Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
 2024 U.S. presidential election | |
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| Republican Party | |
| Third parties | |
| Related races | |
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This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.[1]
Forecasts
[edit]Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.
| State | EVs | PVI[2] | 2020 result |
2020 margin[3] |
IE August 29, 2024[4] |
Cook August 27, 2024[5] |
CNalysis September 23, 2024[6] |
Sabato August 20, 2024[7] |
CNN August 18, 2024[8] |
RCP September 27, 2024[9] |
DDHQ September 20, 2024[10] |
538 September 20, 2024[11] |
Economist September 10, 2024[12] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | 3 | R+8 | 52.8% R | 10.06% | Solid R | Solid R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Arizona | 11 | R+2 | 49.4% D | 0.31% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Colorado | 10 | D+4 | 55.4% D | 13.50% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Florida | 30 | R+3 | 51.2% R | 3.36% | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R |
| Georgia | 16 | R+3 | 49.5% D | 0.24% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Illinois | 19 | D+7 | 57.5% D | 16.99% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Iowa | 6 | R+6 | 53.1% R | 8.20% | Likely R | Solid R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Kansas | 6 | R+10 | 56.4% R | 14.63% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Maine[a] | 2 | D+2 | 53.1% D | 9.07% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| ME–01[a] | 1 | D+9 | 60.1% D | 23.09% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D |
| ME–02[a] | 1 | R+6 | 52.3% R | 7.44% | Lean R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Michigan | 15 | R+1 | 50.6% D | 2.78% | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup |
| Minnesota | 10 | D+1 | 52.4% D | 7.11% | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Missouri | 10 | R+10 | 56.8% R | 15.39% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Montana | 4 | R+11 | 56.9% R | 16.37% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| NE–02[a] | 1 | EVEN | 52.0% D[b] | 6.50% | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
| Nevada | 6 | R+1 | 50.1% D | 2.39% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup |
| New Hampshire | 4 | D+1 | 52.7% D | 7.35% | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
| New Jersey | 14 | D+6 | 57.3% D | 15.94% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
| New Mexico | 5 | D+3 | 54.3% D | 10.79% | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| North Carolina | 16 | R+3 | 49.9% R | 1.35% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Ohio | 17 | R+6 | 53.3% R | 8.03% | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Oregon | 8 | D+6 | 56.4% D | 16.08% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Pennsylvania | 19 | R+2 | 50.0% D | 1.16% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| South Carolina | 9 | R+8 | 55.1% R | 11.68% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Texas | 40 | R+5 | 52.1% R | 5.58% | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R |
| Virginia | 13 | D+3 | 54.1% D | 10.11% | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Wisconsin | 10 | R+2 | 49.5% D | 0.63% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup |
| Overall | D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 241 R – 219 78 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 225 R – 219 94 tossups |
D – 215 R – 219 104 tossups |
D – 232 R – 219 87 tossups |
D – 251 R – 219 68 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups | ||||
Alabama
[edit]Alaska
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[13][A] | August 30 – September 1, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research[14] | September 11–12, 2024 | 1,254 (LV) | – | 47% | 42% | 5% | 6% |
Arizona
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [d] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | August 23 – September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 46.9% | 48.9% | 4.2% | Trump +2.0% |
| 270ToWin | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 46.8% | 48.8% | 4.4% | Trump +2.0% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.9% | 48.8% | 3.3% | Trump +0.9% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.7% | 48.5% | 3.8% | Trump +0.8% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.1% | 48.5% | 4.4% | Trump +1.4% |
| 538 | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 46.8% | 48.0% | 5.2% | Trump +1.2% |
| Average | 47.35% | 48.45% | 4.2% | Trump +1.1% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 977 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| 926 (LV) | 50% | 47% | 3% | |||
| Fox News[16] | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,021 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| 764 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 51% | 1% | ||
| Marist College[17] | September 19−24, 2024 | 1,416 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 50% | 2%[e] |
| 1,264 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 50% | 1%[e] | ||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[18][B] | September 19–22, 2024 | 1,030 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4%[f] |
| New York Times/Siena College[19] | September 17–21, 2024 | 713 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| 713 (LV) | 45% | 50% | 5% | |||
| Emerson College[20] | September 15–18, 2024 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 49% | 3%[g] |
| 49%[h] | 50% | 1%[g] | ||||
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[22] | September 11–12, 2024 | 1,088 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 7%[i] |
| Data Orbital[23][C] | September 7–9, 2024 | 550 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 901 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| TIPP Insights[24][D] | September 3–5, 2024 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| 949 (LV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
| Patriot Polling[25] | September 1–3, 2024 | 804 (RV) | – | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[26] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College[27] | August 25–28, 2024 | 720 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 50% | 7% |
| 48%[h] | 51% | 1%[j] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 776 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% | ||
| Fox News[29] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[30][E] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[31][F] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,187 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[32] | August 12–16, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Focaldata[33] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Strategies 360[34] | August 7–14, 2024 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[35] | August 8–15, 2024 | 677 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | 7% |
| 677 (LV) | 50% | 45% | 5% | |||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[36] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Navigator Research (D)[37] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[38] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 435 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| HighGround[39] | July 30 – August 5, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 42% | 14%[k] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[40][G] | July 29–30, 2024 | 618 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[41][H] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[42] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Emerson College[43] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| 47%[h] | 53% | – | ||||
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[44] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[45][G] | July 10–11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 44% | 52% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[46] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Emerson College[47] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
| New York Times/Siena College[48] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| 603 (LV) | 43% | 48% | 9% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [l] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 24, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 45.2% | 48.2% | 0.8% | — | 1.3% | 4.5% | Trump +3.0% |
| 270toWin | September 23 – September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 45.6% | 47.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 3.8% | Trump +2.2% |
| Average | 45.4% | 48.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 4.1% | Trump +2.6% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 977 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| 926 (LV) | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% | |||
| Fox News[16] | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,021 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2% | − |
| 764 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | 0% | 1% | 2% | − | ||
| Suffolk University/USA Today[49] | September 19−24, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College[19] | September 17–21, 2024 | 713 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | – | 2% | 3% | 6% |
| 713 (LV) | 43% | 48% | – | 2% | 2% | 5% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[50] | September 16–19, 2024 | 789 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[51] | September 6–9, 2024 | 765 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| TIPP Insights[24][D] | September 3–5, 2024 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 46% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
| 949 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% | |||
| YouGov[52][I] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | – | 6%[f] |
| CNN/SSRS[53] | August 23–29, 2024 | 682 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 49% | – | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[54] | August 25–28, 2024 | 530 (LV) | – | 45% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 776 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Fox News[29] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Arkansas
[edit]California
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[55] | August 22 – September 21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 64% | 36% | – |
| Emerson College[56] | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 60% | 36% | 4% |
| 61%[h] | 38% | 1%[m] | ||||
| ActiVote[57] | August 2–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 65% | 35% | – |
| UC Berkeley IGS[58] | July 31 – August 11, 2024 | 3,765 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 34% | 7% |
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[59][J] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Colorado
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 512 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 40% | 5% |
Connecticut
[edit]Delaware
[edit]District of Columbia
[edit]Florida
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [n] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 15 – September 5, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 43.0% | 49.0% | 8.0% | Trump +6.0 |
| 270ToWin | through September 17, 2024 | September 17, 2024 | 45.0% | 49.2% | 5.8% | Trump +4.2 |
| RacetotheWH | through September 17, 2024 | September 17, 2024 | 47.0% | 50.3% | 2.7% | Trump +3.3 |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 5, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.1% | 52.4% | 1.5% | Trump +3.3 |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 17, 2024 | September 17, 2024 | 45.6% | 49.8% | 4.6% | Trump +4.2 |
| 538 | through September 18, 2024 | September 18, 2024 | 45.4% | 49.4% | 5.2% | Trump +4.0 |
| Average | 46.05% | 50.7% | 3.25% | Trump +4.65 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bullfinch Group[60][K] | September 20–23, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 2,948 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 3,182 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Emerson College[61] | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| 51%[h] | 48% | 1%[o] | ||||
| ActiVote[62] | August 16–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[63][L] | August 15–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[64][M] | August 21–22, 2024 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| ActiVote[65] | August 5–15, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[66] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5%[p] |
| 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | 3%[q] | ||
| University of North Florida[67] | July 24–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 9%[r] |
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[68][s] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12%[t] |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[69] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Victory Insights[70] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[71] | September 16–19, 2024 | 1,602 (LV) | – | 50% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[72] | September 6–9, 2024 | 1,465 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Georgia
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [u] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | August 9 – September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.3% | 48.8% | 3.9% | Trump +1.5% |
| 270ToWin | September 4 – 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.0% | 49.1% | 2.9% | Trump +1.1% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.3% | 48.6% | 3.1% | Trump +0.3% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.9% | 48.1% | 4.0% | Trump +0.2% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.8% | 48.6% | 3.6% | Trump +0.8% |
