Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election
Appearance
In the run-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote.
Graphical summary
[edit]Primary vote
[edit]Two-party preferred
[edit]Voting intention
[edit]2024
[edit]Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
2–8 September 2024 | Roy Morgan[1] | Online | 1,703 | 36.5% | 30% | 14.5% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
3–7 September 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,132 | 35% | 30% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 48% | 48% |
3–7 September 2024 | Resolve Strategic[3] | Online | 1,614 | 37% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 15% | — | 50% | 50% |
26 August – 1 September 2024 | Roy Morgan[4] | Online | 1,697 | 36% | 30.5% | 13% | 6% | — | 14.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
26–30 August 2024 | Newspoll[5] | Online | 1,263 | 38% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
6–29 August 2024 | Wolf & Smith[6][7][8] | Online | 10,239 | 36% | 29% | 13% | 6% | — | 15% | — | 51% | 49% |
23–28 August 2024 | YouGov[9] | Online | 1,543 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
10 July – 27 August 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group[10][11][12] | Online | 5,976 | 38% | 32% | 12% | — | — | 18% | — | 50% | 50% |
19–25 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[13] | Online | 1,701 | 39.5% | 29.5% | 13% | 4% | — | 14% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
20–24 August 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,129 | 33% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 11% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
16–18 August 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[14] | Online | 1,061 | 41% | 32% | 12% | — | — | 15% | — | 49% | 51% |
12–18 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[15] | Online | 1,698 | 38.5% | 30.5% | 13.5% | 4% | — | 13.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
8–11 August 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,132 | 34% | 28% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 47% | 47% |
7–11 August 2024 | Resolve Strategic[16] | Online | 1,607 | 37% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 13% | — | 50% | 50% |
5–11 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[17] | Online | 1,671 | 38% | 29.5% | 14% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
5–9 August 2024 | Newspoll[18] | Online | 1,266 | 39% | 32% | 12% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
29 July – 4 August 2024 | Roy Morgan[19] | Online | 1,655 | 37% | 30.5% | 12% | 5.5% | — | 15% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
24–28 July 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,137 | 34% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 47% | 46% |
22–28 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[20] | Online | 1,652 | 37.5% | 30.5% | 13% | 6.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
19–21 July 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[21] | Online | 1,060 | 40% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 49% | 51% |
15–21 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[22] | Online | 1,752 | 39.5% | 31.5% | 13% | 5% | — | 11% | — | 49% | 51% |
15–19 July 2024 | Newspoll[23] | Online | 1,258 | 38% | 33% | 13% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
10–19 July 2024 | RedBridge Group[24] | Online | 1,505 | 41% | 32% | 11% | — | — | 16% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
12–17 July 2024 | YouGov[25] | Online | 1,528 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 51% | 49% |
10–14 July 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,122 | 33% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 46% | 48% |
8–14 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[26] | Online | 1,758 | 37.5% | 31% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
10–13 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[27] | Online | 1,603 | 38% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 13% | — | 50% | 50% |
1–7 July 2024 | Roy Morgan[28] | Online | 1,723 | 39.5% | 28.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 48% | 52% |
26–30 June 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,141 | 33% | 30% | 12% | 7% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
24–30 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[29] | Online | 1,708 | 36.5% | 31.5% | 13% | 4.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
24–28 June 2024 | Newspoll[30] | Online | 1,260 | 36% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 12% | — | 51% | 49% |
17–23 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[31] | Online | 1,696 | 37% | 31.5% | 13% | 6% | — | 12.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
14–16 June 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[32] | Online | 1,060 | 40% | 32% | 13% | — | — | 15% | — | 50% | 50% |
12–16 June 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,181 | 32% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
10–16 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[33] | Online | 1,724 | 38% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
11–15 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[34] | Online | 1,607 | 36% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 15% | — | 51% | 49% |
3–9 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[35] | Online | 1,687 | 35% | 30.5% | 15.5% | 5.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
3–7 June 2024 | Newspoll[36] | Online | 1,232 | 39% | 33% | 11% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
31 May – 4 June 2024 | YouGov[37] | Online | 1,500 | 38% | 30% | 14% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 50% | 50% |
29 May – 2 June 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,160 | 36% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 48% | 48% |
27 May – 2 June 2024 | Roy Morgan[38] | Online | 1,579 | 36% | 31% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 14.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
20–26 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[39] | Online | 1,488 | 37% | 28.5% | 15% | 6% | — | 13.5% | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
17–19 May 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[40] | Online | 1,056 | 40% | 32% | 14% | — | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
16–19 May 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,149 | 34% | 31% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 46% | 47% |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[41] | Online | 1,602 | 36% | 29% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
