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Risk Briefing
Monitoring risk in 180 markets
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World risk: Alert � War in Ukraine
Russia�s invasion has further divided the world into opposing camps, but splits within NATO will emerge again.
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China: "Zero-covid"
The president is doubling down on the policy, although more relaxed quarantine rules are likely in late 2022 and 2023.

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World: Food security
The lack of Russian and Ukrainian exports of sunflower oil, wheat and fertilisers raises the risk of food insecurity.
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US: Recession risks
The US economy must navigate three major risks to avoid a recession in 2022-23.

Africa
Africa: Debt
A heavy debt burden will weigh on overall growth and stability in a number of African countries.


Global risk scenarios
The top 10 global risks.


Who's up and who's down?
Risks have changed in 40 countries over the past month.


Risk Briefing product tutorial
Risk Briefing's risk scenarios are potential developments that might substantially change the business operating environment over the coming two years.

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India: Inflation
Consumer price inflation may see an upside of up to 6% from the current estimate of 4.9%.

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Ukraine: Currency
The Russian invasion will further weaken the hryvnya, inflating Ukraine's debt burden.


Methodology
Lowest risk     Highest risk  
Switzerland 13   Venezuela 86
Singapore 13   Syria 85
Liechtenstein 13   Yemen 84
Denmark 14   Somalia 81
Australia 17   Zimbabwe 78
Country risk scores (100 = highest risk)
Full risk table


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