| 538 | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.4% | 48.3% | 4.3% | Trump +0.9% |
| Average | 47.8% | 48.6% | 3.6% | Trump +0.8% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 989 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| 913 (LV) | 49% | 49% | 2% | |||
| Fox News[16] | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| 707 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 48% | 1% | ||
| CBS News/YouGov[73] | September 20–24, 2024 | 1,441 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Marist College[74] | September 19−24, 2024 | 1,420 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 48% | 3%[e] |
| 1,220 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 50% | 1%[e] | ||
| The Bullfinch Group[75][K] | September 20–23, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[76][B] | September 19–22, 2024 | 1,152 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| 47%[h] | 51% | 2% | ||||
| New York Times/Siena College[19] | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| 682 (LV) | 45% | 49% | 6% | |||
| Emerson College[77] | September 15–18, 2024 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 50% | 3%[g] |
| 48%[h] | 50% | 2%[g] | ||||
| TIPP Insights[78][D] | September 16–18, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| 835 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 9% | |||
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,347 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[79] | September 11–13, 2024 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| ActiVote[80] | August 8 – September 10, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Quinnipiac University[81] | September 4–8, 2024 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,405 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[82] | September 5–6, 2024 | 647 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9%[v] |
| 567 (LV) | 45% | 47% | 8%[w] | |||
| Patriot Polling[83] | September 1–3, 2024 | 814 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[84] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4%[w] |
| Emerson College[85] | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 48% | 3%[x] |
| 50%[h] | 49% | 1%[x] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 737 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% | ||
| Fox News[29] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[30][E] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Focaldata[86] | August 6–16, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | – |
| New York Times/Siena College[87] | August 9–14, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| 661 (LV) | 46% | 50% | 4% | |||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[38] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[88][N] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)[89] | July 29–30, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[90][G] | July 29–30, 2024 | 662 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[91] | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 5% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[92][O] | July 25–26, 2024 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Emerson College[93] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 49%[h] | 51% | – | ||||
| Landmark Communications[94] | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[95][P] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[96][y] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[97] | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 549 (LV) | 43% | 49% | 8% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[98] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College[99] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College[100] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 629 (LV) | 44% | 47% | 9% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [l] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH[101] | through September 24, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.0% | 47.5% | 0.8% | — | 1.0% | 3.7% | Trump +0.5% |
| 270ToWin[102] | September 18 – 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.5% | Trump +1.2% |
| Average | 46.7% | 47.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1 | 3.2% | Trump +0.9% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 989 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 3% | 2% |
| 913 (LV) | 48% | 48% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% | |||
| Fox News[16] | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 707 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | − | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[19] | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 46% | – | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| 682 (LV) | 44% | 47% | – | 1% | 2% | 6% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[103] | September 16–19, 2024 | 1,043 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| TIPP Insights[78][D] | September 16–18, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 2% | 1% | – | 7% |
| 835 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% | |||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[104][P] | September 9–15, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 7%[z] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[105] | September 6–9, 2024 | 562 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[81] | September 4–8, 2024 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6%[aa] |
| YouGov[106][I] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 47% | 0% | 0% | – | 8%[ab] |
| CNN/SSRS[107] | August 23–29, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[108] | August 25–28, 2024 | 699 (LV) | – | 42% | 44% | – | 1% | 0% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 737 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 46% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Fox News[29] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
Hawaii
[edit]Idaho
[edit]Illinois
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[109] | August 6–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[110][Q] | April 13–21, 2024 | 643 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[110][Q] | April 13–21, 2024 | 643 (LV) | – | 48% | 37% | 15% |
J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[111] | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cor Strategies[112] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Indiana
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ac] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Kamala Harris(D) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[113] | September 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 40% | 3%[x] |
| 58%[h] | 41% | 1%[x] | ||||
| Lake Research Partners (D)[114][R] | August 26 – September 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
Iowa
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[115][S] | September 8–11, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 3%[ad] |
Kansas
[edit]Kentucky
[edit]Louisiana
[edit]Maine
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[116] | August 15–19, 2024 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 58% | 41% | 1% |
| University of New Hampshire[117] | July 23–25, 2024 | 1,445 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Atlantic Research[118] | September 5–15, 2024 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 41% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Maine's 1st congressional district
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Atlantic Research[118] | September 5–15, 2024 | 414 (LV) | – | 58% | 32% | 10% |
| University of New Hampshire[116] | August 15–19, 2024 | 476 (LV) | – | 64% | 36% | – |
Maine's 2nd congressional district
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Atlantic Research[118] | September 5–15, 2024 | 398 (LV) | – | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| University of New Hampshire[116] | August 15–19, 2024 | 432 (LV) | – | 47% | 52% | 1% |
Maryland
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ac] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braun Research[T] | September 19–23, 2024 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 64% | 32% | 5%[ae] |
| 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 62% | 32% | 6%[af] | ||
| Morning Consult | September 9–18, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 61% | 33% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | September 16–17, 2024 | 543 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 64% | 33% | 3% |
| Emerson College | September 12–13, 2024 | 890 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 65% | 33% | 2% |
| 63% | 32% | 5% | ||||
| Morning Consult | August 30–September 8, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 62% | 34% | 4% |
| Gonzales Research | August 24–30, 2024 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 10% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[U] | August 14–20, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 64% | 32% | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ac] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braun Research[T] | September 19–23, 2024 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 63% | 31% | – | 1% | 1% | 5%[ag] |
| 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 61% | 31% | – | 1% | 1% | 6%[ah] | ||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[U] | August 14–20, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 29% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Massachusetts
[edit]Michigan
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [ai] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | August 28 – September 19, 2024 | September 19, 2024 | 49.1% | 47.3% | 3.6% | Harris +1.8% |
| 270ToWin | September 19 – 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 49.2% | 45.2% | 5.6% | Harris +4.0% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 18, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 49.7% | 47.3% | 3.0% | Harris +2.4% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 18, 2024 | September 25, 2024 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 3.5% | Harris +1.1% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 19, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 49.1% | 46.8% | 4.1% | Harris +2.3% |
| 538 | through September 18, 2024 | September 21, 2024 | 48.6% | 45.9% | 5.5% | Harris +2.7% |
| Average | 49.1% | 46.7% | 4.2% | Harris +2.4% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 894 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| 800 (LV) | 50% | 47% | 3% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[119][B] | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College[120] | September 15–18, 2024 | 875 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 47% | 4%[x] |
| 50%[h] | 49% | 1%[x] | ||||
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,297 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Marist College[121] | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,282 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 47% | 3%[aj] |
| 1,138 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 52% | 47% | 1%[aj] | ||
| Quinnipiac University[122] | September 12–16, 2024 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[123] | September 11–12, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 49% | 3%[ak] |
| Mitchell Research[124][V] | September 11, 2024 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,368 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| co/efficient (R)[125] | September 4–6, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov[126] | September 3–6, 2024 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Patriot Polling[127] | September 1–3, 2024 | 822 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R)[128] | August 28 – September 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[129] | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Emerson College[130] | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 47% | 3%[al] |
| 51%[h] | 48% | 1%[am] | ||||
| ActiVote[131] | July 28 – August 28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| EPIC-MRA[132] | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| 702 (RV) | 49% | 46% | 5% | |||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| YouGov[133][W] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 44% | 12%[an] |
| – (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% | ||
| TIPP Insights[134][D] | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[135][ao] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[136][F] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Focaldata[86] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 53% | 47% | – |
| The Bullfinch Group[137][K] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[138][N] | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[139] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[140] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| 619 (LV) | 50% | 46% | 5% | |||
| Navigator Research (D)[37] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[38] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 6% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[141][H] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[142] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 4% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[143][X] | July 25–26, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Fox News[144] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College[145] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 49%[h] | 51% | – | ||||