13–19 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[42] | Online | 1,674 | 37% | 30.5% | 14.5% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
16–18 May 2024 | Newspoll[43] | Online | 1,280 | 37% | 34% | 13% | 7% | — | 9% | — | 52% | 48% |
10–14 May 2024 | YouGov[44] | Online | 1,506 | 38% | 30% | 13% | 8% | — | 11% | — | 50% | 50% |
6–12 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[45] | Online | 1,654 | 37% | 32% | 13.5% | 5.5% | — | 12% | — | 52% | 48% |
1–5 May 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,150 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
29 April – 5 May 2024 | Roy Morgan[46] | Online | 1,666 | 37% | 30% | 13% | 6% | — | 14% | — | 52% | 48% |
22–28 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[47] | Online | 1,719 | 36.5% | 31.5% | 14% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
19–23 April 2024 | YouGov[48] | Online | 1,514 | 36% | 33% | 13% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
17–21 April 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,145 | 35% | 31% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 47% | 49% |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[49] | Online | 1,610 | 36% | 30% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
15–21 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[50] | Online | 1,617 | 35.5% | 30.5% | 16% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 52% | 48% |
12–21 April 2024 | RedBridge Group[51] | Online | 1,529 | 37% | 33% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
15–18 April 2024 | Newspoll[52] | Online | 1,236 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
12–14 April 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[53] | Online | 1,055 | 40% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
8–14 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[54] | Online | 1,706 | 38.5% | 30% | 13.5% | 5.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 49% | 51% |
13 April 2024 | The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election | |||||||||||
3–7 April 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,165 | 34% | 29% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
1–7 April 2024 | Roy Morgan[55] | Online | 1,731 | 38% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
25–31 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[56] | Online | 1,677 | 37.5% | 30% | 15.5% | 3.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
22–27 March 2024 | YouGov[57] | Online | 1,513 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 51% | 49% |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[58] | Online | 1,610 | 35% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
20–24 March 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,150 | 36% | 29% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 44% | 50% |
18–24 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[59] | Online | 1,633 | 38% | 31.5% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 12% | — | 50% | 50% |
18–22 March 2024 | Newspoll[60] | Online | 1,223 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 51% | 49% |
11–17 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[61] | Online | 1,710 | 37% | 31.5% | 12.5% | 5.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
8–10 March 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[62] | Online | 1,051 | 39% | 31% | 14% | — | — | 16% | — | 51% | 49% |
4–10 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[63] | Online | 1,714 | 38% | 32% | 13% | 4% | — | 13% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
5–9 March 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,126 | 35% | 32% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 48% | 47% |
24 February – 5 March 2024 | YouGov[64] | Online | 1,539 | 37% | 32% | 15% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
26 February – 3 March 2024 | Roy Morgan[65] | Online | 1,679 | 36.5% | 34% | 13.5% | 3.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
2 March 2024 | Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election | |||||||||||
21–25 February 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,145 | 35% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 47% | 48% |
19–25 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[66] | Online | 1,682 | 38% | 31.5% | 12% | 5% | — | 13.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[67] | Online | 1,603 | 37% | 34% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
19–23 February 2024 | Newspoll[68] | Online | 1,245 | 36% | 33% | 12% | 6% | — | 13% | — | 52% | 48% |
16–18 February 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[69] | Online | 1,049 | 38% | 31% | 14% | — | — | 17% | — | 51% | 49% |
12–18 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[70] | Online | 1,706 | 37% | 34% | 13% | 4% | — | 12% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
7–11 February 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,148 | 34% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 50% | 46% |
5–11 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[71] | Online | 1,699 | 37% | 34.5% | 12% | 4.5% | — | 12% | — | 52% | 48% |
2–7 February 2024 | YouGov[72] | Online | 1,502 | 36% | 32% | 14% | 8% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
30 January – 7 February 2024 | RedBridge Group[73] | Online | 2,040 | 38% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 51.2% | 48.8% |
29 January – 4 February 2024 | Roy Morgan[74] | Online | 1,709 | 37% | 33% | 12% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
31 January – 3 February 2024 | Newspoll[75] | Online | 1,245 | 36% | 34% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
24–28 January 2024 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,201 | 34% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 48% | 46% |
22–28 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[76] | Online | 1,688 | 37.5% | 31% | 13% | 5.5% | — | 13% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
15–21 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[77] | Online | 1,675 | 36% | 32.5% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
12–17 January 2024 | YouGov[78] | Online | 1,532 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
8–14 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[79] | Online | 1,727 | 37% | 31.5% | 12% | 4.5% | — | 15% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
10–11 January 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[80][81][82] | Online | 1,007 | 39% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
2–7 January 2024 | Roy Morgan[83] | Online | 1,716 | 39% | 29% | 13% | 5% | — | 14% | — | 49% | 51% |
