2024 United States presidential election in Virginia
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The last Republican to win this state's electoral votes was George W. Bush in 2004, and the last Republican to do so by double digits was the elder Bush in 1988. Formerly a Republican stronghold and a Southern state mostly in the Bible Belt, Democratic strength in the state has greatly increased over the last two decades and it is now considered a slightly to moderately blue state at the federal level. That is primarily due to the rapid growth and diversification of the Northern Virginia region, which includes some of the Washington metropolitan area's largest suburbs. The downstate metro areas of Hampton Roads and Greater Richmond are also major voting blocs for Democrats in Virginia. In 2020, Joe Biden won the state by just over 10 points, becoming the first presidential Democrat to do so by double digits since landslide victor FDR in 1944.
Despite its Democratic lean at the federal level, Virginia could be considered a secondary battleground state and may be targeted by the GOP in 2024, mainly due to the 2021 state elections where Republicans won every statewide office being contested.[1][2] Nonetheless, most analysts predict Kamala Harris to keep the Old Dominion in the Democratic column.[3]
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]The Virginia Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won the state and all 11 of its congressional districts, securing 99 pledged delegates. Activist Marianne Williamson garnered 8% of the vote total, which was her second best performance on Super Tuesday after Oklahoma.
Biden
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 317,329 | 88.51% | 99 | 99 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 28,599 | 7.98% | 0 | 0 | |
| Dean Phillips | 12,586 | 3.51% | 0 | 0 | |
| Total: | 358,514 | 100.00% | 99 | 19 | 118 |
Republican primary
[edit]The Virginia Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump defeated former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, attaining 42 pledged delegates to the Republican National Convention in July. Trump performed best in southwest Virginia, while Haley's strength lay in Charlottesville, Albemarle County, the urban areas of Richmond and the suburbs surrounding Washington, D.C.
Trump
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
Haley
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 440,416 | 62.99% | 39 | 3 | 42 |
| Nikki Haley | 244,586 | 34.98% | 6 | 6 | |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,494 | 1.07% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 3,384 | 0.48% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 2,503 | 0.36% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 853 | 0.12% | |||
| Total: | 699,236 | 100.00% | 45 | 3 | 48 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Likely D | June 12, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Likely D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Likely D | August 27, 2024 |
| The Economist[9] | Likely D | September 10, 2024 |
| CNalysis[10] | Solid D | September 15, 2024 |
| CNN[11] | Lean D | August 18, 2024 |
| RCP[12] | Lean D | September 12, 2024 |
| 538[13] | Likely D | August 23, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 9 – September 8, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.0% | 43.7% | 7.3% | Harris +5.3% |
| 270ToWin | August 20 – September 11, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.8% | 41.3% | 8.9% | Harris +8.5% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 10, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 50.3% | 43.0% | 6.7% | Harris +7.3% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 8, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.9% | 43.9% | 6.2% | Harris +6.0% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 15, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.8% | 42.2% | 8.0% | Harris +7.6% |
| 538 | through September 16, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.6% | 41.6% | 8.8% | Harris +8.0% |
| Average | 49.73% | 42.62% | 7.65% | Harris +7.12% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult[14] | September 9−18, 2024 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| ActiVote[15] | August 19 – September 17, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – |
| Research America Inc.[16][A] | September 3−9, 2024 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 45% | 10%[c] |
| 756 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 46% | 6%[d] | ||
| Washington Post/Schar School[17] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | 6%[e] |
| 1,005 (LV) | 51% | 43% | 6%[e] | |||
| Morning Consult[14] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 873 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Quantus Insights (R)[18][B] | August 20–22, 2024 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Roanoke College[19] | August 12–16, 2024 | 691 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 44% | 10%[f] |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Emerson College[20] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[21] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 13%[g] |
| 265 (LV) | 43% | 47% | 10%[h] | |||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[22] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| 544 (LV) | 46% | 42% | 12% | |||
| New York Times/Siena College[23] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 44% | 7% | ||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[24][C] | July 6–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post/Schar School[17] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 42% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 7%[i] |
| 1,005 (LV) | 50% | 42% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 6%[i] | |||
| Virginia Commonwealth University[25] | August 26 – September 6, 2024 | 809 (A) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 36% | 2% | 1% | – | 15%[j] |
| 749 (RV) | 49% | 36% | 1% | 1% | – | 13%[k] |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research America Inc.[16][A] | September 3−9, 2024 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 44% | 2% | − | 0% | 0% | 10%[l] |
| 756 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 46% | 2% | − | 0% | 0% | 6%[m] | ||
| Roanoke College[26] | August 12–16, 2024 | 691 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3%[n] |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||||||
| New York Times/Siena College[23] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 11% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 10% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[21] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 40% | 41% | 7% | 12%[h] |
