Vermont Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2016

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2014
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Vermont Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
August 2, 2016
General Election Date:
November 8, 2016

November Election Winner:
TBD
Incumbent Prior to Election:
Phil Scott (R)

State Executive Elections
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Key election dates

Filing deadline (party candidates):
May 26, 2016
Filing deadline (independents):
August 4, 2016
Primary date:
August 9, 2016
General election date:
November 8, 2016
Recount request deadline:
November 23, 2016
Inauguration:
January 5, 2017

Vermont held an election for lieutenant governor on November 8, 2016, with primary elections on August 9.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Incumbent Lt. Gov. Phil Scott (R) was eligible to run for re-election to a third term in office, but is instead seeking election to the office of governor.[1]
  • The office of lieutenant governor has frequently changed party hands since the 1960s.
  • Three Democratic state legislators competed for their party's nomination on August 9. David Zuckerman won the nomination and also won the Progressive Party nomination with write-in votes. One Republican also filed for the seat.
  • Zuckerman won the general election on November 8, 2016.
  • Overview

    The lieutenant governor serves as the president of the state Senate and, in that capacity, can have a great deal of influence over the progression of a bill through committee and onto the floor. Incumbent Phil Scott (R) is seeking election to the office of governor, leaving the 2016 election for lieutenant governor an open race.

    Vermont is currently under Democratic trifecta control: Democrats hold the governorship and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The office of lieutenant governor in Vermont has alternated party control every one or two officeholders since the 1960s, with no party controlling the seat for longer than 13 years. Prior to 1965, Republicans had held the seat since 1854. Recent elections for the seat have not been particularly close—the smallest margin of victory since 2000 was Scott's seven-point win over Steve Howard (D) in 2010.

    Three current Democratic state legislators competed for their party's nomination: state Rep. Kesha Ram Hinsdale, state Rep. and Speaker of the House Shap Smith, and state Sen. David Zuckerman. As of the end of the second quarter, Ram led in fundraising, reporting over $200,000 in total contributions by the end of the second quarter; Smith and Zuckerman reported about $122,000 and $156,000 respectively. All three candidates also earned several key endorsements—Smith was endorsed by former Governor Howard Dean (D), Zuckerman earned the endorsement of U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders (Ind.), and former Governor Madeline Kunin (D) endorsed Ram. Zuckerman defeated Ram and Smith in the August 9 primary.

    Zuckerman also defeated Boots Wardinski in the Progressive Party primary election. Wardinski was the only qualified candidate printed on the ballot; however Zuckerman received 228 write-in votes compared to Wardinski's 150 votes; therefore, Zuckerman competed in the general election as a dual-party candidate.

    Former state Sen. Randy Brock (R) was unopposed in the his party's primary election. Zuckerman won the general election on November 8, 2016.

    Candidates

    David Zuckerman square.jpg

    David Zuckerman (D, Progressive)
    State Sen. since 2013


    Randy Brock square.jpg

    Randy Brock (R)
    State Sen., 2009-2013


    Boots Wardinski.jpg

    Boots Wardinski* (Liberty Union Party)
    Organic farmer, horse logger


    *Under Vermont law, candidates may run for the same office under multiple party affiliations. Wardinski filed for the governor's race both as a Progressive Party candidate and as a Liberty Union Party candidate. Wardinski was defeated by state Sen. David Zuckerman in the August 9 Progressive primary election, but will still appear on the general election ballot on the Liberty Union ticket.

    Results

    General election

    David Zuckerman defeated Randy Brock and Boots Wardinski in the Vermont lieutenant governor election.

    Vermont Lieutenant Governor, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Democratic/Progressive Green check mark transparent.png David Zuckerman 52.18% 159,738
         Republican Randy Brock 45.52% 139,344
         Liberty Union Party Boots Wardinski 2.30% 7,038
    Total Votes 306,120
    Source: Vermont Secretary of State

    Primary elections

    Democratic primary election

    David Zuckerman defeated Shap Smith and Kesha Ram in the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor.

    Democratic primary for lieutenant governor, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes
    Green check mark transparent.png David Zuckerman 42.70% 31,027
    Shap Smith 36.56% 26,569
    Kesha Ram 16.70% 12,133
    Write-in votes 4.04% 2,936
    Total Votes (275 of 275 Precincts Reporting) 72,665
    Source: Vermont Secretary of State

    Republican primary election

    Randy Brock ran unopposed in the Republican primary for lieutenant governor.