2023
[edit]Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
15–17 December 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[84] | Online | 1,109 | 39% | 31% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 50% | 50% |
11–17 December 2023 | Roy Morgan[85] | Online | 1,109 | 38% | 32% | 11.5% | 4.5% | — | 14% | — | 50% | 50% |
11–15 December 2023 | Newspoll[86] | Online | 1,219 | 36% | 33% | 13% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 52% | 48% |
6–11 December 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,102 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 49% | 46% |
6–11 December 2023 | RedBridge Group[87] | Online | 2,010 | 35% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 19% | — | 52.8% | 47.2% |
1–5 December 2023 | YouGov[88][89] | Online | 1,555 | 36% | 29% | 15% | 7% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[90][91] | Online | 1,605 | 34% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 12% | — | 55% | 45% |
27 November – 3 December 2023 | Roy Morgan[92] | — | 1,730 | 37.5% | 32.5% | 12.5% | 5% | — | 12.5% | — | 51% | 49% |
22–26 November 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,151 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 48% | 47% |
20–26 November 2023 | Roy Morgan[93] | — | 1,379 | 35% | 32% | 13.5% | 5% | — | 14.5% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
20–24 November 2023 | Newspoll[94] | Online | 1,216 | 38% | 31% | 13% | 6% | — | 12% | — | 50% | 50% |
13–19 November 2023 | Roy Morgan[95] | — | 1,401 | 37.5% | 29.5% | 13.5% | 6.5% | — | 13% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
10–14 November 2023 | YouGov[96] | Online | 1,582 | 36% | 31% | 13% | 7% | — | 13% | — | 51% | 49% |
8–12 November 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,150 | 34% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 49% | 47% |
6–12 November 2023 | Roy Morgan[97] | — | 1,397 | 36.5% | 30% | 13% | 6% | — | 14.5% | — | 50% | 50% |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[98] | Online | 1,602 | 30% | 35% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 13% | — | 57% | 43% |
30 October – 3 November 2023 | Newspoll[99] | Online | 1,220 | 37% | 35% | 12% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 52% | 48% |
27 October – 2 November 2023 | RedBridge Group[100] | Online | 1,205 | 35% | 34% | 14% | — | — | 17% | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
25–29 October 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,149 | 34% | 32% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 48% | 46% |
23–29 October 2023 | Roy Morgan[101] | — | 1,375 | 35% | 32.5% | 15% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 53% | 47% |
16–22 October 2023 | Roy Morgan[102] | — | 1,383 | 36% | 32% | 14% | 4.5% | — | 13.5% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
14 October 2023 | The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated | |||||||||||
4–12 October 2023 | Newspoll[103] | Online | 2,638 | 35% | 36% | 12% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
6–10 October 2023 | YouGov[104] | Online | 1,519 | 36% | 33% | 14% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 53% | 47% |
3–6 October 2023 | Newspoll[105][106] | Online | 1,225 | 36% | 34% | 12% | 5% | — | 13% | — | 53% | 47% |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[107][108] | Online | 4,728 | 31% | 37% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 11% | — | 57% | 43% |
27 September – 1 October 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,125 | 32% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 50% | 45% |
25–29 September 2023 | YouGov[109][110] | Online | 1,563 | 35% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 19% | — | 53% | 47% |
22–24 September 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[111] | Online | 1,003 | 37% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 17% | — | 51% | 49% |
18–22 September 2023 | Newspoll[112][113] | Online | 1,239 | 36% | 36% | 11% | 6% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
13–17 September 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,135 | 32% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 49% | 45% |
4–10 September 2023 | Roy Morgan[114] | — | 1,382 | 37% | 32% | 13.5% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[115][116] | Online | 1,604 | 34% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 11% | — | 55.5% | 44.5% |
30 August – 4 September 2023 | RedBridge Group[117] | Online | 1,001 | 36% | 37% | 13% | — | — | 14% | — | 54.1% | 45.9% |
30 August – 3 September 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,151 | 32% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
28 August – 3 September 2023 | Roy Morgan[118] | — | 1,404 | 37.5% | 33.5% | 13% | — | — | 16% | — | 53% | 47% |
28 August – 1 September 2023 | Newspoll[119] | Online | 1,200 | 37% | 35% | 13% | 7% | — | 8% | — | 53% | 47% |
16–20 August 2023 | Essential[2][120] | Online | 1,151 | 33% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
10–14 August 2023 | RedBridge Group[121] | Online | 1,010 | 32% | 38% | 10% | — | — | 21% | — | 55.6% | 44.4% |
9–13 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[122][123] | Online | 1,603 | 33% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 12% | — | 56% | 44% |
2–6 August 2023 | Essential[2][124] | Online | 1,150 | 30% | 33% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 52% | 42% |
19–23 July 2023 | Essential[2][125] | Online | 1,150 | 32% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 50% | 45% |
15 July 2023 | LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election | |||||||||||
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[126][127] | Online | 1,610 | 30% | 39% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 11% | — | 59% | 41% |
12–15 July 2023 | Newspoll[128][129] | Online | 1,570 | 34% | 36% | 12% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
5–9 July 2023 | Essential[2][130] | Online | 2,248 | 32% | 32% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 51% | 44% |
21–25 June 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,148 | 30% | 32% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 52% | 42% |
16–24 June 2023 | Newspoll[131][132] | Online | 2,303 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 54% | 46% |
7–11 June 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,123 | 32% | 32% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 52% | 42% |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[133][134] | Online | 1,606 | 30% | 40% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | — | 60% | 40% |
