3,000 for spine values.

Other Variables

Gender was obtained from birth notifications. A puberty questionnaire was completed by the child’s carer (usually the child’s mother), which included questions on pubertal stage, tanner staging subsequently being based on pubic hair distribution (24). Maternal education was used as a proxy measure for social class as previously described (25).

Statistical Analysis

Relationships with the FTO and MC4R loci, including adjustments for sitting height, height and sex, were assessed via linear regression. In efforts to account for non-gaussian traits, log transformations were undertaken and results shown as geometric means and ratios of change between groups. Analyses assumed an additive genetic model (19) and included analysis of the variants rs9939609 (FTO) and rs17782313 (MC4R) with both basic anthropometric traits and measures of both fat mass and bone composition/area. In all basic analyses, twins and non-Europeans were excluded and covariates were centred for the generation of adjusted means by groups defined by either quantile of fat mass or genotype. Hardy Weinberg equilibrium was tested via exact test using the command “genhwi” (part of the “genassoc” suite of commands, www-gene.cimr.cam.ac.uk/clayton/). All analyses were undertaken using the data analysis software STATA, version 10.

In a Mendelian Randomization framework, we used IV methods to obtain estimates of the association between fat mass and bone related continuous outcomes (26). We used two-stage least squares to fit the IV models in the main analyses (27). Within this model, we used both of the independent, fat mass associated loci (rs9939609 and rs17782313) to explain the largest, non-confounded and non-reverse caused, portion of variance in fat mass possible. Within these models, sex, sitting height and height were included in order to generate adjusted observational estimates of fat mass effect and equivalent estimates derived from IV analysis. This aimed to provide a comparison of best observational relationships between fat mass and bone measures and then to compare these against those known to be uninfluenced by confounding or reverse causation.

We compared the IV estimates to those from ordinary linear regression using the Durbin form of the Durbin-Wu-Hausman statistic, but checked results using the Hansen J statistics (limited information maximum likelihood) and the Anderson-Rubin statistics (generalized method of moments). We examined F-statistics from the first-stage regressions to evaluate the strength of the instruments. Values greater than ten are often taken to indicate sufficient strength to ensure the validity of IV methods (28,29).

RESULTS

Linear regression revealed an expected, positive association between total fat mass tertile, as measured by DXA, and total body, spinal, upper and lower limb BMC after adjustment for sitting height, height and sex (Tables 1A and 1B). For total body, spine, upper and lower limb measurements respectively, the ratios of geometric means (RGMs) between tertiles total fat mass were 1.118 [1.112, 1.123], 1.110 [1.102, 1.119], 1.101 [1.093, 1.108], 1.146 [1.143, 1.155]; p=<10-10. At all sites, fat mass had a similar association with bone area to that seen for BMC. These effects are similar to those reported previously in this cohort (9). In addition, fat mass was positively related to both spinal and total body ABMC, again after adjustment for sex, sitting height and height (RGM 1.004 [1.002. 1.007], p=0.0001 and 1.041 [1.035, 1047], p=<10-10).

Table 1A

Instrumental variable analysis of the effect of fat mass tertile on total body bone variables within the ALSPAC cohort (adjusted)

Bone
measure (n)
Tertile of fat massEffect
(linear regression)
IV effect (IV regression)ffirstpp’WH_p”
012
Bone mineral content (BMC) (g) (n_reg= 6411) (n_IV= 4957)826.62
(822.6, 830.7)
860.5
(856.6, 864.4)
940.1
(935.5, 944.6)
1.118
(1.112, 1.123)
1.139
(1.064, 1.220)
37.82<10-100.00020.6
Bone area (BA) (cm^2) (n_reg= 6411) (n_IV= 4957)1086.4
(1083.1, 1089.6)
1112.7
(1109.6, 1115.8)
1185.1
(1181.6, 1188.7)
1.079
(1.076, 1.083)
1.072
(1.029, 1.118)
37.82<10-100.0010.8
Bone mineral density (BMD) (g.cm^-2) (n_reg= 6411) (n_IV= 4957)0.761
(0.759, 0.763)
0.773
(0.772, 0.775)
0.793
(0.791, 0.795)
1.035
(1.033, 1.038)
1.062
(1.025, 1.101)
37.82<10-100.0010.1
Adjusted BMC (ABMC) (cm^2) (n_reg= 6411) (n_IV= 4957)890.5
(888.7, 892.3)
893.9
(892.2, 895.5)
895.3
(893.6, 897.1)
1.004
(1.002, 1.007)
1.031
(1.000, 1.062)
37.820.00010.050.07

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of DXA scan data on tertiles of total fat mass, values adjusted for gender, height and sitting height. IV effect taken using both MC4R (rs17782313) and FTO (rs9939609) as instruments for trunkal fat mass, adjusting for sex (centred). Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means. P represents p-value from basic linear regression of DXA scan variables on tertile of trunkal fat mass, p’ represents that of instrumental variable analysis using FTO and MC4R genotypes as instruments for trunkal fat mass and p” Wu/Hausmann test for difference between these estimates.