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention concludes | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[146][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[147] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[148] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 616 (LV) | 48% | 46% | 6% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 894 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| 800 (LV) | 50% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[149] | September 16–19, 2024 | 993 (LV) | – | 46% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[122] | September 12–16, 2024 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 45% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3%[ap] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[150] | September 6–9, 2024 | 556 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| YouGov[151][I] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 7%[ak] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[152] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| 702 (RV) | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.[aq] Natural Law |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [l] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 19, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 47.5% | 44.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | — | 3.5% | Harris +2.6% |
| RealClearPolitics | August 23 – September 16, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 47.0% | 45.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | Harris +1.8% |
| 270toWin | September 13 – 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 47.8% | 44.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 3.9% | Harris +3.0% |
| Average | 47.4% | 45.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 3.0% | Harris +2.4% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Natural Law |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[153] | September 11–19, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 2% | – | 2% | 2% | 3%[ar] |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[154] | September 16–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6%[as] |
| Mitchell Research[124][V] | September 11, 2024 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1% | – | 4%[as] |
| CNN/SSRS[155] | August 23–29, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 4% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Z to A Research (D)[156][Y] | August 23–26, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| YouGov[133][W] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7%[at] |
| – (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | ||
| TIPP Insights[134][D] | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[136][F] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Focaldata[86] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | – |
| 702 (RV) | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | |||
| 702 (A) | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[157] | August 12–15, 2024 | 530 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| The Bullfinch Group[137][K] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[138][N] | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[140] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| 619 (LV) | 48% | 43% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | |||
| Navigator Research (D)[37] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[38] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[158] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 771 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[142] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Fox News[144] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[159] | July 22–24, 2024 | 512 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| Glengariff Group[160][Z] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 10% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Emerson College[145] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glengariff Group[161][Z] | August 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA[132] | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[162][AA] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[135][ao] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 8% |
| Civiqs[163][Y] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[162][AA] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA[164][AB] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| Emerson College[165][AC] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Marketing Resource Group[166] | July 11–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 39% | 25%[au] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[146][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[167][AD] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[168][AE] | July 1–8, 2024 | 607 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[169] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College[170][AC] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 12% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[171] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| EPIC-MRA[172][AB] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College[173] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 49%[h] | 51% | – | ||||
| Mitchell Research[174][V] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[175] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| 636 (LV) | 47% | 46% | 7% | |||
| Mitchell Research[176][V] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| KAConsulting (R)[177][AF] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Prime Group[178][AG] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 52% | 48% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[147] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[179] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College[180] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| 616 (LV) | 47% | 46% | 7% | |||
| Emerson College[181] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 48%[h] | 52% | – | ||||
| CBS News/YouGov[182] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Kaplan Strategies[183] | April 20–21, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 51% | 13% |
| John Zogby Strategies[110][Q] | April 13–21, 2024 | 640 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Fox News[184] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[185] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group[186] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 42% | 22%[au] |
| The Bullfinch Group[187][K] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[188] | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 44% | 14%[av] |
| 1,218 (RV) | 44%[h] | 45% | 11%[aw] | |||
| 1,218 (RV) | 41% | 46% | 13% | |||
| 1,145 (LV) | 43% | 44% | 13%[av] | |||
| 1,145 (LV) | 45%[h] | 46% | 9%[ax] | |||
| 1,145 (LV) | 43% | 46% | 11% | |||
| 1,145 (LV) | 48.5%[h] | 51.5% | – | |||
| Spry Strategies (R)[189] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Wall Street Journal[190] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights[191][AH] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| Emerson College[192] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 50%[h] | 50% | – | ||||
| CNN/SSRS[193] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
| Mitchell Research[194][V] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University[195] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[196] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[197][AI] | February 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
| Kaplan Strategies[198] | February 22−23, 2024 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[199] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Emerson College[200] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| EPIC-MRA[201] | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Fox News[202] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Focaldata[203] | January 17–23, 2024 | 863 (A) | – | 41% | 43% | 16%[ay] |
| – (LV) | 45% | 44% | 11%[az] | |||
| – (LV) | 51%[h] | 49% | – | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[204] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 7% |
| Target Insyght[205] | January 4–10, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Glengariff Group[206][Z] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| John Zogby Strategies[207] | January 2–4, 2024 | 602 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| CNN/SSRS[208] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[209] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[210] | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,273 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 36% | 41% | 23%[ba] |
| 1,200 (LV) | 37% | 42% | 21%[bb] | |||
| EPIC-MRA[211] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[212] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Emerson College[213] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| New York Times/Siena College[148] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| 616 (LV) | 46% | 46% | 8% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[214] | October 5–10, 2023 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[215] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 17% |
| Marketing Resource Group[216] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 42% | 22% |
| Emerson College[217] | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[218][AJ] | September 26–27, 2023 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[219] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| EPIC-MRA[220] | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Emerson College[221] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 44% | 13% |
| Mitchell Research[222][V] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[223][AK] | Jul 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 44% | 9% |
| Prime Group[224][AG] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| 40% | 43% | 17%[bc] | ||||
| EPIC-MRA[225] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[226][AK] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (V) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[227][AL] | December 6–7, 2022 | 763 (V) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA[228] | November 30 – December 6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Emerson College[229] | October 28–31, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[230] | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[231][AB] | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[232] | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 19% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[233] | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[234][AM] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group (R)[235] | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| EPIC-MRA[164] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
| Emerson College[165][AC] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[167][AD] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[bd] |
| YouGov[236][I] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights[168][AE] | July 1–8, 2024 | 607 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 5%[be] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[169] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 7%[bd] |
| EPIC-MRA[172] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Emerson College[173] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Mitchell Research[174][V] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research[176][V] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| KAConsulting (R)[177][AF] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 7%[bf] |
| Prime Group[178][AG] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[147] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[179] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[180] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 16%[bf] |
| 616 (LV) | 42% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 11%[bf] | |||
| Emerson College[181] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Fox News[184] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[185] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group[186] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| Wall Street Journal[190] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Emerson College[192] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research[194][V] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[195] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 36% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[196] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[199] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College[200] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Fox News[202] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[237] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[238] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[210] | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,273 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 36% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 14%[bg] |
| 1,200 (LV) | 37% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11%[bh] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[163][Y] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 46% | 5% | 6% |
| 1983 Labs[239] | June 28–30, 2024 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9%[bd] |
| P2 Insights[240][AN] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[175] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% |
| 636 (LV) | 44% | 43% | 8% | 5% | |||