31 May – 3 June 2023 | Newspoll[135][136] | Online | 1,549 | 34% | 38% | 12% | 6% | — | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
24–28 May 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,138 | 31% | 34% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 52% | 43% |
15–17 May 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[137][138] | Online | 1,005 | 37% | 34% | 12% | — | — | 17% | — | 52% | 48% |
10–14 May 2023 | Essential[2][139] | Online | 1,080 | 31% | 35% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
11–13 May 2023 | Newspoll[140][141] | Online | 1,516 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
10–13 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[142][143] | Online | 1,610 | 30% | 42% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 61% | 39% |
26–30 April 2023 | Essential[2][144] | Online | 1,130 | 32% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 53% | 41% |
19–22 April 2023 | Newspoll[145][146] | Online | 1,514 | 33% | 38% | 11% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 56% | 44% |
12–16 April 2023 | Essential[2][147] | Online | 1,136 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 52% | 43% |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[148][149] | Online | 1,609 | 28% | 42% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 11% | — | 61.5% | 38.5% |
29 March – 2 April 2023 | Essential[2][150] | Online | 1,133 | 30% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
29 March – 1 April 2023 | Newspoll[151] | Online | 1,500 | 33% | 38% | 10% | 8% | — | 11% | — | 55% | 45% |
1 April 2023 | Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election | |||||||||||
15–20 March 2023 | Essential[2][152] | Online | 1,124 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 52% | 43% |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[153][152] | Online | 1,600 | 30% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 11% | — | 60% | 40% |
1–5 March 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,141 | 32% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 49% | 44% |
27 February – 5 March 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 33.5% | 38% | 11.5% | — | — | 17% | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
1–4 March 2023 | Newspoll[154] | Online | 1,530 | 35% | 37% | 10% | 7% | — | 11% | — | 54% | 46% |
20–26 February 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 34.5% | 37% | 13.5% | — | — | 15% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
15–19 February 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,044 | 30% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 51% | 42% |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[155][156] | Online | 1,604 | 31% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 11% | — | 58% | 42% |
13–19 February 2023 | Roy Morgan | Online/Telephone | — | 33% | 37% | 13% | — | — | 17% | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
1–6 February 2023 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,000 | 30% | 33% | 17% | 6% | 1% | 15% | 5% | 55% | 40% |
1–4 February 2023 | Newspoll[157][158] | Online | 1,512 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 10% | — | 55% | 45% |
23–29 January 2023 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 33.5% | 37.5% | 11.5% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 57% | 43% |
18–22 January 2023 | Essential[2][159] | Online | 1,050 | 31% | 34% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 53% | 42% |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[160][159] | Online | 1,606 | 29% | 42% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 11% | — | 60% | 40% |
2022
[edit]Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
23 December 2022 | Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent | |||||||||||
16–18 December 2022 | Freshwater Strategy[161][162][163] | Online | 1,209 | 37% | 37% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 9% | — | 54% | 46% |
7–11 December 2022 | Essential[2] | Online | 1,042 | 30% | 35% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 51% | 44% |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[164][165] | Online | 1,611 | 30% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 8% | — | 60% | 40% |
30 November – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[166] | Online | 1,508 | 35% | 39% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 9% | — | 55% | 45% |
23–27 November 2022 | Essential[166][167] | Online | 1,042 | 31% | 33% | 13% | — | — | 17% | 6% | 51% | 43% |
27–30 October 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[168] | Online | 1,500 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 9% | — | 55% | 45% |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[169][168] | Online | 1,611 | 32% | 39% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 11% | — | 58% | 42% |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[170][171] | Online | 1,604 | 30% | 39% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 11% | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[172][173] | Online | 1,607 | 32% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 11% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
31 August – 3 September 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[174][175] | Online | 1,505 | 31% | 37% | 13.5% | 7% | 2% | 10% | — | 57% | 43% |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[176][177] | Online | 2,011 | 28% | 42% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 11% | — | 61% | 39% |
27–30 July 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[178][179] | Online | 1,508 | 33% | 37% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 10% | — | 56% | 44% |
14–17 June 2022 | Dynata[180] | Online | 1,001 | 31% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 52.2% | 47.8% |
13–19 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[181] | Online/telephone | 1,401 | 37% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 0.5% | 11.5% | — | 53% | 47% |
29 May 2022 | Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party[182] | |||||||||||
21 May 2022 | Election[183][184] | 35.7% | 32.6% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 10.4% | — | 52.1% | 47.9% |
- ^ a b c Resolve Strategic Poll 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election by the Poll Bludger and Kevin Bonham or using the 2PP estimator from Armarium Interreta[1]
Preferred prime minister and leadership polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]The following graphical summaries illustrate results from opinion polling for preferred Prime Minister and their respective approval ratings based on data below that is documented in the tables.