Table 1B

Instrumental variable analysis of the effect of fat mass tertile on spine, upper and lower limb bone variables within the ALSPAC cohort (adjusted)

Bone
measure (n)
Tertile of fat massEffect
(linear regression)
IV effect (IV regression)ffirstpp’WH_p”
012
Spine bone mineral content (BMC) (g) (n_reg= 3572) (n_IV= 2744)72.99
(72.48, 73.51)
75.05
(74.57, 75.53)
82.08
(81.53, 82.65)
1.110
(1.102, 1.119)
1.090
(1.010, 1.177)
34.32<10-100.030.6
Spine bone area (BA) (cm^2) (n_reg= 3572) (n_IV= 2744)97.51
(97.14, 97.89)
98.65
(98.31, 98.99)
102.64
(102.27, 103.02)
1.045
(1.040, 1.049)
1.041
(0.998, 1.086)
34.32<10-100.060.8
Spine bone mineral density (BMD) (g.cm^-2) (n_reg= 3572) (n_IV= 2744)0.749
(0.745, 0.752)
0.761
(0.757, 0.764)
0.800
(0.796, 0.804)
1.063
(1.057, 1.069)
1.047
(0.990, 1.109)
34.32<10-100.10.6
Spine adjusted BMC (ABMC) (g) (n_reg= 3572) (n_IV= 2744)76.54
(76.12, 76.95)
76.96
(76.59, 77.34)
79.55
(79.14, 79.97)
1.041
(1.035, 1.047)
1.020
(0.961, 1.084)
34.32<10-100.50.5
Upper limb BMC (g) (n_reg= 6411) (n_IV= 4957)109.66
(109.01, 110.31)
115.42
(114.80, 116.05)
123.62
(122.90, 124.34)
1.101
(1.093, 1.108)
1.142
(1.049, 1.243)
37.82<10-100.0020.4
Lower limb BMC (g) (n_reg= 6411) (n_IV= 4957)404.96
(402.99, 406.94)
432.14
(430.20, 434.09)
478.51
(476.20, 480.83)
1.149
(1.143, 1.155)
1.176
(1.099, 1.257)
37.82<10-102.30×10-60.5

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of DXA scan data on tertiles of total fat mass, values adjusted for gender, height and sitting height. IV effect taken using both MC4R (rs17782313) and FTO (rs9939609) as instruments for trunkal fat mass , adjusting for sex (centred). Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means. P represents p-value from basic linear regression of DXA scan variables on tertile of trunkal fat mass, p’ represents that of instrumental variable analysis using FTO and MC4R genotypes as instruments for trunkal fat mass and p” Wu/Hausmann test for difference between these estimates.

Comparison of anthropometric and DXA data between those with and without genetic data showed no substantive differences between these groups in all bar fat mass data which show slight elevations of fat in those not genotyped (Table 2). Allele frequencies for the loci rs99439609 and rs17782313 (FTO and MC4R respectively) have been reported for this cohort elsewhere (19) and both loci were seen to adhere to Hardy Weinberg equilibrium within this population. As previously reported (19,30), variation at the FTO and MC4R was consistently associated with fat mass as assessed through a series of body region specific, DXA derived measurements (Table 3).

Table 2

Descriptive characteristics for key variables from the ALSPAC cohort

Variable (units)nGeometric mean (with genotype data)nGeometric mean (without genotype data)p(diff)
Height (cm)5283139.4
(139.3, 139.7)
1662139.3
(139.0, 139.6)
0.3
Sitting Height (cm)532573.25441
(73.17, 73.34)
167473.11
(72.96, 73.26)
0.1
Leg Length (cm)s532566.26
(66.16, 66.37)
167466.21
(66.02, 66.40)
0.7
Total Fat Mass (g)53307216.7
(7106.3, 7328.9)
16767443.7
(7233.5, 7660.1)
0.007
Trunkal Fat Mass (g)53302724.5
(2675.3, 2774.5)
16762819.4
(2725.6, 2916.5)
0.01
Total Lean Mass (g)533024395.7
(24311.8, 24479.9)
167624257.0
(24100.1, 24414.9)
0.2
Total Bone Mineral Content (g)5192876.7
(872.0, 881.5)
1653868.3
(859.5, 877.2)
0.2
Total Bone Area (cm^2)51921129.0
(1124.7, 1133.4)
16531122.8
(1114.8, 1130.8)
0.3
Total Bone Mineral Density (g/cm^2)51920.777
(0.775, 0.778)
16530.773
(0.771, 0.776)
0.05
Total Area Adjusted Bone Mineral Content (g)5192893.6
(892.5, 894.6)
1653892.6
(890.7, 894.6)
0.4
Spinal Bone Mineral Content (g)287876.7
(76.13, 77.25)
93276.09
(75.11, 77.08)
0.3
Spinal Bone Area (cm^2)287899.54
(99.11, 99.98)
93299.18
(98.42, 99.94)
0.4
Spinal Bone Mineral Density (g/cm^2)28780.770
(0.767, 0.773)
9320.767
(0.762, 0.772)
0.3
Spinal Area Adjusted Bone Mineral Content (g)287877.78
(77.53, 78.04)
93277.68
(77.25, 78.11)
0.6
Upper Limb Bone Mineral Content (g)5192116.5
(115.8, 117.2)
1653115.1
(113.9, 116.3)
0.09
Lower Limb Bone Mineral Content (g)5192438.3
(435.7, 440.8)
1653435.4
(430.7, 440.2)
0.6