| P2 Insights[241][AN] | May 13−21, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 45% | 7% | 11% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[188] | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 44% | 7% | 9%[bi] |
| 1,218 (RV) | 41%[h] | 45% | 8% | 6%[bj] | |||
| 1,145 (LV) | 41% | 44% | 7% | 13%[bk] | |||
| 1,145 (LV) | 42%[h] | 45% | 8% | 5%[bl] | |||
| Spry Strategies (R)[189] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 43% | 9% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[242] | March 14–17, 2024 | 616 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 6% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[243] | December 28–30, 2023 | 832 (LV) | – | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[244] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 38% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[210] | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,273 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 35% | 40% | 9% | 16%[bm] |
| 1,200 (LV) | 36% | 41% | 8% | 11%[bn] | |||
| New York Times/Siena College[245] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 34% | 26% | 9% |
| 616 (LV) | 34% | 34% | 25% | 7% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[215] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 7% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[162][AA] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[246] | July 16–18, 2024 | 437 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 10%[bd] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[247] | July 8–10, 2024 | 465 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 9%[bd] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[248] | June 8–11, 2024 | 719 (LV) | – | 36% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 18%[bd] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[249] | May 2–4, 2024 | 650 (LV) | – | 37% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 12% |
| CBS News/YouGov[182] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | 9% | 3% | 0% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[188] | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 6% |
| 1,218 (RV) | 42%[h] | 44% | 11% | 3% | – | |||
| 1,145 (LV) | 41% | 44% | 9% | 1% | 5% | |||
| 1,145 (LV) | 43%[h] | 44% | 11% | 2% | – |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[193] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS[208] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[250] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[221] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[110][Q] | April 13–21, 2024 | 640 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[110][Q] | April 13–21, 2024 | 640 (LV) | – | 42% | 41% | 17% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[146][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Glengariff Group[206][Z] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[144] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
| Glengariff Group[160][Z] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[146][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Emerson College/The Hill[251] | Mar 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Glengariff Group[206][Z] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Marketing Resource Group[216] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[162][AA] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[146][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[144] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[146][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[146][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[202] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| Glengariff Group[206][Z] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
| CNN/SSRS[208] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[211] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 47% | 17% |
| New York Times/Siena College[245] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 35% | 45% | 20% |
| 616 (LV) | 36% | 46% | 18% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[202] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 33% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[244] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 37% | 25% | 18% | 20% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[208] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[245] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| 616 (LV) | 44% | 43% | 13% | |||
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[219] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research[222][V] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[223][AK] | July 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 46% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA[225] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[226][AK] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[244] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 39% | 30% | 13% | 2% | 15% |
Minnesota
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [bo] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 22 – September 8, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.7% | 44.3% | 6.0% | Harris +5.4% |
| 270ToWin | August 30 – September 13, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.8% | 44.0% | 6.2% | Harris +5.8% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 13, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 50.3% | 43.6% | 6.1% | Harris +6.7% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 17, 2024 | September 17, 2024 | 50% | 44% | 6.0% | Harris +6.0% |
| 538 | through September 18, 2024 | September 18, 2024 | 49.9% | 43.4% | 6.7% | Harris +6.5% |
| Average | 50% | 43.85% | 6.15% | Harris +6.15% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[252][AO] | September 23–26, 2024 | 646 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[253][B] | September 19−22, 2024 | 993 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Mason-Dixon[254][AP] | September 16−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9%[bp] |
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| Embold Research/MinnPost[255] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,616 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 45% | 6%[bq] |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| SurveyUSA[256][AO] | August 27–29, 2024 | 635 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| SurveyUSA[257][AO] | July 23–25, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | 10%[br] |
| Fox News[258] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[259] | September 16–19, 2024 | 703 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[260] | September 6–9, 2024 | 617 (LV) | – | 51% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Mississippi
[edit]Missouri
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[261] | September 12–13, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 53% | 43% | 4%[x] |
| 55%[h] | 43% | 2%[x] | ||||
| Change Resaerch (D)[262] | September 11–13, 2024 | 1,237 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| GQR (D)[263] | September 6–12, 2024 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 44% | 1% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| ActiVote[264] | July 25 – August 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 59% | 41% | – |
| YouGov/Saint Louis University[265] | August 8–16, 2024 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 41% | 5%[bs] |
Montana
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMG Research[266][AQ] | September 12–19, 2024 | 491 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 59% | 38% | 3%[bt] |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ David Binder Research (D)[267][N] |
August 25–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 41% | 3% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[268][F] | August 13–20, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 58% | 35% | 7% |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
| Emerson College[269] | August 5–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | 3.0% | 55% | 40% | 5% |
| 58%[h] | 43% | – | ||||
Nebraska
[edit]Statewide
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[270][AR] | September 20–23, 2024 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 56% | 40% | 5%[bu] |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[271][AS] | August 26–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 54% | 37% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA[272][AP] | August 23–27, 2024 | 1,293 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 37% | 9%[bv] |
Nebraska's 2nd congressional district
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[272][AP] | August 23–27, 2024 | 507 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 47% | 42% | 11%[bw] |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[273] | September 20–25, 2024 | 794 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Nevada
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [bx] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | August 23 – September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.3% | 46.9% | 4.8% | Harris +1.4% |
| 270ToWin | September 4 – 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.8% | 46.7% | 4.5% | Harris +2.1% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 49.5% | 46.9% | 3.6% | Harris +2.6% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.9% | 46.4% | 4.7% | Harris +2.5% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.6% | 47.0% | 4.4% | Harris +1.6% |
| 538 | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.8% | 46.8% | 5.4% | Harris +1.0% |
| Average | 48.65% | 46.7% | 4.65% | Harris +1.95% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIPP Insights[274][D] | September 23−25, 2024 | 1,044 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| 736 (LV) | 49% | 48% | 3% | |||
| Quantus Insights (R)[275][AT] | September 23−25, 2024 | 628 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | 3%[by] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 574 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| 516 (LV) | 52% | 45% | 3% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[276][B] | September 19−22, 2024 | 738 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College[277] | September 15–18, 2024 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 48% | 4%[g] |
| 49%[h] | 49% | 2%[g] | ||||
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 474 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[278] | September 9−16, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| 692 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | 5% | ||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[279] | September 11–13, 2024 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 44% | 11%[bz] |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Patriot Polling[280] | September 1–3, 2024 | 788 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[281] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | 5%[ca] |
| Emerson College[282] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,168 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 48% | 3%[cb] |
| 49%[h] | 49% | 1%[cc] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[283] | August 23–26, 2024 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 450 (RV) | 49% | 45% | 6% | |||
| Fox News[29] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,026 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2%[ak] |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[284][F] | August 13–18, 2024 | 980 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Focaldata[285] | August 6–16, 2024 | 678 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 46% | – |
| New York Times/Siena College[286] | August 12–15, 2024 | 677 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 677 (LV) | 47% | 48% | 5% | |||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[287] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[288][H] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[289] | July 24–28, 2024 | 454 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | 7% |
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention concludes | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[290] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Republican National Convention begins | ||||||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[291] | May 7–13, 2024 | 459 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[292] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 48% | 13% |
| New York Times/Siena College[293] | October 22–November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| 611 (LV) | 42% | 50% | 8% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [l] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 25, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.3% | 47.0% | — | — | 1.2% | 3.5% | Harris +1.2% |
| 270toWin | September 5 – 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 48.0% | 46.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 4.1% | Harris +2.0% |
| Average | 48.2% | 46.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 3.4% | Harris +1.7% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIPP Insights[274][D] | September 23−25, 2024 | 1,044 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 43% | 1% | 0% | − | 9% |
| 736 (LV) | 50% | 49% | 0% | 0% | − | 1% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 574 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 44% | – | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| 516 (LV) | 50% | 44% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[294] | September 16–19, 2024 | 652 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 9% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[278] | September 9−16, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | – | 0% | 1% | 10%[cd] |