Preferred prime minister
[edit]Leadership approval ratings
[edit]Albanese
[edit]Dutton
[edit]Preferred prime minister and leadership polling table
[edit]2024
[edit]Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Dutton | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | ||||
3–7 September 2024 | Resolve Strategic[3] | Online | 1,614 | 35% | 34% | 31% | 35% | 53% | 12% | −18% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
26–30 August 2024 | Newspoll[5] | Online | 1,263 | 45% | 37% | 18% | 41% | 54% | 5% | −13% | 39% | 52% | 9% | −13% |
23–28 August 2024 | YouGov[9] | Online | 1,543 | 43% | 38% | 19% | 41% | 52% | 7% | −11% | 42% | 47% | 11% | −5% |
20–24 August 2024 | Essential[185] | Online | 1,129 | — | — | — | 40% | 50% | 10% | −10% | 42% | 41% | 16% | +1% |
16–18 August 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[14] | Online | 1,061 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 35% | 45% | 20% | −10% | 37% | 40% | 23% | −3% |
7–11 August 2024 | Resolve Strategic[16] | Online | 1,607 | 35% | 36% | 29% | 34% | 51% | 15% | −17% | 41% | 38% | 21% | +3% |
5–9 August 2024 | Newspoll[18] | Online | 1,266 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 43% | 51% | 6% | −8% | 40% | 50% | 10% | −10% |
24–28 July 2024 | Essential[186] | Online | 1,137 | — | — | — | 43% | 46% | 11% | −3% | 42% | 41% | 17% | +1% |
19–21 July 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[187] | Online | 1,060 | 45% | 39% | 16%[a] | 34% | 48% | 18% | −14% | 36% | 39% | 25% | −3% |
15–19 July 2024 | Newspoll[187] | Online | 1,258 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 44% | 51% | 5% | −7% | 41% | 49% | 10% | −8% |
12–17 July 2024 | YouGov[25] | Online | 1,528 | 45% | 37% | 18% | 42% | 52% | 6% | −10% | 42% | 46% | 12% | −4% |
10–13 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[27] | Online | 1,603 | 34% | 35% | 31% | 32% | 54% | 14% | −22% | 39% | 40% | 21% | −1% |
26–30 June 2024 | Essential[188] | Online | 1,141 | — | — | — | 40% | 49% | 11% | −9% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
24–28 June 2024 | Newspoll[30] | Online | 1,260 | 46% | 38% | 16% | 42% | 53% | 5% | −11% | 38% | 54% | 8% | −16% |
14–16 June 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[32] | Online | 1,060 | 43% | 41% | 16%[b] | 34% | 46% | 20% | −12% | 35% | 40% | 25% | −5% |
11–15 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[34] | Online | 1,607 | 35% | 36% | 29% | 36% | 50% | 14% | −14% | 42% | 40% | 19% | +2% |
3–7 June 2024 | Newspoll[36] | Online | 1,232 | 46% | 38% | 16% | 43% | 50% | 7% | −7% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% |
31 May – 4 June 2024 | YouGov[37] | Online | 1,500 | 47% | 36% | 17% | 41% | 53% | 6% | -12% | 38% | 51% | 11% | −13% |
29 May – 2 June 2024 | Essential[189] | Online | 1,160 | — | — | — | 43% | 47% | 11% | −4% | 41% | 42% | 17% | −1% |
17–19 May 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[40] | Online | 1,056 | 46% | 37% | 16%[c] | 37% | 46% | 18% | −9% | 31% | 40% | 29% | −9% |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[41] | Online | 1,602 | 40% | 32% | 28% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% | 39% | 42% | 19% | −3% |
16–18 May 2024 | Newspoll[43] | Online | 1,280 | 52% | 33% | 15% | 47% | 47% | 6% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 12% | −12% |
10–14 May 2024 | YouGov[44] | Online | 1,506 | 44% | 37% | 19% | 41% | 53% | 6% | −12% | 42% | 48% | 10% | −6% |
17–21 April 2024 | Essential[190] | Online | 1,145 | — | — | — | 43% | 48% | 9% | −5% | 44% | 41% | 15% | +3% |
17–21 April 2024 | YouGov[d][191] | Online | 1,092 | 37% | 45% | 18% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[49] | Online | 1,610 | 41% | 32% | 27% | 43% | 45% | 12% | −2% | 40% | 42% | 17% | −2% |
15–18 April 2024 | Newspoll[52] | Online | 1,236 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 44% | 50% | 6% | −6% | 36% | 51% | 13% | −15% |
12–14 April 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[53] | Online | 1,055 | 45% | 39% | 16%[e] | 38% | 45% | 17% | −7% | 32% | 41% | 27% | −9% |
22–27 March 2024 | YouGov[57] | Online | 1,513 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 41% | 52% | 7% | −11% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[58] | Online | 1,610 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% | 36% | 44% | 20% | −8% |
18–22 March 2024 | Newspoll[60] | Online | 1,223 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 44% | 51% | 5% | −7% | 37% | 52% | 11% | −15% |
8–10 March 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[62] | Online | 1,051 | 47% | 38% | 15%[f] | 37% | 45% | 18% | −8% | 30% | 43% | 27% | −13% |
24 February – 5 March 2024 | YouGov[64] | Online | 1,539 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 44% | 50% | 6% | −6% | 39% | 49% | 12% | −10% |
21–25 February 2024 | Essential[192] | Online | 1,145 | — | — | — | 42% | 47% | 10% | −5% | 40% | 44% | 16% | −4% |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[67] | Online | 1,603 | 39% | 32% | 29% | 41% | 47% | 12% | −6% | 35% | 45% | 20% | −10% |