P-values shown above are derived from a simple student’s t-test for the difference between arithmetic means

Table 3

Relationship between genotypes known to be associated with fat mass and DXA scan results in the ALSAC cohort

Fat measure (n)GenotypeEffect summary
012Effect (linear regression)p
FTO total fat mass (g) (5282)6857.9
(6691.9, 7028.0)
7311.2
(7155.0, 7470.9)
7883.0
(7593.6, 8183.4)
1.071
(1.048, 1.094)
<10-10
FTO trunkal fat mass (g) (5282)2555.2
(2482.5, 2630.0)
2770.0
(2700.4, 2841.4)
3041.7
(2910.6, 3178.8)
1.090
(1.062, 1.117)
<10-10
MC4R total fat mass (g) (5387)7070.8
(6934.1, 7210.1)
7422.3
(7243.6, 7605.4)
7853.7
(7361.7, 8378.5)
1.052
(1.026, 1.078)
0.00008
MC4R trunkal fat mass (g) (5387)2653.7
(2593.4, 2715.3)
2829.9
(2749.9, 2912.3)
3003.2
(2783.0, 3240.9)
1.065
(1.034, 1.097)
0.00002
**FTO total fat mass (g) (5282)6866.5
(6719.0, 7017.2)
7288.5
(7150.2, 7429.4)
7807.3
(7552.7, 8070.4)
1.065
(1.045, 1.086)
<10-10
**FTO trunkal fat mass (g) (5282)2558.7
(2493.1, 2626.1)
2760.4
(2697.9, 2824.4)
3009.4
(2892.3, 3131.1)
1.083
(1.059, 1.108)
<10-10
**MC4R total fat mass (g) (5387)7049.3
(6928.5, 7172.1)
7434.5
(7275.8, 7596.6)
7693.2
(7265.0, 8146.6)
1.050
(1.027, 1.074)
0.00001
**MC4R trunkal fat mass
(g) (5387)
2644.7
(2590.7, 2699.9)
2835.1
(2762.9, 2909.1)
2935.1
(2741.0, 3143.0)
1.064
(1.036, 1.092)
4.6 × 10-6

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of DXA fat mass scan data on FTO (rs9939609) and MC4R (rs17782313) genotypes. Regression results are adjusted for sex (centred). Variables are log transformed for analysis. Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means.

**indicates analyses also adjusted for height at age 9

In the analysis of measures of stature, which are strongly associated with bone mass, both sitting height and height showed strong relationships with fat mass (RGM 1.023 [1.022, 1.024], p=<10e-10 and 1.024 [1.022, 1.025], p=<10-10). Similarly, lean mass was strongly related to fat mass (RGM 1.074 [1.070, 1.078], p=<10-10). Socio-economic status, reflected by level of maternal education, which we previously found to be related to bone mass (25), was also related to fat mass (p=0.003) (Table 4). In contrast to these results, the FTO and MC4R loci used in this study as proxies for fat mass measurement were un-related to any of these factors (Table 5), with the exception of weak associations between the FTO marker, sitting height and lean mass

Table 4

Relationship between fat mass and basic anthropometry in the ALSAC cohort

Anthropometric trait (n) CorrectedTertile of total fat massEffect summary
012Effect
(linear/logistic regression)
p
*Height (cm) (6568)136.2
(135.945, 136.427)
139.6
(139.098, 139.337 )
142.7
(142.455, 142.955)
1.024
(1.022, 1.025)
<10-10
*Sitting height (cm) (6622)71.59
(71.48, 71.71)
73.14
(73.02, 73.26)
74.91
(74.78, 75.03)
1.023
(1.022, 1.024)
<10-10
*Leg length (cm) (6622)64.62
(64.46, 64.77)
66.27
(66.11, 66.42)
67.81
(67.65, 67.97)
1.024
(1.023, 1.026)
<10-10
*Lean mass (g) (6629)22799.6
(22692.3, 22907.5)
24089.5
(23979.2, 24200.3)
26281.4
(26158.8, 26404.8)
1.074
(1.070, 1.078)
<10-10
Mother’s highest educational achievement0.447
(0.428, 0.466)
0.428
(0.415, 0.440)
0.405
(0.386, 0.425)
0.907
(0.851, 0.967)
0.003

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of anthropometric trait and social class data on tertile of total body fat mass (age 9). Regression results are adjusted for sex (centred).

*Variables marked are log transformed for analysis. Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means. Mother’s highest educational achievement is a binary variable derived from the groups 0=CSE + O level + vocational and 1= a level + degree. Proportion in upper group is shown along with OR (95%CI) for association.