| 692 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 5%[ce] | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[295] | September 6–9, 2024 | 698 (LV) | – | 45% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| YouGov[296][I] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 46% | 0% | 1% | – | 4%[ak] |
| CNN/SSRS[297] | August 23–29, 2024 | 976 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[298] | August 25–28, 2024 | 490 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[299] | August 23–26, 2024 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| 450 (RV) | 48% | 45% | – | 2% | 4% | 1% | |||
| Fox News[29] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,026 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2%[ak] |
New Hampshire
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [cf] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 26 – September 12, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 51.0% | 45.3% | 3.7% | Harris +5.7% |
| 270ToWin | September 8 – 13, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 51.5% | 45.0% | 3.5% | Harris +6.5% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 13, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 50.6% | 43.9% | 5.5% | Harris +6.7% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through August 19, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 52.0% | 47.1% | 0.9% | Harris +4.9% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 15, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 51.1% | 44.5% | 4.4% | Harris +6.6% |
| 538 | through September 16, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 50.7% | 44.0% | 5.3% | Harris +6.7% |
| Average | 51.15% | 44.97% | 3.88% | Harris +6.18% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| University of New Hampshire[116] | August 15–19, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 52% | 47% | 1% |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Emerson College[300] | July 26–28, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 52%[h] | 48% | – | ||||
| University of New Hampshire[301] | July 23–25, 2024 | 2,875 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 53% | 46% | 1% |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[302] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College[303] | September 11–12, 2024 | 2,241 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 51% | 43% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
New Jersey
[edit]New Mexico
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[304][B] | September 19−22, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| SurveyUSA[305] | September 12–18, 2024 | 619 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
| The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC | ||||||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| Emerson College[306] | August 20–22, 2024 | 956 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| 54%[h] | 46% | – | ||||
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[307] | September 6–9, 2024 | 521 (LV) | – | 49% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[308] | August 20–22, 2024 | 956 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 40% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[309] | August 12–15, 2024 | 592 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 6% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[310] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 493 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc.[311][cg] | September 6–13, 2024 | 532 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 39% | 3% | 9% |
New York
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[312][AU] | September 23–25, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 40% | 6%[ch] |
| Siena College[313] | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 55% | 42% | 3% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| ActiVote[314] | August 1–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Siena College[315] | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[316][O] | July 18–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[313] | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 40% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 5% |
North Carolina
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Undecided [ci] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | August 26 – September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.3% | 47.1% | 4.6% | Trump +1.2% |
| 270ToWin | September 13 – 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.1% | 47.7% | 4.2% | Trump +0.4% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.2% | 48.0% | 3.8% | Trump +0.2% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.4% | 47.8% | 3.8% | Trump +0.6% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.1% | 47.7% | 4.2% | Trump +0.4% |
| 538 | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.7% | 47.5% | 4.8% | Trump +0.2% |
| Average | 48.05% | 47.55% | 4.4% | Trump +0.5% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| 828 (LV) | 48% | 50% | 2% | |||
| Fox News[16] | September 20−24, 2024 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 49% | 1% | ||
| Marist College[317] | September 19−24, 2024 | 1,507 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3%[e] |
| 1,348 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 49% | 2%[e] | ||
| The Bullfinch Group[318][K] | September 20–23, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[319][B] | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5%[f] |
| New York Times/Siena College[19] | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| 682 (LV) | 49% | 47% | 4% | |||
| Victory Insights (R)[320] | September 16−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Emerson College[321] | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3%[x] |
| 49% | 50%[h] | 1%[x] | ||||
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,314 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[322][N] | September 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3%[ak] |
| TIPP Insights[323][D] | September 11–13, 2024 | 973 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Elon University[324] | September 4−13, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 46% | 9%[cj] |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[325] | September 11–12, 2024 | 1,094 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 46% | 6%[f] |
| Quantus Insights (R)[326][AT] | September 11–12, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 5%[ck] |
| 50% | 48% | 2%[cl] | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[81] | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 50% | 3%[cm] |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,369 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[327][AV] | September 4–7, 2024 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[328] | September 5–6, 2024 | 692 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7%[cj] |
| 619 (LV) | 48% | 47% | 5%[w] | |||
| Patriot Polling[329] | September 1–3, 2024 | 804 (RV) | – | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[330] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3%[w] |
| ActiVote[331] | August 6–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Emerson College[332] | August 25–28, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| 50%[h] | 49% | 1%[x] | ||||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[333][AW] | August 26–27, 2024 | 612 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 645 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| 700 (RV) | 47% | 49% | 4% | |||
| Fox News[29] | August 23–26, 2024 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | 1%[ak] |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| High Point University/SurveyUSA[334] | August 19–21, 2024 | 1,053 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 941 (LV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
| Spry Strategies (R)[30][E] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
| Focaldata[335] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 50% | – |
| New York Times/Siena College[87] | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| 655 (LV) | 47% | 49% | 4% | |||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[336] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Navigator Research (D)[37] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[38] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[337] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[338] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Emerson College[339] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [l] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 25, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 46.5% | 47.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.4% | Trump +0.8% |
| 270toWin | September 23 – 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 47.0% | 47.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 3.1% | Trump +0.8% |
| Average | 46.8% | 47.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 3.1% | Trump +0.7% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[340] | September 20–25, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 828 (LV) | 47% | 49% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% | |||
| Fox News[16] | September 20−24, 2024 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[19] | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| 682 (LV) | 47% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 7% | |||
| Meredith College[341] | September 18–20, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2%[ap] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[342] | September 16–19, 2024 | 868 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[322][N] | September 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[343][AX] | September 15–16, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 6%[ap] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[344] | September 6–9, 2024 | 495 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Quinnipiac University[81] | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 49% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4%[x] |
| YouGov[345][I] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 46% | 0% | 1% | – | 6%[ak] |
| East Carolina University[346] | August 26–28, 2024 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[347] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| 645 (LV) | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% | |||
| Fox News[29] | August 23–26, 2024 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1%[ak] |
North Dakota
[edit]Ohio
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMG Research[348][AQ] | September 18−20, 2024 | 757 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 43% | 3%[cn] |
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,488 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 43% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Emerson College[349] | September 3–5, 2024 | 945 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
| 54%[h] | 45% | 1%[co] | ||||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[350][AW] | August 31 – September 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 52% | 43% | 5% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| ActiVote[351] | August 2–22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 56% | 44% | – |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[352][F] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,267 (LV) | – | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[353][N] | July 23–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Ohio Northern University[354] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Oklahoma
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll[355] | August 24–31, 2024 | 323 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 56% | 40% | 4% |
Oregon
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffman Research[356] | July 24–26, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Pennsylvania
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [cp] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | August 23 – September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.4% | 47.5% | 4.1% | Harris +0.9% |
| 270ToWin | September 16 – 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.7% | 47.2% | 4.1% | Harris +1.5% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 3.3% | Harris +2.1% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 49.2% | 47.9% | 2.9% | Harris +1.3% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.9% | 47.2% | 3.9% | Harris +1.7% |
| 538 | through September 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.5% | 46.8% | 4.7% | Harris +1.7% |
| Average | 48.9% | 47.35% | 3.75% | Harris +1.55% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 993 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| 924 (LV) | 51% | 46% | 3% | |||
| ActiVote[357] | September 1–25, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Fox News[16] | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,021 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | 2% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[358][B] | September 19–22, 2024 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4%[ak] |
| 50%[h] | 49% | 1%[ak] | ||||
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[359][AY] | September 16–22, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 46% | 8%[ak] |
| RMG Research[360][AQ] | September 18–20, 2024 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 5%[cq] |
| 49%[h] | 49% | 3%[cr] | ||||
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[361] | September 16–19, 2024 | 450 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 48% | 48% | 4%[cs] |