19–23 February 2024 | Newspoll[68] | Online | 1,245 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 43% | 51% | 6% | −8% | 37% | 51% | 12% | −14% |
16–18 February 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[193] | Online | 1,049 | 42% | 38% | 19%[g] | 38% | 45% | 18% | −7% | 32% | 41% | 28% | −9% |
2–7 February 2024 | YouGov[72] | Online | 1,502 | 45% | 38% | 17% | — | — | — | −16% | — | — | — | −8% |
31 January – 3 February 2024 | Newspoll[75][194] | Online | 1,245 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 42% | 51% | 7% | −9% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
24–28 January 2024 | Essential[195] | Online | 1,201 | — | — | — | 41% | 47% | 12% | −6% | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% |
12–17 January 2024 | YouGov[78] | Online | 1,532 | 45% | 35% | 20% | — | — | — | −13% | — | — | — | −11% |
10–11 January 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[80][81][82] | Online | 1,007 | 47% | 38% | 15%[h] | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% | 31% | 40% | 30% | −9% |
2023
[edit]Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Dutton | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | ||||
15–17 December 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[84] | Online | 1,109 | 43% | 39% | 18%[i] | 37% | 42% | 20% | −5% | 34% | 36% | 30% | −2% |
11–15 December 2023 | Newspoll[86] | Online | 1,219 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 42% | 50% | 8% | −8% | 39% | 48% | 13% | −9% |
1–5 December 2023 | YouGov[88][89] | Online | 1,555 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 39% | 55% | 6% | −16% | 39% | 48% | 13% | −9% |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[90] | Online | 1,605 | 42% | 28% | 30% | 37% | 48% | 15% | −11% | 34% | 42% | 24% | −8% |
22–26 November 2023 | Essential[196] | Online | 1,151 | — | — | — | 42% | 47% | 12% | −5% | 39% | 42% | 19% | −3% |
20–24 November 2023 | Newspoll[94] | Online | 1,216 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 40% | 53% | 7% | −13% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
10–14 November 2023 | YouGov[96][197] | Online | 1,582 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 43% | 50% | 7% | −7% | 40% | 47% | 13% | −7% |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[98] | Online | 1,602 | 40% | 27% | 33% | 39% | 46% | 15% | −7% | 36% | 40% | 25% | −4% |
30 October – 3 November 2023 | Newspoll[99] | Online | 1,220 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 42% | 52% | 6% | −10% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
11–14 October 2023 | Essential[198] | Online | 1,125 | — | — | — | 46% | 43% | 11% | +3% | 36% | 43% | 21% | −7% |
4–12 October 2023 | Newspoll[103] | Online | 2,638 | 51% | 31% | 18% | 46% | 46% | 8% | 0% | 35% | 53% | 12% | −18% |
6–10 October 2023 | YouGov[104][197] | Online | 1,519 | 50% | 34% | 16% | 45% | 48% | 7% | −3% | 38% | 50% | 12% | −12% |
3–6 October 2023 | Newspoll[105][106] | Online | 1,225 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 45% | 46% | 9% | −1% | 37% | 50% | 13% | −13% |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[107][108] | Online | 1,604 | 47% | 25% | 28% | 43% | 43% | 14% | 0% | 30% | 45% | 25% | −15% |
25–29 September 2023 | YouGov[109][197] | Online | 1,563 | 50% | 33% | 17% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
22–24 September 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[111] | Online | 1,003 | 46% | 37% | 17%[j] | 38% | 41% | 21% | −3% | 30% | 40% | 30% | −10% |
18–22 September 2023 | Newspoll[112][113] | Online | 1,239 | 50% | 30% | 20% | 47% | 44% | 9% | +3% | 32% | 52% | 16% | −20% |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[115][116] | Online | 1,604 | 43% | 28% | 29% | 40% | 47% | 13% | −7% | 35% | 43% | 22% | −8% |
30 August – 3 September 2023 | Essential[199] | Online | 1,151 | — | — | — | 46% | 43% | 10% | +3% | 38% | 43% | 19% | −5% |
28 August – 1 September 2023 | Newspoll[119] | Online | 1,200 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 46% | 47% | 7% | −1% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
9–13 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[122][123] | Online | 1,603 | 46% | 25% | 29% | 44% | 42% | 14% | +2% | 31% | 44% | 24% | −13% |
19–23 July 2023 | Essential[125][200] | Online | 1,150 | — | — | — | 48% | 41% | 11% | +7% | 37% | 43% | 20% | −6% |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[126][127] | Online | 1,610 | 51% | 21% | 28% | 51% | 34% | 15% | +17% | 31% | 47% | 23% | −16% |
12–15 July 2023 | Newspoll[128] | Online | 1,570 | 54% | 29% | 17% | 52% | 41% | 7% | +11% | 36% | 49% | 15% | −13% |
16–24 June 2023 | Newspoll[131] | Online | 2,303 | 52% | 32% | 16% | 52% | 42% | 6% | +10% | 38% | 49% | 13% | −11% |
29 May – 12 June 2023 | CT Group[201] | Online | 3,000 | — | — | — | 42% | 36% | 22% | +6% | — | — | — | — |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[133][134] | Online | 1,606 | 53% | 22% | 25% | 53% | 35% | 13% | +18% | 28% | 48% | 24% | −20% |
31 May – 3 June 2023 | Newspoll[135] | Online | 1,549 | 55% | 28% | 17% | 55% | 37% | 8% | +18% | 36% | 50% | 14% | −14% |