    Republican primary for lieutenant governor, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes
    Green check mark transparent.png Randy Brock  (unopposed) 80.53% 37,361
    Write-in votes 19.47% 9,033
    Total Votes (275 of 275 Precincts Reporting) 46,394
    Source: Vermont Secretary of State

    Progressive primary election

    David Zuckerman (write-in) defeated Boots Wardinski in the Progressive primary for lieutenant governor.

    Progressive primary for lieutenant governor, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes
    Green check mark transparent.png David Zuckerman (write-in) 39.58% 228
    Boots Wardinski 26.04% 150
    Write-in votes 34.38% 198
    Total Votes (275 of 275 Precincts Reporting) 576
    Source: Vermont Secretary of State


    Context of the 2016 election

    Primary elections

    A primary election is an election in which voters select the candidate they believe should represent a political party in a general election. Primaries usually take place several months before a general election. Vermont utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary. Vermont state law is unique in that it allows candidates to run in multiple primary elections at the same time, whether for multiple offices or for the same office under multiple parties. However, a candidate may only appear once on the general election ballot.[5][6][7]

    Vermont's primary elections took place on August 9, 2016.

    Incumbent Phil Scott (R)

    Scott first won election in 2010's open race, defeating Democrat Steve Howard by just two percentage points. He won election in 2012 and 2014 by margins of about 17 and 26 respectively. Scott declined to seek re-election in 2016; instead seeking election to the office of governor.

    Prior to his tenure as lieutenant governor, Scott served in the Vermont State Senate for nine years. He is also a small business owner and stock car driver.

    Party control in Vermont

    Vermont is currently under Democratic trifecta control: Democrats have held the governorship and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature since Republican Governor Jim Douglas left office in 2011. The state's electoral votes have gone to the Democratic presidential candidate since 1992, though Vermont went to Republicans for the six presidential elections prior.[8] The state has been represented in the U.S. Senate by Democrat Patrick Leahy since 1975, and by Bernie Sanders since 2007, who won election as an independent candidate but changed party affiliation in 2015 to seek the Democratic nomination for president.

    The office of lieutenant governor in Vermont has alternated party control every one or two officeholders for the past five decades, with no party controlling the seat for longer than 13 years. Prior to 1965, Republicans had held the seat since 1854.

    Republicans have held the office of lieutenant governor for the past thirteen years; incumbent Phil Scott (R) was elected in 2011, and his predecessor, Brian Dubie (R), served from 2003 to 2011. Recent elections have not been particularly close—the smallest margin of victory since 2000 was Scott's seven-point win over Steve Howard (D) in 2010.

    Campaigns

    Race background

    On June 8, 2015, incumbent Governor Peter Shumlin announced he would not seek a fourth term as governor, leaving the 2016 gubernatorial election wide open.[9] A few months later, incumbent Lieutenant Governor Phil Scott (R) announced his intention to run for governor in 2016. This, in turn, left the 2016 lieutenant governor election open.[1]

    Primary elections

    Many state senators from both the Republican and Democratic parties considered running for the office but by September 2015, no current lawmakers had entered the race. Explaining his indecision, Senate Majority Leader Joe Benning said, “I'm thinking it's way too early to be thinking about this.”[10] Outside of the two-party system was Vermont Progressive Party member Dean Corren, who ran unsuccessfully as both a Progressive and a Democrat in 2014. Although Corren lost to Scott by a large margin, he explained to reporters, “That’s a first run, and in Vermont persistence definitely pays off, and people appreciate you coming back and trying again."[10] There were also a handful of other individuals in the fall of 2015 considering running for lieutenant governor on behalf of the Vermont Progressive Party.[11]

    By the end of 2015, the lieutenant governor race had begun to take shape. State Senator David Zuckerman filed to run as a Democrat, also seeking the Progressive Party endorsement. State Reps. Kesha Ram Hinsdale and Shap Smith also filed to run in the Democratic primary election.