| Emerson College[362] | September 15–18, 2024 | 880 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 48% | 5%[x] |
| 50%[h] | 49% | 1%[x] | ||||
| MassINC Polling Group[363][AZ] | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 47% | 1% |
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,756 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Marist College[364] | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,663 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3%[ct] |
| 1,476 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 49% | 2%[cu] | ||
| Washington Post[365] | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 5%[cv] |
| 1,003 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 4%[cv] | |||
| Quinnipiac University[122] | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,331 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 46% | 2% |
| New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[366] | September 11−16, 2024 | 1,082 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 1,082 (LV) | 50% | 46% | 4% | |||
| Suffolk University/USA Today[367] | September 11−16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[368] | September 14−15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 50% | 2%[ak] |
| The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC | ||||||
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,910 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| co/efficient (R)[369] | September 4–6, 2024 | 889 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov[370] | September 3–6, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Patriot Polling[371] | September 1–3, 2024 | 857 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[372] | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 47% | 8%[cw] |
| Wick Insights[373][BA] | August 27–29, 2024 | 1,607 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College[374] | August 25–28, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 48% | 4%[x] |
| 49%[h] | 49% | 1%[x] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 803 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 48% | 1% | ||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[375][AW] | August 23, 2024 | 713 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| 800 (RV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| YouGov[133][W] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 43% | 14%[cx] |
| – (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 47% | 6%[cy] | ||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| ActiVote[376] | August 5–22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[135][ao] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[30][E] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[377] | August 18–19, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7%[cz] |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[352][F] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,312 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Focaldata[335] | August 6–16, 2024 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Cygnal (R)[378] | August 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Emerson College[379][BB] | August 13–14, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| 49%[h] | 51% | – | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[380] | August 8–12, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| The Bullfinch Group[137][K] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[381] | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| 693 (LV) | 50% | 46% | 4% | |||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[382] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Navigator Research (D)[37] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[38] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[383][BC] | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[384][G] | July 29–30, 2024 | 627 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| GQR Research (D)[385] | July 26–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 4%[da] |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[386][H] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Quantus Polls and News[387] | July 27–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[388] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| The Bullfinch Group[389][BD] | July 23–25, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Fox News[390] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College[391] | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 49%[h] | 51% | – | ||||
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[392][BE] | July 20–23, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 9% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[393][O] | July 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Republican National Convention concludes | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[394] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Republican National Convention begins | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[395][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[396] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 872 (LV) | 47% | 48% | 5% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[397] | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | 7% |
| Emerson College[398] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
| New York Times/Siena College[399] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 600 (LV) | 44% | 48% | 8% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [l] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 19, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 48.7% | 45.6% | 0.9% | — | 0.7% | 4.1% | Harris +3.1% |
| 270toWin | September 20 – 27, 2024 | September 27, 2024 | 48.6% | 46.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | Harris +2.2% |
| Average | 48.7% | 46.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 3.3% | Harris +2.7% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 993 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| 924 (LV) | 51% | 45% | – | 0% | 3% | 1% | |||
| Fox News[16] | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,021 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | – | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[400] | September 16–19, 2024 | 1,086 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[401] | September 11–19, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| MassINC Polling Group[363][AZ] | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 46% | − | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[122] | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,331 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 45% | − | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[402] | September 4–15, 2024 | 890 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[403] | September 6–9, 2024 | 801 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 9% |
| YouGov[404][I] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 0% | 1% | – | 8%[ak] |
| Wick Insights[373][BA] | August 27–29, 2024 | 1,607 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| CNN/SSRS[405] | August 23–29, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[406] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 46% | 45% | – | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 803 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 45% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post[365] | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 4%[cv] |
| 1,003 (LV) | 48% | 47% | 1% | 4% |
Rhode Island
[edit]South Carolina
[edit]South Dakota
[edit]Tennessee
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald J. Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[407] | July 26 – August 29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – |
Hypothetical polling
Donald J. Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald J. Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[408][BF] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 31% | 14% |
| Targoz Market Research[409][BF] | December 14–28, 2023 | 929 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 63% | 31% | 5% |
| Siena College[410][BG] | November 5–10, 2023 | 805 (A) | – | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| Targoz Market Research[411][BF] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| Emerson College[412] | October 1–4, 2023 | 410 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Targoz Market Research[413][BF] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,046 (V) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 11% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[414] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 42% | 26% | 31% |
Donald J. Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
DonaldJ. Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[415] | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 29% | 8% | 16%[db] |
| Targoz Market Research[408][BF] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 28% | 15% | 10% |
| Targoz Market Research[409][BF] | December 14–28, 2023 | 933 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 25% | 16% | 8% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[416] | November 14 – December 2, 2023 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 26% | 12% | 17% |
| Targoz Market Research[411][BF] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald J. Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[411][BF] | October 5–16, 2023 | 844 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 53% | 23% | 6% | 18% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[413][BF] | June 14–22, 2023 | 977 (V) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 36% | 11% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[414] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 33% | 24% | 40% |
Texas
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Undecided [dc] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | January 11 – September 5, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 50.3% | 43.0% | 6.7% | Trump +7.3% |
| 270ToWin | August 22 – September 13, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 50.4% | 44.2% | 5.4% | Trump +6.2% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 19, 2024 | September 19, 2024 | 50.7% | 45.1% | 4.2% | Trump +5.6% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 19, 2024 | September 19, 2024 | 51.1% | 44.9% | 4.0% | Trump +6.2% |
| 538 | through September 19, 2024 | September 19, 2024 | 50.4% | 44.2% | 5.4% | Trump +6.2% |
| Average | 50.7% | 44.05% | 5.25% | Trump +6.65% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[417] | September 22−24, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 46% | 3%[x] |
| 52%[h] | 47% | 1%[x] | ||||
| ActiVote[418] | September 7−24, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 2,716 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 2,940 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 43% | 5% |
| Emerson College[419] | September 3–5, 2024 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 51%[h] | 48% | 1%[dd] | ||||
| YouGov[420][BH] | August 23–31, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | 7%[de] |
| ActiVote[421] | August 14–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54.5% | 45.5% | – |
| Quantus Insights (R)[422] | August 29–30, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 42% | 9%[df] |
| 52% | 44% | 4%[dg] | ||||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[423][M] | August 21–22, 2024 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 44% | 6% |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| ActiVote[424] | July 31 – August 13, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| YouGov[425][BI] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[426] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 39% | 15%[dh] |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[427] | September 13–18, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D)[428] | August 24–29, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| YouGov[420][BH] | August 23–31, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | 2% | 0% | 5% |
Utah
[edit]Vermont
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| University of New Hampshire[429] | August 15–19, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 70% | 29% | 1% |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
Virginia
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [di] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 9 – September 8, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.0% | 43.7% | 7.3% | Harris +5.3% |
| 270ToWin | August 20 – September 11, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.8% | 41.3% | 8.9% | Harris +8.5% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 10, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 50.3% | 43.0% | 6.7% | Harris +7.3% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 8, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.9% | 43.9% | 6.2% | Harris +6.0% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 15, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.8% | 42.2% | 8.0% | Harris +7.6% |
| 538 | through September 16, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 49.6% | 41.6% | 8.8% | Harris +8.0% |
| Average | 49.73% | 42.62% | 7.65% | Harris +7.12% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[430][BJ] | September 22−24, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 44% | 4%[x] |
| 53%[h] | 46% | 1%[x] | ||||
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[431][B] | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| ActiVote[432] | August 19 – September 17, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – |
| Research America Inc.[433][BK] | September 3−9, 2024 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 45% | 10%[dj] |