15–17 May 2023 | Freshwater Strategy[137][138] | Online | 1,005 | 51% | 33% | 16%[k] | 42% | 37% | 21% | +5% | 30% | 42% | 28% | −12% |
10–14 May 2023 | Essential[202] | Online | 1,125 | — | — | — | 54% | 35% | 11% | +19% | 36% | 45% | 19% | −9% |
11–13 May 2023 | Newspoll[140][141] | Online | 1,516 | 56% | 29% | 15% | 57% | 38% | 5% | +19% | 36% | 51% | 13% | −15% |
10–13 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[142][143] | Online | 1,610 | 53% | 20% | 27% | 56% | 29% | 14% | +27% | 28% | 49% | 23% | −21% |
19–22 April 2023 | Newspoll[145][146] | Online | 1,514 | 54% | 28% | 18% | 53% | 37% | 10% | +16% | 33% | 52% | 15% | −19% |
12–16 April 2023 | Essential[203] | Online | 1,136 | — | — | — | 51% | 36% | 12% | +15% | 36% | 44% | 20% | −8% |
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[148][149] | Online | 1,609 | 55% | 21% | 24% | 56% | 29% | 14% | +27% | 26% | 54% | 19% | −28% |
29 March – 2 April 2023 | Essential[204] | Online | 1,133 | — | — | — | 52% | 35% | 13% | +17% | — | — | — | — |
29 March – 1 April 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,500 | 58% | 26% | 16% | 56% | 35% | 9% | +21% | 35% | 48% | 21% | −13% |
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[153][152] | Online | 1,600 | 51% | 22% | 27% | 55% | 31% | 13% | +24% | 32% | 44% | 25% | −12% |
1–4 March 2023 | Newspoll | Online | 1,530 | 54% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 38% | 7% | +17% | 37% | 48% | 15% | −11% |
15–21 February 2023 | Morning Consult | — | — | — | — | — | 57% | 31% | 12% | +26% | — | — | — | — |
15–19 February 2023 | Essential[205] | Online | 1,044 | — | — | — | 53% | 34% | 13% | +19% | — | — | — | — |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[155][156] | Online | 1,604 | 55% | 23% | 22% | 56% | 30% | 13% | +26% | 29% | 45% | 26% | −16% |
1–4 February 2023 | Newspoll[157][158] | Online | 1,512 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 33% | 10% | +24% | 36% | 46% | 18% | −10% |
18–22 January 2023 | Essential[206] | Online | 1,050 | — | — | — | 55% | 31% | 13% | +24% | — | — | — | — |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[160][159] | Online | 1,606 | 55% | 20% | 25% | 60% | 25% | 15% | +35% | 28% | 46% | 26% | −18% |
2022
[edit]Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Dutton | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Dutton | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | ||||
16–18 December 2022 | Freshwater Strategy[161][162][163] | Online | 1,209 | 55% | 29% | 16%[l] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
7–11 December 2022 | Essential[207] | Online | 1,042 | – | – | – | 60% | 27% | 13% | +33% | – | – | – | – |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[164][165] | Online | 1,611 | 54% | 19% | 27% | 60% | 24% | 16% | +36% | 28% | 43% | 29% | –15% |
30 November – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[166] | Online | 1,508 | 59% | 24% | 17% | 62% | 29% | 9% | +33% | 36% | 45% | 19% | –9% |
16–22 November 2022 | Morning Consult[208] | Online | — | – | – | – | 56% | 31% | 25% | +25% | – | – | – | – |
9–14 November 2022 | Essential[209] | Online | 1,035 | – | – | – | 60% | 27% | 13% | +33% | – | – | – | – |
27–30 October 2022 | Newspoll[168] | Online | 1,500 | 54% | 27% | 19% | 59% | 33% | 8% | +26% | 39% | 46% | 15% | –7% |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[169][168][210] | Online | 1,611 | 53% | 19% | 28% | 57% | 28% | 16% | +29% | 29% | 41% | 30% | –12% |
13–16 October 2022 | Freshwater Strategic[m][211] | Online | 1,042 | – | – | – | 50% | 26% | 24% | +24% | 33% | 34% | 33% | –1% |
11–16 October 2022 | Essential[212] | Online | 1,122 | – | – | – | 58% | 26% | 15% | +32% | – | – | – | – |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[170][171] | Online | 1,604 | 53% | 18% | 29% | 60% | 25% | 15% | +35% | 30% | 41% | 28% | –11% |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[172][173] | Online | 1,607 | 53% | 19% | 28% | 60% | 24% | 16% | +36% | 28% | 40% | 32% | –12% |
31 August – 4 September 2022 | Essential[213] | Online | 1,070 | — | — | — | 59% | 25% | 15% | +34% | — | — | — | — |
31 August – 3 September 2022 | Newspoll[174] | Online | 1,505 | 61% | 22% | 17% | 61% | 29% | 10% | +32% | 35% | 43% | 22% | –8% |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[176][177] | Online | 2,011 | 55% | 17% | 28% | 61% | 22% | 17% | +39% | 30% | 37% | 32% | –7% |
3–7 August 2022 | Essential[214] | Online | 1,075 | — | — | — | 55% | 28% | 18% | +27% | — | — | — | — |
27–30 July 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[178] | Online | 1,508 | 59% | 25% | 16% | 61% | 26% | 13% | +35% | 37% | 41% | 22% | –4% |
7–11 July 2022 | Essential[215] | Online | 1,097 | — | — | — | 56% | 24% | 20% | +32% | — | — | — | — |
8–12 June 2022 | Essential[216] | Online | 1,087 | — | — | — | 59% | 18% | 23% | +41% | — | — | — | — |
23–31 May 2022 | Morning Consult[217] | Online | 3,770 | — | — | — | 51% | 24% | 25% | +27% | — | — | — | — |
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Polling conducted in Queensland.