Table 5

Relationship between genotypes known to be associated with fat mass and basic anthropometry in the ALSAC cohort

Anthropometric trait (n)FTO GenotypeEffect summary
012Effect
(linear/logistic regression)
p
*Height (cm) (5337)139.3
(139.01, 139.57)
139.4
(139.18, 139.67)
139.6
(139.20, 140.04)
1.001
(0.999, 1.003)
0.2
*Sitting height (cm) (5379)73.12
(72.99, 73.26)
73.26
(73.14, 73.38)
73.36
(73.15, 73.57)
1.002
(1.000, 1.003)
0.04
*Leg length (cm) (5379)66.21
(66.04, 66.38)
66.20
(66.06, 66.35)
66.25
(65.99, 66.51)
1.000
(0.998, 1.002)
0.8
*Lean mass (g) (5139)24255.8
(24122.3, 24390.0)
24393.9
(24275.9, 24512.5)
24580.8
(24375.2, 24788.1)
1.006
(1.002, 1.011)
0.009
Mother’s highest
educational achievement
0.432
(0.412, 0.453)
0.423
(0.409, 0 .437)
0.413417
(0.387, 0.440)
0.960
(0.888, 1.040)
0.3
Anthropometric trait (n) MC4R Genotype Effect summary
012Effect
(linear/logistic regression)
p
*Height (cm) (5449)139.5
(139.23, 139.67)
139.3
(138.99, 139.53)
140.0
(139.28, 140.74)
1.000
(0.998, 1.002)
0.9
*Sitting height (cm) (5491)73.20
(73.105, 73.31)
73.19
(73.06, 73.33)
73.52
(73.16, 73.88)
1.001
(0.999, 1.003)
0.4
*Leg length (cm) (5491)66.27
(66.14, 66.41)
66.09
(65.93, 66.26)
66.58
(66.14, 67.03)
0.999
(0.997, 1.002)
0.7
*Lean mass (g) (5249)24342.3
(24236.9, 24448.2)
24368.6
(24237.1, 24500.5)
24766.8
(24412.2, 25126.5)
1.004
(0.999, 1.010)
0.1
Mother’s highest
educational achievement
0.428
(0.411, 0.445)
0.42302
(0.405, 0.441)
0.419
(0.384, 0.456)
0.982
(0.896, 1.075)
0.7

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of anthropometric trait data on FTO (rs9939609) and MC4R (rs17782313) genotypes. Regression results are adjusted for sex (centred).

*Variables marked are log transformed for analysis. Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means. Mother’s highest educational achievement is a binary variable derived from the groups 0=CSE + o level +vocational and 1= a level + degree. Proportion in upper group is shown along with OR (95%CI) for association.

Variation at rs9939609 (FTO) and rs17782313 (MC4R) was positively related to total body BMC (Table 6A), as found previously (30). These associations partly reflected genetic effects on bone size. For example, total body bone area showed a broadly similar relationship to total body BMC with variation at rs9939609 and rs17782313 (RGM rs9939609/bone area 1.008 [1.002, 1.013], p=0.006 and rs9939609/BMC 1.013 [1.005, 1.020], p=0.002; rs17782313/bone area 1.007 [1.000, 1.013], p=0.04 and rs17782313/BMC 1.011 [1.002, 1.020], p=0.01). Although there was some evidence that these genotypes were also related to total body ABMC (measure of ‘volumetric’ BMD), these associations were relatively weak (RGM rs9939609/ABMC 1.002 [1.000, 1.003], p=0.07 and rs17782313/ABMC 1.002 [1.000, 1.004], p=0.07).

Table 6A

Relationship between total body bone variables and FTO and MC4R genotypes within the ALSPAC cohort

Bone
measure (n)
FTO Genotype (n=5282)MC4R Genotype (n= 5387)
012Effect
(linear regression)
p012Effect
(linear regression)
p
Bone mineral content (BMC ) (g)868.1
(860.5, 875.9)
878.9
(872.0, 885.8)
890.3
(878.3, 902.4)
1.013
(1.005, 1.020)
0.002872.8
(866.7, 879.0)
880.3
(872.6, 888.1)
898.7
(878.0, 919.9)
1.011
(1.002, 1.020)
0.01
Bone area (BA) (cm^2)1122.7
(1115.6, 1129.7)
1130.2
(1124.0, 1136.5)
1140.8
(1129.9, 1151.7)
1.008
(1.002, 1.013)
0.0061126.2
(1120.6, 1131.8)
1132.2
(1125.2, 1139.2)
1145.7
(1127.0, 1164.7)
1.007
(1.000, 1.013)
0.04
Bone mineral density (BMD) (g.cm^-2)0.773
(0.771, 0.776)
0.778
(0.776, 0.780)
0.780
(0.777, 0.784)
1.005
(1.002, 1.007)
0.00040.775
(0.773, 0.777)
0.778
(0.775, 0.780)
0.784
(0.778, 0.791)
1.004
(1.001, 1.008)
0.004
Adjusted bone mineral content (ABMC) (g)892.0
(890.3, 893.7)
894.3
(892.7, 895.8)
894.4
(891.7, 897.0)
1.002
(1.000, 1.003)
0.07892.7
(891.4, 894.1)
893.7
(891.9, 895.4)
897.7
(893.1, 902.3)
1.002
(1.000, 1.004)
0.07

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of DXA scan data on FTO (rs9939609) and MC4R (rs17782313) genotypes. Regression results are adjusted for sex (centred). Variables are log transformed for analysis. Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means.