| 756 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 46% | 6%[dk] | ||
| Washington Post/Schar School[434] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | 6%[cv] |
| 1,005 (LV) | 51% | 43% | 6%[cv] | |||
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 873 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Quantus Insights (R)[435][AT] | August 20–22, 2024 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Roanoke College[436] | August 12–16, 2024 | 691 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 44% | 10%[dl] |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Emerson College[437] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[438] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 13%[dm] |
| 265 (LV) | 43% | 47% | 10%[dn] | |||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[439] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| 544 (LV) | 46% | 42% | 12% | |||
| New York Times/Siena College[440] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 44% | 7% | ||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[441][O] | July 6–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post/Schar School[434] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 42% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 7%[do] |
| 1,005 (LV) | 50% | 42% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 6%[do] | |||
| Virginia Commonwealth University[442] | August 26 – September 6, 2024 | 809 (A) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 36% | 2% | 1% | – | 15%[dp] |
| 749 (RV) | 49% | 36% | 1% | 1% | – | 13%[dq] |
Washington
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elway Research[443][BL] | September 3–6, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 32% | 11% |
| DHM Research[444] | July 12–17, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 40% | 14%[dr] |
| SurveyUSA[445][BM] | July 10–13, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
West Virginia
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research America[446][BN] | August 21–27, 2024 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | 34% | 5% |
Wisconsin
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [ds] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | August 28 – September 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 49.0% | 48.3% | 2.7% | Harris +0.7% |
| 270ToWin | September 14 – 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 3.3% | Harris +2.1% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 50% | 47.2% | 2.8% | Harris +2.8% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 49.8% | 47.9% | 2.3% | Harris +1.9% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 49.7% | 47.5% | 2.8% | Harris +2.2% |
| 538 | through September 26, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 48.8% | 46.6% | 4.6% | Harris +2.2% |
| Average | 49.4% | 47.45% | 3.15% | Harris +1.95% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| 785 (LV) | 51% | 48% | 1% | |||
| RMG Research[447][AQ] | September 17–23, 2024 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 49% | 1%[x] |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[448][B] | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 1% |
| Emerson College[449] | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3%[x] |
| 49%[h] | 50% | 1%[x] | ||||
| MassINC Polling Group[363][BO] | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 53% | 46% | 1% |
| Morning Consult[21] | September 9−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Marist College[450] | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,312 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 47% | 3%[dt] |
| 1,194 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 49% | 1%[du] | ||
| Quinnipiac University[122] | September 12–16, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[451][N] | September 11–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[452] | September 11–12, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4%[dv] |
| Morning Consult[21] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 638 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| co/efficient (R)[453] | September 4–6, 2024 | 917 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov[454] | September 3–6, 2024 | 946 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Marquette University Law School[455] | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 52%[h] | 48% | – | ||
| 738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 44% | 7% | ||
| 738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 52%[h] | 48% | – | ||
| Patriot Polling[456] | September 1–3, 2024 | 826 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[457] | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 7%[dw] |
| Emerson College[458] | August 25–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| 49%[h] | 50% | 1%[x] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 648 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 44% | 3% |
| 701 (RV) | 52% | 44% | 4% | |||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| YouGov[133][W] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.3% | 48% | 42% | 10%[dx] |
| – (LV) | ± 5.9% | 51% | 46% | 3% | ||
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| BK Strategies[459][BP] | August 19–21, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[135][ao] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[30][E] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[136][F] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Focaldata[86] | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Quantus Polls and News[460][BQ] | August 14–15, 2024 | 601 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| TIPP Insights[461][BE] | August 12–14, 2024 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| 976 (LV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
| The Bullfinch Group[137][K] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[462] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Navigator Research (D)[37] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[38] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| New York Times/Siena College[140] | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 661 (LV) | 50% | 46% | 3% | |||
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| RMG Research [463][AQ] | July 31 – August 5, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Marquette University Law School[464] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49%[h] | 50% | 1% | ||
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 6% | ||
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50%[h] | 49% | 1% | ||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[465][H] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[466] | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Fox News[467] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Emerson College[93] | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| 51%[h] | 49% | – | ||||
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[468][G] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[469][BE] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[98] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College[470] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[471] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| 603 (LV) | 46% | 48% | 6% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[15] | September 19–25, 2024 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| 785 (LV) | 50% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 2% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[472] | September 16–19, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[122] | September 12–16, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3%[dy] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[473] | September 6–9, 2024 | 626 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| YouGov[474][I] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 44% | 1% | 1% | – | 7%[dz] |
| CNN/SSRS[475] | August 23–29, 2024 | 976 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 44% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[476] | August 25–28, 2024 | 672 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[28] | August 23–26, 2024 | 648 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 701 (RV) | 51% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.[ea] Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [l] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 18, 2024 | September 26, 2024 | 48.8% | 45.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | Harris +3.9% |
| RealClearPolitics | August 12 – September 16, 2024 | September 16, 2024 | 48.1% | 44.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | Harris +3.2% |
| 270toWin | September 11 – 23, 2024 | September 23, 2024 | 48.4% | 45.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.9% | Harris +3.0% |
| Average | 48.4% | 45.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | Harris +3.3% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC Polling Group[363][BO] | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[451][N] | September 11–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4%[ap] |
| Marquette University Law School[455] | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1%[eb] | ||
| Z to A Research (D)[477][Y] | August 23–26, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | 2% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| YouGov[133][W] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 40% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9%[ec] |
| – (LV) | ± 5.9% | 49% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[136][F] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Focaldata[86] | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| 700 (RV) | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
| 700 (A) | 50% | 43% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[478] | August 12–15, 2024 | 469 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| The Bullfinch Group[137][K] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[140] | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 661 (LV) | 49% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | |||
| Navigator Research (D)[37] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[38] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[479] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 597 (LV) | – | 43% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Marquette University Law School[464] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 45% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[466] | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 6% | – | 0% | 3% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[480] | July 22–24, 2024 | 523 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News[467] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies (R)[30][E] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 7% |
| Emerson College[93] | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[135][ao] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | 4% | 7% |
| Civiqs[481][Y] | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University Law School[464] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% | ||
| Emerson College[482][AC] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[483][BR] | July 11–12, 2024 | 653 (V) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[484][AD] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[468][G] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[469][BE] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights[168][AE] | July 1–8, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[485] | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[486][N] | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Emerson College[487][AC] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[488] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[489] | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 50%[h] | 50% | – | ||
| 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 44% | 9% | ||
| 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51%[h] | 49% | – | ||
| Emerson College[490] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 49%[h] | 51% | – | ||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[97] | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 38% | 22%[ed] |
| 290 (LV) | 40% | 41% | 19%[ee] | |||
| KAConsulting (R)[491][AF] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Prime Group[492][AG] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[98] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[493] | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[494] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| 614 (LV) | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||
| Quinnipiac University[495] | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Emerson College[496] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 48%[h] | 52% | – | ||||
| Kaplan Strategies[497] | April 20–21, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
| John Zogby Strategies[110][Q] | April 13–21, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov[498] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Fox News[499] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[500] | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[501] | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 49%[h] | 51% | – | ||
| 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% | ||
| 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49%[h] | 51% | – | ||