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 16% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 13% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 14% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
- ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
- ^ Polling conducted in NSW.
Sub-national polling
[edit]This section needs to be updated.(October 2023) |
New South Wales
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Polling
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote[a] | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ||||
9–14 July 2024 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 509 | 39% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 2% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
15 April – 26 June 2024 | Newspoll[218] | 1,567 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 6% | — | — | 10% | 49% | 51% | |
11–16 June 2024 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 510 | 37% | 29% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 50% | 50% | |
15–19 May 2024 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 511 | 35% | 31% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 51% | 49% | |
17–21 April 2024 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 511 | 35% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 51.5% | 48.5% | |
21–24 March 2024 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 511 | 35% | 33% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 2% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
31 January – 22 March 2024 | Newspoll[218] | 1,152 | 38% | 32% | 12% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
21–24 February 2024 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 509 | 37% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 52% | 48% | |
31 October – 15 December 2023 | Newspoll[218] | 1,139 | 37% | 32% | 13% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 51% | 49% | |
29 November – 3 December 2023 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 510 | 35% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 54.5% | 45.5% | |
1–5 November 2023 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 509 | 31% | 37% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 58% | 42% | |
28 August – 12 October 2023 | Newspoll[218] | 1,565 | 34% | 38% | 13% | 5% | — | — | 10% | 56% | 44% | |
22 September – 4 October 2023 | Resolve Strategic[107] | 1,502 | 32% | 34% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 55% | 45% | |
6–9 September 2023 | Resolve Strategic[115] | 509 | 36% | 39% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 54% | 46% | |
9–12 August 2023 | Resolve Strategic[122] | 509 | 34% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 58% | 42% | |
12–15 July 2023 | Resolve Strategic[126] | 511 | 32% | 39% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
6–11 June 2023 | Resolve Strategic[133] | 510 | 33% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
14–16 May 2023 | Resolve Strategic[142] | 511 | 30% | 46% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 61% | 39% | |
21 April 2023 | Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party | |||||||||||
12–16 April 2023 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 511 | 30% | 43% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 59.5% | 40.5% | |
1 February – 3 April 2023 | Newspoll[218] | 1,414 | 35% | 38% | 10% | 7% | — | — | 10% | 55% | 45% | |
25 March 2023 | Labor wins a minority government at the state election | |||||||||||
12–16 March 2023 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 508 | 35% | 39% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 55.5% | 44.5% | |
15–19 February 2023 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 509 | 31% | 41% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 58.5% | 41.5% | |
17–22 January 2023 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 512 | 31% | 40% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 57.5% | 42.5% | |
30 November – 4 December 2022 | Resolve Strategic[218] | 512 | 33% | 38% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
27 July – 3 December 2022 | Newspoll[218] | 1,817 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | — | — | 10% | 55% | 45% | |
26–30 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[169] | 512 | 32% | 41% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 57.9% | 42.1% | |
5–9 October 2022 | Resolve Strategic[170] | 509 | 32% | 39% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 57% | 43% | |
14–18 September 2022 | Resolve Strategic[172] | 510 | 29% | 41% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 58.5% | 41.5% | |
17–21 August 2022 | Resolve Strategic[176] | 639 | 29% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 60.5% | 39.5% | |
21 June 2022 | Roy Morgan[181] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
21 May 2022 | Election | 36.5% | 33.4% | 10% | 4.8% | 4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 51.4% | 48.6% |
- ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in New South Wales.
Victoria
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.