Equivalent associations were observed with respect to regional BMC as measured at the spine, upper and lower limbs, with the exception that relationships between rs9939609 variation and spinal BMC, and rs17782313 variation and lower limb BMC, were relatively weak (RGM 1.011 [1.000, 1.0211], p=0.05 and 1.011 [1.001, 1.020], p=0.03 respectively) (Table 6B). For spinal ABMC, effects were stronger for rs17782313 than for rs9939609 (RGM 1.008 [1.003, 1.014], p=0.002 and 1.002 [0.998, 1.007], p=0.4 respectively).

Table 6B

Relationship between spine, upper and lower limb bone variables and FTO and MC4R genotypes within the ALSPAC cohort

Bone
measure (n)
FTO Genotype (n= 2921 spine, 5282 limb)MC4R Genotype (n= 2978 spine, 5387 limb)
012Effect
(linear regression)
p012Effect
(linear regression)
p
Spine bone mineral content (BMC) (g)75.84
(74.944, 76.743)
77.20
(76.384, 78.018)
77.18
(75.801, 78.578)
1.011
(1.000, 1.021)
0.0575.70
(74.982, 76.425)
77.78
(76.886, 78.694)
79.32
(76.892, 81.813)
1.026
(1.014, 1.038)
0.00003
Spine bone area (BA) (cm^2)99.01
(98.31, 99.72)
99.88
(99.25, 100.5)
99.91
(98.83, 101.0)
1.005
(0.999, 1.012)
0.0998.93
(98.37, 99.50)
100.3
(99.56, 101.0)
100.7
(98.81, 102.6)
1.011
(1.004, 1.019)
0.002
Spine bone mineral density (BMD) (g.cm^-2)0.766
(0.761, 0.771)
0.773
(0.769, 0.777)
0.772
(0.765, 0.780)
1.005
(1.000, 1.011)
0.060.765
(0.761, 0.769)
0.776
(0.771, 0.781)
0.788
(0.775, 0.801)
1.014
(1.008, 1.021)
9.2×10-6
Spine adjusted bone mineral content (ABMC) (cm^2)77.54
(77.13, 77.96)
77.92
(77.55, 78.29)
77.78
(77.16, 78.41)
1.002
(0.998, 1.007)
0.477.51
(77.18, 77.84)
78.04
(77.64, 78.45)
79.11
(78.02, 80.22)
1.008
(1.003, 1.014)
0.002
Upper limb bone mineral content (BMC) (g)115.4
(114.4, 116.5)
116.7
(115.7, 117.6)
118.4
(116.8, 120.1)
1.013
(1.004, 1.021)
0.003115.8
(115.0, 116.7)
117.2
(116.1, 118.3)
119.4
(116.6, 122.3)
1.013
(1.004, 1.023)
0.005
Lower limb bone mineral content (BMC) (g)433.6
(429.5, 437.7)
439.5
(435.9, 443.2)
446.0
(439.6, 452.4)
1.014
(1.006, 1.022)
0.0009436.5
(433.2, 439.7)
439.9
(435.8, 444.0)
449.1
(438.2, 460.3)
1.011
(1.001, 1.020)
0.03

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of DXA scan data on FTO (rs9939609) and MC4R (rs17782313) genotypes. Regression results are adjusted for sex (centred). Variables are log transformed for analysis. Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means.

In tests for association between FTO and MC4R genotypes and bone mass and other skeletal parameters, adjusting for total fat mass largely attenuated associations between these genotypes and total body, spinal, upper and lower limb BMC and bone area (Tables 7A and 7B). The relatively weak associations between FTO and MC4R genotypes and total body ABMC described above remained so after adjusting for fat mass (RGM rs9939609/ABMC 1.002 [1.000, 10.03], p=0.05 and rs17782313/ABMC 1.002 [1.000, 1.004], p=0.06).

Table 7A

Relationship between total body bone variables and FTO and MC4R genotypes adjusted for total fat mass within the ALSPAC cohort

Bone
measure (n)
FTO Genotype (n= 5282)MC4R Genotype (n= 5387)
012Effect
(linear regression)
p012Effect
(linear regression)
p
Bone mineral content (BMC) (g)879.7
(873.6, 885.8)
877.7
(872.4, 883.1)
874.0
(864.8, 883.3)
0.997
(0.991, 1.003)
0.3878.3
(873.5, 883.1)
876.1
(870.2, 882.1)
883.1
(867.2, 899.2)
1.000
(0.993, 1.007)
0.97
Bone area (BA) (cm^2)1133.4
(1128.0, 1138.9)
1129.2
(1124.4, 1134.0)
1125.7
(1117.4, 1134.0)
0.997
(0.992, 1.001)
0.11131.3
(1127.0, 1135.6)
1128.3
(1123.0, 1133.7)
1131.3
(1117.1, 1145.7)
0.999
(0.994, 1.003)
0.6
Bone mineral density (BMD) (g.cm^-2)0.776
(0.774, 0.778)
0.777
(0.776, 0.779)
0.776
(0.773, 0.780)
1.000
(0.998, 1.003)
0.70.776
(0.775, 0.778)
0.777
(0.774, 0.779)
0.781
(0.775, 0.786)
1.001
(0.999, 1.004)
0.3
Adjusted bone mineral content (ABMC) (cm^2)891.9
(890.1, 893.6)
894.3
(892.7, 895.8)
894.5
(891.9, 897.2)
1.002
(1.000, 1.003)
0.05892.7
(891.3, 894.1)
893.7
(892.0, 895.4)
897.8
(893.3, 902.5)
1.002
(1.000, 1.004)
0.06

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of DXA scan data on FTO (rs9939609) and MC4R (rs17782313) genotypes. Regression results are adjusted for sex and total fat mass (centred). Variables are log transformed for analysis. Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means.