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[502][BS] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Wall Street Journal[503] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[504][BT] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Emerson College[99] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| 48%[h] | 52% | – | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[505] | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[506] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Emerson College[470] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Kaplan Strategies[507] | February 23, 2024 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Marquette University Law School[508] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49%[h] | 49% | 2% | ||
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 10% | ||
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49%[h] | 50% | 1% | ||
| Fox News[509] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Focaldata[510] | January 17–23, 2024 | 863 (A) | – | 38% | 43% | 19%[ef] |
| – (LV) | 42% | 46% | 12%[eg] | |||
| – (LV) | 49%[h] | 51% | – | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[511] | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[512] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| J.L. Partners[513][BU] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[514] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Emerson College[515] | October 30 - November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| 819 (LV) | 45% | 45% | 10% | |||
| New York Times/Siena College[471] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| 603 (LV) | 47% | 45% | 8% | |||
| Marquette University Law School[516] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| 50%[h] | 48% | 1% | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[517] | October 5–10, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Emerson College[518] | October 1–4, 2023 | 532 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 42% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[519][BV] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Prime Group[520][AG] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 37% | 40% | 23%[eh] | ||
| Marquette University Law School[521] | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| 52%[h] | 43% | 4% | ||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[522] | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College[523] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College[524] | September 16–18, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[525][AM] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Marquette University Law School[526] | October 26–31, 2021 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[527] | July 16–18, 2024 | 470 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | 6% | – | 1% | 9%[ei] |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[528] | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Emerson College[482][AC] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 6%[bd] |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[484][AD] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[bd] |
| YouGov[529][I] | July 4–12, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 38% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[BE] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 11% | – | 3% | 12%[ej] |
| Echelon Insights[168][AE] | July 1–8, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 6%[ek] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[485] | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[486][N] | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 9% | – | 3% | 6%[bd] |
| Marquette University Law School[489] | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 3%[ek] |
| 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 2%[bd] | ||
| Emerson College[490] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| J.L. Partners[530] | June 5–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| KAConsulting (R)[491][AF] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 42% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 6%[el] |
| Prime Group[492][AG] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[98] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[493] | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[494] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 14%[em] |
| 614 (LV) | 39% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 13%[em] | |||
| Quinnipiac University[495] | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 39% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 4% |
| Emerson College[496] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News[499] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[500] | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Marquette University Law School[501] | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 40% | 41% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[502][BS] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
| Wall Street Journal[503] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 38% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College[99] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[505] | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[506] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Emerson College[470] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Marquette University Law School[508] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 40% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
| 808 (LV) | 39% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 1% | |||
| Fox News[509] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[531] | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[532] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 13% |
| J.L. Partners[513][BU] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 12%[en] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[481][Y] | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
| P2 Insights[533][AN] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[97] | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 18% |
| 290 (LV) | 40% | 35% | 12% | 13% | |||
| P2 Insights[534][AN] | May 13−21, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[535] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 37% | 35% | 22% | 6% |
| 603 (LV) | 37% | 35% | 21% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[536] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 13% | 2% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/YouGov[498] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 0% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[110][Q] | April 13–21, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[110][Q] | April 13–21, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[468][G] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College[470] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[467] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[468][G] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[468][G] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[467] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[468][G] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[468][G] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University Law School[508] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 33% | 45% | 22% |
| 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41%[h] | 57% | 2% | ||
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 35% | 46% | 19% | ||
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42%[h] | 57% | 1% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[537] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 52% | 9% |
| 603 (LV) | 39% | 53% | 8% | |||
| Marquette University Law School[516] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 41% | 23% |
| 44%[h] | 53% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[537] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| 603 (LV) | 44% | 48% | 8% | |||
| Marquette University Law School[516] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| 48%[h] | 50% | 1% | ||||
| Marquette University Law School[521] | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| 49%[h] | 47% | 4% | ||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[538] | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Wyoming
[edit]See also
[edit]
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
- ^ The boundaries of Nebraska's 2nd congressional district have since changed because of redistricting.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv Cite error: The named reference
keywas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f "Another party's candidates" with 1%
- ^ a b c d "Other" with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
- ^ a b c d e f g Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ Poll conducted for WTVT
- ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b c d "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
- ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
- ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b c Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
- ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
- ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
- ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b Another Party's Candidate with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
- ^ a b c d Randall Terry (C) with 0%
- ^ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Michigan.
- ^ Randall Terry (C), Joseph Kishore (SEP), & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 0% each
- ^ a b Joseph Kishore (SEP) & Randall Terry (C) with 0% each
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 8%
- ^ "Someone else" with 11%
- ^ "Someone else" with 9%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 9%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
- ^ "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Another third party candidate" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ a b c Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 3%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ "Another third party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ "Another third party candidate" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 3%; "Undecided" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 5%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
SOC4was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Other" with 8%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; None of these candidates with 1%
- ^ None of these candidates with 3%
- ^ None of these candidates with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Poll conducted for the Albuquerque Journal
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Neither/Other" with 4%
- ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
- ^ a b c d e "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 6%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 8%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Someone else"
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
- ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 9%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
- ^ Randall Terry (C) with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 12%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 11%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 13%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 9%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ a b Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Begrich's campaign for U.S. House and the National Republican Congressional Committee
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by American Thinker
- ^ Poll sponsored by AZ Free News
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll conducted for The Independent Center
- ^ Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Poll commissioned by AARP Cite error: The named reference "AARP" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ a b c d e f g h Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Washington Post and the University of Maryland, College Park
- ^ a b This poll was commissioned by the AARP.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll commissioned by MIRS
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
- ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Detroit Free Press
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by NetChoice
- ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
- ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
- ^ a b c Poll commissioned by Split Ticket
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Dan Osborn, an independent candidate for Nebraska's Class 3 Senate seat
- ^ Poll sponsored by Retire Career Politicians PAC
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
- ^ Poll sponsored by WPIX-TV
- ^ Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
Cjournalwas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Poll sponsored by La Torre Live
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Spotlight PA
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by 2WAY
- ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearPennsylvania
- ^ Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Tennessean
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
- ^ Poll sponsored by WAVY-TV, WRIC-TV, WFXR-TV, & WDCW-TV
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
UMWwas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Poll sponsored by Crosscut.com
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
- ^ Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch
- ^ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications
- ^ Poll sponsored by Trending Politics
- ^ Poll conducted for Protect Our Care
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
References
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