    Commodities trader Brandon Riker (D), who is also a grassroots activist and former campaign staffer for Barack Obama and senators Jon Tester and Mark Begich, also considered running, as did journalist Garrett Graff (D).[12].[2] Graff's eligibility came into question in December 2015. He had left Vermont to work as the editor of Politico Magazine in Washington, D.C., but planned to move back to run for the office. Graff said that despite registering, he was still undecided.[2][3] Neither Graff nor Riker ultimately filed for the office.

    On the Republican side, former state senator, auditor and 2012 gubernatorial candidate Randy Brock was the sole Republican to file for the office, leaving him unopposed in the primary election.[2]

    Physician Louis Meyers had initially announced he would run as an independent, but ultimately did not file.[3] Boots Wardinski ran on the Progressive Party ticket.

    Campaign finance

    Note: Cash-on-hand figures were not available. If a candidate is not listed below, he or she did not meet or exceed minimum reporting requirements.

    General election

    Primary candidates

    Debates

    Democratic primary debate: August 1, 2016

    Kesha Ram Hinsdale, Shap Smith, and David Zuckerman debated on Vermont Edition on August 1, 2016.

    Click here to listen to full audio of this debate.

    Primary debate: July 21, 2016

    State Sen. David Zuckerman (D), state Rep. Kesha Ram Hinsdale (D), former Speaker of the House Shap Smith (D), and former state Sen. Randy Brock (R) debated at the Kellogg-Hubbard Library in Montpelier on July 25, 2016. The four candidates discussed topics such as universal healthcare, gun rights, and carbon taxes. All three Democrats expressed support for a universal healthcare system, while Brock questioned how the state would fund such a system. All three Democrats also agreed on universal background checks for all gun sales, while Brock indicated he would not support any new legislation restricting gun rights.

    The candidates also discussed their views on a proposed carbon tax in the state. Brock asserted that the tax would hurt the economy by making the state unfriendly to businesses, while the three Democratic candidates stated that they supported efforts to reduce the impact of global warming.[13]

    Endorsements

    Key endorsements, Democratic primary candidates[14][15][16]
    Kesha Ram (D)David Zuckerman (D)Shap Smith (D)
    Former Governor Madeleine Kunin (D)Vermont State Employees AssociationState House Majority Leader Sarah Copeland-Hanzas (D)
    EMILY's ListVermont Democratic PartyState Senate Assistant Majority Leader Claire Ayer (D)
    Former Secretary of State Don Hooper (D)Sierra Club, Vermont ChapterProfessional Fire Fighters of Vermont
    Chittenden County Sheriff Kevin McLaughlinFormer Governor Phil Hoff (D)Vermont Building & Construction Trades Council
    Rutland County State's Attorney Rose KennedyFormer Lt. Governor Doug Racine (D)Teamsters Local 597
    Democracy for AmericaState Senate Majority Leader Philip Baruth (D)Manchester Journal
    People For the America Way Action Fund's Young Elected ProgressivesU.S. Senator Bernie Sanders (Ind.)State House Assistant Majority Leader Kate Webb (D)
     Executive Committee of the Vermont State Labor Council AFL-CIOFormer Governor Howard Dean (D)
    What is a key endorsement?
    Key endorsements, Republican primary candidates[17]
    Randy Brock (R)
    Former Governor Jim Douglas (R)
    Former Lt. Governor Brian Dubie (R)
    What is a key endorsement?

    Campaign media

    Note: If a candidate is not listed below, Ballotpedia staff were unable to locate any campaign media for that candidate. Do you know of any? Tell us!

    Democrats
    Kesha Ram (D) Campaign website Facebook Twitter Linkedin
    David Zuckerman (D) Campaign website Facebook Twitter YouTube 
    Shap Smith (D) Campaign website Facebook Twitter 

    Republicans
    Randy Brock (R) Campaign website Facebook Twitter YouTube Linkedin

    Boots Wardinski (Progressive) Campaign website Facebook 

    About the office

    The lieutenant governor of the Commonwealth of Vermont is an elected constitutional officer, the second ranking officer of the executive branch and the first officer in line to succeed the Governor of Vermont. The lieutenant governor is popularly elected every two years by a plurality and has no term limit.