Table 7B

Relationship between spine, upper and lower limb bone variables and FTO and MC4R genotypes adjusted for total fat mass within the ALSPAC cohort

Bone
measure (n)
FTO Genotype (n= 2921 spine, 5282 limb)MC4R Genotype (n= 2978 spine, 5387 limb)
012Effect
(linear regression)
p012Effect
(linear regression)
p
Spine bone mineral content (BMC) (g)76.62
(75.90, 77.34)
76.69
(76.05, 77.34)
75.29
(74.23, 76.38)
0.993
(0.985, 1.001)
0.176.13
(75.56, 76.71)
76.79
(76.09, 77.51)
77.30
(75.41, 79.23)
1.008
(0.999, 1.018)
0.09
Spine bone area (BA) (cm^2)99.58
(99.00, 100.2)
99.52
(99.00, 100.0)
98.54
(97.66, 99.42)
0.996
(0.991, 1.001)
0.199.25
(98.78, 99.72)
99.54
(98.97, 100.1)
99.23
(97.71, 100.8)
1.002
(0.996, 1.008)
0.6
Spine bone mineral density (BMD) (g.cm^-2)0.769
(0.765, 0.773)
0.771
(0.767, 0.774)
0.764
(0.758, 0.770)
0.998
(0.993, 1.002)
0.30.767
(0.764, 0.770)
0.771
(0.767, 0.775)
0.779
(0.768, 0.790)
1.007
(1.001, 1.012)
0.02
Spine adjusted bone mineral content (ABMC) (cm^2)77.67
(77.27, 78.07)
77.84
(77.48, 78.20)
77.49
(76.88, 78.10)
1.000
(0.995, 1.004)
0.877.58
(77.26, 77.90)
77.89
(77.49, 78.28)
78.80
(77.74, 79.88)
1.006
(1.000, 1.011)
0.03
Upper limb bone mineral content (BMC) (g)116.8
(116.0, 117.7)
116.5
(115.8, 117.3)
116.4
(115.0, 117.8)
0.998
(0.991, 1.005)
0.5116.5
(115.8, 117.2)
116.7
(115.8, 117.6)
117.5
(115.2, 119.8)
1.003
(0.995, 1.010)
0.5
Lower limb bone mineral content (BMC) (g)440.1
(437.0, 443.2)
438.9
(436.2, 441.6)
436.8
(432.1, 441.5)
0.996
(0.990, 1.003)
0.3439.5
(437.1, 442.0)
437.6
(434.5, 440.6)
440.3
(432.3, 448.5)
0.998
(0.991, 1.005)
0.6

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of DXA scan data on FTO (rs9939609) and MC4R (rs17782313) genotypes. Regression results are adjusted for sex and total fat mass (centred). Variables are log transformed for analysis. Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means.

IV regressions based on FTO and MC4R genotypes revealed similar associations with skeletal parameters to those found for measured fat mass. For total body, spinal, upper and lower limb BMC, effects of a tertile increase in total fat mass as predicted by IV regression, shown as RGM, were 1.139 [1.064, 1.220], 1.090 [1.010, 1.177], 1.142 [1.049, 1.243], 1.176 [1.099, 1.257]; p=0.0002, 0.03, 0.002, 2.3 × 10-6 respectively (Tables 1A and 1B). Overall, tests for difference between those estimates derived from adjusted observational associations and IV estimates did not yield consistent evidence for shifts in effect. If anything, IV estimates of fat mass effects on total and limb BMC, BMD and ABMC were equal to or larger than those derived from observational analysis, suggesting possible negative confounding or over-adjustment. The opposite was the case for spinal measurements. These differences were not statistically robust. Relationships between fat mass and bone parameters, and IV regressions, were also examined without height adjustment, as shown in Tables 8A and 8B.

Table 8A

Instrumental variable analysis of the effect of fat mass tertile on total body bone variables within the ALSPAC cohort (unadjusted)

Bone
measure (n)
Tertile of fat massEffect
(linear regression)
IV effect (IV regression)ffirstpp’WH_p”
012
Bone mineral content (BMC) (g) (n_reg=6845) (n_IV=5192)766.1
(760.6, 771.5)
858.6
(852.7, 864.6)
1017.5
(1010.4, 1024.6)
1.260
(1.251, 1.268)
1.223
(1.134, 1.319)
26.92<10-10<10-100.5
Bone area (BA) (cm^2) (n_reg=6845) (n_IV=5192)1026.1
(1021.0, 1031.2)
1110.9
(1105.5, 1116.3)
1257.5
(1251.4, 1263.7)
1.181
(1.176, 1.187)
1.132
(1.073, 1.194)
26.92<10-10<10-100.1
Bone mineral density (BMD) (g.cm^-2) (n_reg=6845) (n_IV=5192)0.747
(0.745, 0.749)
0.773
(0.771, 0.775)
0.809
(0.807, 0.811)
1.067
(1.064, 1.069)
1.081
(1.050, 1.113)
26.92<10-10<10-100.3
Adjusted BMC (ABMC) (cm^2) (n_reg=6845) (n_IV=5192)893.6
(892.0, 895.3)
893.9
(892.3, 895.5)
892.4
(890.8, 894.0)
0.999
(0.997, 1.000)
1.028
(1.005, 1.051)
26.920.10.020.006