| 265 (LV) | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9%[o] | |||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[22] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 37% | 10% | 12% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 38% | 10% | 9% | ||
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[20] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| 50%[p] | 50% | – | ||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[21] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 41% | 44% | 15%[g] |
| 265 (LV) | 44% | 44% | 12%[o] | |||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[22] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 42% | 11% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[23] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 7% | ||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[24][C] | July 6–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fox News[27] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Roanoke College[28] | May 12–21, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[29][D] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[30][E] | April 26–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
| John Zogby Strategies[31][F] | April 13–21, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[32] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 394 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11%[q] |
| 368 (LV) | 47% | 43% | 10%[r] | |||
| Roanoke College[33] | February 11–19, 2024 | 705 (A) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[34] | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Mason-Dixon[35] | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Roanoke College[36] | November 12–20, 2023 | 686 (A) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[37] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| Research America Inc.[38][A] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 37% | 26% |
| Roanoke College[39] | August 6–15, 2023 | 702 (A) | ± 4.2% | 51% | 42% | 17% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[40] | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Roanoke College[41] | May 14–23, 2023 | 678 (A) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[42] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Roanoke College[43] | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 46% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[20] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[23] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 38% | 36% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 15% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 38% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 13% | ||
| Virginia Commonwealth University[44] | June 24 – July 3, 2024 | 809 (A) | ± 4.8% | 36% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 13%[s] |
| Fox News[27] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Roanoke College[28] | May 12–21, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 38% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[29][D] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[21] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 40% | 40% | 5% | 15%[t] |
| 265 (LV) | 43% | 42% | 4% | 11%[u] | |||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[22] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 39% | 10% | 9% | ||
| co/efficient (R)[45] | June 11–12, 2024 | 851 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 41% | 7% | 11% |
| Mason-Dixon[35] | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 36% | 14% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[37] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 40% | 39% | 7% | 14% |
| 37% | 37% | 5% | 21%[v] |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[31][F] | April 13–21, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[31][F] | April 13–21, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 43% | 41% | 16% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roanoke College[33] | February 11–19, 2024 | 705 (A) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[34] | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Commonwealth University[34] | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Research America Inc.[38][A] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[40] | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[42] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Roanoke College[43] | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Glenn Youngkin Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research America Inc.[38][A] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 34% | 29% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[40] | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 37% | 44% | 19% |
| Roanoke College[43] | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 55% | 6% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kamala Harris Tim Walz |
||||
| Republican | Donald Trump JD Vance |
||||
| Green | Jill Stein Butch Ware |
||||
| Libertarian | Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat |
||||
| Socialism and Liberation | Claudia De la Cruz[w] Karina Garcia |
||||
| Independent | Cornel West Melina Abdullah |
||||
| Write-in | |||||
| Turnout | |||||
| Total votes | |||||
See also
[edit]- 2024 Virginia elections
- United States presidential elections in Virginia
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ a b "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 2%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Another candidate" with 8%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 6%
- ^ "Undecided" with 6%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Someone else" & "Refused" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ Joe Manchin with 7%
- ^ Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
- ^ Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
References
[edit]- ^ https://www.roanoke.edu/documents/rcpoll/RCPoll%20March%202023%20Topline.pdf
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
- ^ "Virginia Democratic Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ "Virginia Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved September 10, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. August 18, 2024. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
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- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
- ^ a b Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult.