    The lieutenant governor serves as the president of the state Senate, and as such presides over the chamber when it is in session. In that capacity, the officeholder can have a great deal of influence over the progression of a bill through committee and onto the floor, and casts the tie-breaking vote when necessary.[18][19]

    Current officeholder

    See also: Current Lieutenant Governors

    The 79th and current lieutenant governor is Phillip Scott, a Republican first elected in 2010. Scott was re-elected to the office in 2012 and 2014.[20]

    Qualifications

    In order to be eligible for the office of lieutenant governor, a candidate must be:

    • a resident of Vermont for at least four years on the day of the election

    Lieutenant governors may not hold any legislative office or any other constitutional office. Excepting positions in military reserves, they also may not hold any office under the federal government. Nor is the lieutenant governor eligible for any appointed position made by any branch of the Vermont government.

    Authority

    The Vermont Constitution addresses the office of the lieutenant governor in both Chapter II, Sections 1-5, the Delegations and Distribution of Powers and Chapter II, Sections 20-27, Executive Department.

    Under Section I:

    The Commonwealth or State of Vermont shall be governed by a Governor (or Lieutenant-Governor)...


    Constitutional provisions

    According to Article V, Sections 24 of the Vermont Constitution, if the office of the governor becomes vacant by reason of death, resignation, impeachment or inability to serve, the lieutenant governor will fill the office until a governor is qualified to act or until the office is filled at the next election.

    In such instances, the lieutenant governor has all the powers, privileges and duties of the elected governor.

    The lieutenant governor is, at all times and by virtue of his office, the second commander of the state's militia and naval forces.

    Past elections

    2014

    See also: Vermont gubernatorial election, 2014
    Lieutenant Governor of Vermont, 2014
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPhil Scott Incumbent 62.1% 118,949
         Progressive Dean Corren 36% 69,005
         Liberty Union Marina Brown 1.7% 3,347
         Nonpartisan Write-in votes 0.1% 115
    Total Votes 191,416
    Election results via Vermont Secretary of State

    2012

    See also: Vermont lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2012
    Lieutenant Governor of Vermont General Election, 2012
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPhillip Scott Incumbent 57.1% 162,787
         Democratic Cassandra Gekas 40.4% 115,015
         Liberty Union Ben Mitchell 2.4% 6,975
         Independent Write-in 0.1% 257
    Total Votes 285,034
    Election results via Vermont Secretary of State


    2010

    On November 2, 2010, Phil Scott won election to the office of Lieutenant Governor of Vermont. He defeated Steve Howard (D) and three others in the general election.

    Lieutenant Governor of Vermont, 2010
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPhil Scott 49.4% 116,198
         Democratic Steve Howard 42.4% 99,843
         Independent Peter Garritano 3.7% 8,627
         Progressive Marjorie Power 3.5% 8,287
         Liberty Union Boots Wardinski 0.9% 2,228
         Write-In Various 0.1% 147
    Total Votes 235,330
    Election results via Vermont Secretary of State.

    2008

    On November 4, 2008, Brian Dubie won re-election to the office of Lieutenant Governor of Vermont. He defeated Thomas W. Costello (D) and two others in the general election.

    Lieutenant Governor of Vermont, 2008
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrian Dubie Incumbent 55.1% 171,744
         Democratic Thomas W. Costello 39.1% 121,953
         Progressive Richard Kemp 4.6% 14,249
         Liberty Union Ben Mitchell 1.2% 3,639
         Write-In Various 0.1% 207
    Total Votes 311,792
    Election results via Vermont Secretary of State.

    2006

    On November 7, 2006, Brian E. Dubie won re-election to the office of Lieutenant Governor of Vermont. He defeated Matt Dunne (D) and two others in the general election.

    Lieutenant Governor of Vermont, 2006
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrian E. Dubie Incumbent 51.2% 133,250
         Democratic Matt Dunne 45.5% 118,411
         Progressive Marvin Malek 2.2% 5,658
         Liberty Union Mary Alice "Mal" Herbert 1.2% 2,995
         Write-In Various 0% 116
    Total Votes 260,430
    Election results via Vermont Secretary of State.

    2004

    On November 2, 2004, Brian E. Dubie won re-election to the office of Lieutenant Governor of Vermont. He defeated Cheryl Pratt Rivers (D) and two others in the general election.

    Lieutenant Governor of Vermont, 2004
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrian E. Dubie Incumbent 56% 170,270
         Democratic Cheryl Pratt Rivers 35.7% 108,600
         Progressive Steve Hingtgen 7.1% 21,553
         Liberty Union Peter Stevenson 1.1% 3,291
         Write-In Various 0.1% 210
    Total Votes 303,924
    Election results via Vermont Secretary of State.