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of DXA scan data on tertiles of total fat mass. IV effect taken using both MC4R (rs17782313) and FTO (rs9939609) as instruments for trunkal fat mass, adjusting for sex (centred). Means are back-transformed , presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means. P represents p-value from basic linear regression of DXA scan variables on tertile of trunkal fat mass, p’ represents that of instrumental variable analysis using FTO and MC4R genotypes as instruments for trunkal fat mass and p” Wu/Hausmann test for difference between these estimates.

Table 8B

Instrumental variable analysis of the effect of fat mass tertile on spine, upper and lower limb bone variables within the ALSPAC cohort (unadjusted)

Bone
measure (n)
Tertile of fat massEffect
(linear regression)
IV effect (IV regression)ffirstpp’WH_p”
012
Spine bone mineral content (BMC) (g) (n_reg=3810) (n_IV=2878)67.69
(67.03, 68.36)
74.36
(73.67, 75.05)
88.40
(87.58, 89.23)
1.245
(1.234, 1.256)
1.249
(1.154, 1.352)
25.06<10-10<10-100.9
Spine bone area (BA) (cm^2) (n_reg=3810) (n_IV=2878)92.71
(92.15, 93.26)
98.05
(97.49, 98.61)
107.7
(107.1, 108.4)
1.130
(1.124, 1.136)
1.110
(1.057, 1.167)
25.06<10-10<10-100.5
Spine bone mineral density (BMD) (g.cm^-2) (n_reg=3810) (n_IV=2878)0.730
(0.726, 0.734)
0.758
(0.755, 0.762)
0.820
(0.816, 0.825)
1.102
(1.096, 1.108)
1.125
(1.075, 1.176)
25.06<10-10<10-100.3
Spine adjusted BMC (ABMC) (g) (n_reg=3810) (n_IV=2878)76.67
(76.29, 77.06)
76.97
(76.60, 77.33)
79.59
(79.22, 79.97)
1.035
(1.030, 1.040)
1.063
(1.017, 1.111)
25.06<10-100.0070.2
Upper limb BMC (g) (n_reg=6845) (n_IV=5192)101.9
(101.1, 102.7)
115.3
(114.4, 116.1)
133.4
(132.4, 134.4)
1.238
(1.229, 1.247)
1.232
(1.134, 1.338)
26.92<10-10<10-100.9
Lower limb BMC (g) (n_reg=6845) (n_IV=5192)374.7
(372.0, 377.4)
431.2
(428.1, 434.2)
518.6
(514.9, 522.4)
1.297
(1.288, 1.306)
1.237
(1.145, 1.336)
26.92<10-10<10-100.3

Means (95% CI) and effects derived from regression of DXA scan data on tertiles of total fat mass. IV effect taken using both MC4R (rs17782313) and FTO (rs9939609) as instruments for trunkal fat mass, adjusting for sex (centred). Means are back-transformed, presented as geometric means and effects are shown as ratios of geometric means. P represents p-value from basic linear regression of DXA scan variables on tertile of trunkal fat mass, p’ represents that of instrumental variable analysis using FTO and MC4R genotypes as instruments for trunkal fat mass and p” Wu/Hausmann test for difference between these estimates.

DISCUSSION

Previous studies of the relationship between fat and bone mass in childhood have yielded conflicting results, possibly reflecting an influence of confounding factors. In the present investigation, we have confirmed that FTO and MC4R genotypes, which are known to be independent determinants of fat mass (19,30), are also related to bone mass (30). Moreover, the relationship between these genetic markers and bone mass appear to be directed through their effects on fat mass, since the associations between FTO and MC4R genotypes and bone mass were largely attenuated by adjustment for fat mass. In subsequent IV analyses, in which markers of common variation in these loci were used as instruments for fat mass, a similar positive relationship with bone mass was observed to that between fat mass as measured by DXA and bone mass. Mendelian randomisation approaches using IV analyses as described here has previously been used to make causal inferences in a range of epidemiological studies (18). However, a noteworthy aspect of the present investigation is that IV analyses were based on two independent genetic markers located on separate chromosomes.

Compared to measured fat mass, FTO and MC4R polymorphisms can be thought of as (and are shown to be) largely independent of factors which might confound the relationship with bone mass. As such, the present findings suggest that at least part of the observed variance in fat mass is likely to bear a causal relationship with accrual of bone mass in childhood. However, genetic determinants of obesity may still be related to other variables, such as those derived from the possible pleiotrophic action of FTO or MC4R. Although associations between fat and bone mass based on IV analyses are less likely to be explained by confounding factors, this possibility cannot be excluded completely. Nevertheless, to the extent that a causal relationship exists between fat and bone mass, results from IV analysis would appear to exclude reverse causality, whereby bone mass might influence fat mass, since it would seem unlikely that bone mass influences the risk of having genetic markers of obesity. This conclusion would appear to go against recent observations from animal studies suggesting that bone mass may be a determinant of fat mass, based on findings that osteoblast-derived osteocalcin stimulates adipocyte gene expression (31).