- ^ Allis, Victor (September 18, 2024). "Harris Has Double Digit Lead in Virginia". ActiVote.
- ^ a b "UMW Center for Leadership and Media Studies Survey Zooms in on Presidential Election in Virginia". University of Mary Washington. September 20, 2024.
- ^ a b Schneider, Gregory; Vozzella, Laura; Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily (September 10, 2024). "Harris leads among Virginia voters, Post-Schar School poll finds". The Washington Post.
- ^ "Analysis of the 2024 General Election Survey in Virginia". Substack. August 23, 2024.
- ^ "Roanoke College Poll: Harris holds slim lead over Trump in Virginia". Roanoke College. August 20, 2024.
- ^ a b c Mumford, Camille (July 18, 2024). "Virginia 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 43%". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b c d "Small Trump Bump Post-Assassination Attempt, New Poll Shows". FAU Polling. July 17, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "Small Trump Bump Post-Assassination Attempt, New Poll Shows". FAU Polling. July 17, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth (July 15, 2024). "Biden Facing Challenges in Two Must-Win States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ a b "On Point Politics/SoCal Research Old Dominion State Survey". Google Docs. July 11, 2024.
- ^ "September 2024 Wilder School Commonwealth Poll". Google Drive. September 11, 2024.
- ^ "Roanoke College Poll: Harris holds slim lead over Trump in Virginia". Roanoke College. August 20, 2024.
- ^ a b Balara, Victoria (June 6, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Biden, Trump in a dead heat in Virginia". Fox News.
- ^ a b "Roanoke College Poll: Biden and Trump tied in Virginia". Roanoke College. May 29, 2024.
- ^ a b McLaughlin, John (May 6, 2024). "Minnesota & Virginia Are Clearly In Play & Prime Opportunities to Flip for Donald Trump". X.
- ^ "New Poll Shows Strong Opposition to Legalizing Skill Games". Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines. May 11, 2024.
- ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
- ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Super Tuesday States" (PDF). FAU Polling. March 4, 2024.
- ^ a b "Roanoke College Poll: Virginians weigh in ahead of Super Tuesday". Roanoke College. March 1, 2024.
- ^ a b c "92% of those familiar with VCU Health development deal want answers from the VCU Health System board" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. January 22, 2024.
- ^ a b Cain, Andrew (January 5, 2024). "Biden leads Trump in Virginia in potential rematch, poll says". Richmond Times-Dispatch.
- ^ "Roanoke College Poll: Virginians have mixed opinions on direction of Virginia and the nation". Roanoke College. November 30, 2023.
- ^ a b "Pulse of the Nation Report - Voter Attitudes and Concerns Driven by High Costs" (PDF). Future Majority. October 11, 2023.
- ^ a b c Marvashti, Lisa Chinn (September 29, 2023). "Statewide Survey Considers 2024 Biden, Trump Presidential Rematch". University of Mary Washington.
- ^ "Latest Roanoke College Poll looks at opinions of Virginians on political issues". Roanoke College. August 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c "August 2023 Commonwealth Poll Press Release". Google Docs. August 3, 2023.
- ^ "Roanoke College Poll: Political anxiety is up among Virginians". Roanoke College. June 6, 2023.
- ^ a b "DeSantis is tied with Biden in Virginia and within striking distance of the President in three other '24 "reach" states. Trump is poised to lose these four states for a third time". X. May 12, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Roanoke College Poll looks at top issues in Virginia". Roanoke College. March 2, 2023.
- ^ Schneider, Gregory (July 15, 2024). "VCU poll shows Trump ahead in Virginia as support for Biden wanes". The Washington Post.
- ^ Plummer, Kate (June 14, 2024). "Joe Biden Suffers Shock Poll in State Democrats Have Not Lost in 20 years". Newsweek.
- ^ Department of Election, Virginia. "November 5, 2024 General Election Presidential". elections.virignia.gov. Retrieved September 10, 2024.
- ^ Department of Election, Virginia. "State Board of Elections Final Meeting Minutes; Tuesday, July 2, 2024" (PDF). townhall.virginia.gov. pp. 7–8. Retrieved September 13, 2024.