    2002

    On November 5, 2002, Brian Dubie won election to the office of Lieutenant Governor of Vermont. He defeated Peter Shumlin (D) and two others in the general election.

    Lieutenant Governor of Vermont, 2002
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrian Dubie 0% 0
         Democratic Peter Shumlin 54.7% 73,501
         Progressive Anthony Polina 42.1% 56,564
         Vermont Grassroots Sally Ann Jones 3.2% 4,310
         Write-In Various 0.1% 116
    Total Votes 134,491
    Election results via Vermont Secretary of State.

    2000

    On November 7, 2000, Douglas A. Racine won re-election to the office of Lieutenant Governor of Vermont. He defeated Brian Dubie (R) and three others in the general election.

    Lieutenant Governor of Vermont, 2000
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDouglas A. Racine Incumbent 53.3% 152,561
         Republican Brian Dubie 41.3% 118,202
         Vermont Grassroots Tom Beer 3.1% 8,776
         Liberty Union Jane Newton 1.1% 3,195
         Libertarian Don O'Donnell 1.1% 3,067
         Write-In Various 0.1% 274
    Total Votes 286,075
    Election results via Vermont Secretary of State.

    Recent news

    The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Vermont state lieutenant governor election. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

    State profile

    Demographic data for Vermont
     VermontU.S.
    Total population:626,088316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):9,2173,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:94.9%73.6%
    Black/African American:1.1%12.6%
    Asian:1.4%5.1%
    Native American:0.3%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
    Two or more:1.9%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:1.7%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:91.8%86.7%
    College graduation rate:36%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$55,176$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:13.2%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Vermont.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    Presidential voting pattern

    See also: Presidential voting trends in Vermont

    Vermont voted for the Democratic candidate in all six presidential elections between 2000 and 2020.

    Pivot Counties (2016)

    Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, one is located in Vermont, accounting for 0.5 percent of the total pivot counties.[21]

    Pivot Counties (2020)

    In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Vermont had one Retained Pivot County, 0.55 percent of all Retained Pivot Counties.

    More Vermont coverage on Ballotpedia

    See also

    Vermont government:

    Previous elections:

    Ballotpedia exclusives:

    External links

    Footnotes

    1. 1.0 1.1 WPTZ, Stewart Ledbetter, "Phil Scott enters 2016 race for Vt. governor," accessed Sept. 26, 2015
    2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 Pat Bradley, WAMC Northeast Public Radio, "Vermont's political campaigns gear up for 2016," December 31, 2015
    3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 Peter Hirschfeld, Vermont Public Radio, "Garrett Graff registers as candidate, but says still undecided on bid for lt. gov.," December 28, 2015
    4. Riker for Vermont, "Meet Brandon," accessed August 24, 2015
    5. National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
    6. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
    7. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
    8. National Archives and Records Administration, "Historical Election Results," accessed July 25, 2016
    9. Politico, Stephen Shepard, "Vermont Gov. Shumlin won't run for fourth term," accessed Sept. 26, 2015
    10. 10.0 10.1 VPR, Peter Hirschfield, "With lt. gov. seat open, a crowd of hopefuls weighing bids," accessed September 26, 2015
    11. Brattleboro Reformer, Jasper Craven, "Vermont Progressive Party can't find lt. gov. candidate," accessed September 26, 2015
    12. BrandonRiker.com, "Meet Brandon," accessed September 26, 2015
    13. Vermont Watchdog.org, "Vermont Lt. Gov. candidates debate health care, guns, carbon taxes," July 25, 2016
    14. Zuckerman for lieutenant governor, "We support Dave," accessed July 28, 2016
    15. Shap, "We're with Shap," accessed July 28, 2016
    16. Kesha for lieutenant governor, "Supporters," accessed July 28, 2016
    17. Randy Brock, "Endorsements," accessed July 28, 2016
    18. Seven Days, "Lieutenant Gubernatorial Race Could Reshape Vermont Senate," June 18, 2015
    19. Vermont Legislature, "Permanent rules of the Vermont Senate," accessed July 28, 2016
    20. Office of Lt. Governor Phil Scott, "Homepage," accessed August 24, 2015
    21. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.