The suggestion from our results that a causal relationship exists between fat and bone mass in childhood is consistent with our previous observations in the ALSPAC cohort of a strong association between fat and bone mass, despite adjusting for potential confounding factors such as height and lean mass (9). Moreover, in longitudinal analyses, fat mass was found to predict gain in bone mass over the following two years (9). The magnitude of this fat mass effect, as confirmed by our Mendelian randomisation study, is large enough to have significant implications for public health. For example, there was approximately a one SD difference in BMD between children whose fat mass was in the lower versus upper tertile, which if translated to an adult population equates with a two-fold increase in fracture risk (32). Therefore, population-based strategies intended to reduce fat mass in childhood would appear to run the risk of increasing fracture risk in later life, unless these can be combined with strategies to counteract any negative effect on skeletal development, for example through increased exposure to weight bearing exercise.

Individually, FTO and MC4R polymorphisms also showed broadly similar associations with bone mass to that observed for fat and bone mass. There were nominal indications of fat mass difference between those with and without genotype data, but owing to the essentially random allocation of alleles with respect to this, any systematic effect this may have had will be uniformly distributed. We are therefore confident in our observations that, like fat mass, FTO and MC4R polymorphisms appear positively related to BMC at equivalent regions i.e. total body, spine, upper and lower limb.

As seen for fat mass, these genetic markers exerted their effects on bone mass largely by influencing bone size, as reflected by associations with bone area which were broadly similar to those with bone mass. Although neither FTO or MC4R polymorphisms were found to affect height in the present study, a small positive association between the MC4R locus studied here and height was reported in 90,000 individuals (30). Nevertheless, this association with height was considerably weaker than that with bone size, suggesting these genetic markers predominantly affect periosteal rather than longitudinal bone growth, leading to an increase in bone cross section rather than length, equivalent to effects of fat mass as reported previously (9). The fact that the present study provides further support for the hypothesis that fat mass is a positive influence on periosteal growth is significant, in light of the fact that bone cross sectional area is a major determinant of bone strength and hence fracture risk in later life (33).

Although size effects accounted for the major part of the relationship between fat and bone mass, both IV analyses and observational analysis revealed positive relationships with total body and spinal ABMC, suggesting that the positive influence of fat mass on bone mass also involves effects on volumetric bone density. A tendency for fat mass to enhance volumetric density could result from an increase in cortical/trabecular ratio secondary to suppression of endosteal expansion, or by a gain in trabecular bone mass. Further studies are planned to examine these possibilities, based on analysis of pQCT scan data which we are in the process of acquiring in this cohort.

Whilst the findings from IV analyses largely supported those of sex and anthropometrically adjusted observational analysis, there were trends which may offer insight into the interpretation of previous studies. For example, for total and limb based measures, effects of fat mass on BMC, bone area, BMD and ABMC appeared consistently lower in observational analyses. Although these differences were not robust, it seems likely that these may be the result of a combination of over-adjustment (i.e. with sex, sitting height and height in the model) and the greater ability of genotype effects to provide estimates of lifecourse fat mass effects.

Pleiotrophism, whereby genetic markers affect the outcome of interest independently of the exposure variable (in this instance fat mass), is one of several factors which can complicate interpretation of MR analyses (18). For example, MC4R is known to be a major regulator of cocaine- and amphetamine-regulated transcript (CART) in the hypothalamus, absence of which in mice leads to a low bone mass phenotype secondary to increased bone resorption (34). Moreover, children heterozygous for an MC4R loss of function mutation were found to have increased levels of CART, and reduced bone resorption, as compared with control subjects matched for weight and fat mass (35). To the extent that the rs17782313 rare allele is associated with reduced function of MC4R, alterations in bone resorption could conceivably contribute to the association between this marker and skeletal phenotypes reported here. Nevertheless, the finding that associations between the MC4R marker and skeletal measures were largely attenuated by adjusting for fat mass suggests that any direct effect of this marker on skeletal phenotype independently of fat mass is likely to be relatively weak.

In summary, we have used two independent genetic markers of obesity, related to the FTO and MC4R genes, as instrumental variables to explore the relationship between fat and bone mass in approximately 5000 nine-year-old children. We found that the relationship between these instrumental variables and bone mass mirrored that between bone mass and fat mass as measured by DXA, suggesting that fat mass is on the causal pathway for bone mass. This relationship between FTO and MC4R genetic markers, fat mass and bone mass largely involved effects on bone size, which we assume represents a stimulatory effect of fat mass on periosteal bone formation. In addition, FTO and MC4R polymorphisms and fat mass were both associated with total body and spinal volumetric bone density, suggesting that fat mass may also act to influence bone remodelling.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

We are extremely grateful to all the families who took part in this study, the midwives for their help in recruiting them, and the whole ALSPAC team, which includes interviewers, computer and laboratory technicians, clerical workers, research scientists, volunteers, managers, receptionists and nurses. The UK Medical Research Council, the Wellcome Trust and the University of Bristol provide core support for ALSPAC. This publication is the work of the authors who serve as guarantors for the contents of this paper.

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