The 2020 Nevada bar exam looks to an old exam format with a new twist

Nevada has announced it will offer an online bar exam this year. Like other states grappling with bar exam changes, there remain questions I have—security, a new format for test-takers, and fixing the appropriate pass rates. (For what it’s worth, Nevada has consulted with Roger Bolus, who regularly helps state bars think about licensing and cut scores, so that offers promise.)

Karen Sloan reports it as the “first-ever” open book bar exam. Open-book helps some (but not all!) of the security concerns. And the state board of bar examiners praised the open-book format as consistent with what “lawyers do,” looking up applicable law and answering problems.

Really, it’s a new twist on the “Performance Test” component of the bar exam. Such a test gives students a “closed universe” set of facts and law. Examinees answer questions based on these facts. Instead of rote memorization, the test more closely imitates what lawyers do. The new twist? Treat it like an open-book exam.

Most states have a part of their bar exam that looks like the Performance Test—indeed, the Multistate Performance Test is one the National Conference of Bar Examiners offers. But many states have trimmed back its use, and it’s certainly never replaced the bar exam. Why?

A nice piece by Stephen Klein in the Bar Examiner in 1996 summarizes some of these discussion around the Performance Test. Applicants like the test more. Recent lawyers who take the test perform well on it, unlike other components of the bar exam (where rote memorization has faded).

But, the correlation between the Performance Test, other essays, and the multiple choice MBE is high. True, the Performance Test is not extremely highly correlated with those other components. It’s more highly correlated with essays than the MBE. But the correlation between the MBE and essays is also not perfect. In short, all three are related, but they do appear to test different kinds of skills. For all three types of exams, “cross-cutting abilities” like “legal reasoning” appear to drive overall performance.

The Performance Test costs more to administer (like essays), because it requires more labor-intensive grading. It’s tougher to scale without the MBE component as a reference point for more consistent results.

Women tend to perform better on the essay and Performance Test components, so we might expect an essay-only exam to result in a different kind of outcome between men and women than tests that include both a multiple-choice component and an essay component. (There’s no material difference for race or ethnicity.)

So, why haven’t state bars moved toward the Performance Test? Obviously, cost, inertia, and the NCBE’s UBE format are some reasons today, but those can’t entirely explain it.

Instead, I suspect it’s two major reasons. First, state bar licensing authorities remain stuck to the notion that new lawyers need to "know” a number of content areas of the law. The New York State Bar Association, for instance, has pushed this point significantly in what would be a major roll-back to recent bar licensing portability. There’s an expectation that all lawyers simply need to know certain stuff. Memorization is a way to ensure they know it, even if it’s fleeting. And specific content areas being tested force applicants to learn that stuff.

I don’t know that really works the way licensing authorities intend. There’s little evidence that specific substantive law school courses translate into particular bar exam success. Applicants forget much of the memorization shortly after the exam. Many will never practice in most of the areas tested.

Second, if the Performance Test is already highly correlated to the memorization-intensive components of the bar exam, then what value is it really adding? We know that there’s a relationship between low bar exam scores and elevated ultimate attorney discipline rates. Whether that score comes through multiple choice, essays, a two-day exam, a three-day exam, and so on seems marginal. A lower-cost exam that’s more reliable with easier scaling of scores has been attractive to bar licensing authorities. (And, of course, the inertia with the NCBE.)

All this is to say, I’m a fan of the Performance Test on the whole. If we could have two tests, one that costs slightly more but more closely hews to what lawyers do and requires dramatically less memorization, with the present system, the reform seems like the much better bet.

Nevada’s experiment, I hope, will give some reassurance to other states that they, too, could look to alternative bar exam and bar licensing models. We’ll see how it all shakes out in the months ahead.

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Florida in 2019

This is the fifth in a series of visualizations on legal employment outcomes for the Class of 2019. Following posts on outcomes in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, and Illinois, here is a visualization for legal employment outcomes of graduates of Illinois law schools for the Class of 2019. (More about the methodology is available at the Pennsylvania post.) Last year's Florida post is here.

Florida’s report was quite strong last year but appears to have taken a step back this year. Total bar passage-require jobs dropped, from 1430 in 2018 to 1375 in 2019. J.D.-advantage jobs dropped, too. But there was also a 6% decline in total graduates (largely attributable to Florida Coastal), so the overall placement rate hovered around 74%.

As always, please notify me of any corrections or errata.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
3.3 University of Florida 91.2% 2.8 282 20 0 331 88.4% 258 24 1 320
2.2 Florida International University 88.8% 5.9 119 8 0 143 82.9% 109 12 0 146
3.1 Florida State University 85.9% 0.1 135 11 0 170 85.8% 150 18 1 197
2.2 Stetson University 79.0% -4.3 175 24 0 252 83.3% 168 21 0 227
2.8 University of Miami 78.5% -5.8 225 31 0 326 84.3% 249 36 0 338
1.6 Nova Southeastern University 66.4% 8.8 139 11 0 226 57.5% 109 17 0 219
1.2 Florida Coastal School of Law 65.2% 4.4 37 6 0 66 60.8% 94 19 0 186
1.5 St. Thomas University 63.6% -0.6 102 10 0 176 64.3% 111 6 0 182
1.6 Florida A&M University 53.5% 3.1 52 17 0 129 50.4% 52 14 0 131
1.2 Barry University 52.2% -15.7 83 13 0 184 67.9% 91 38 0 190
1.1 Ave Maria School of Law 48.5% -17.2 26 6 0 66 65.7% 39 7 0 70

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Illinois in 2019

This is the fourth in a series of visualizations on legal employment outcomes for the Class of 2019. Following posts on outcomes in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Texas, here is a visualization for legal employment outcomes of graduates of Illinois law schools for the Class of 2019. (More about the methodology is available at the Pennsylvania post.) Last year's Illinois post is here.

The market appears to be flat to slightly declining for Illinois law schools, in contrast to other states so far. Graduates fell from 1696 to 1604, and placement in bar passage-required jobs was essentially unchanged from 1162 positions to 1158. But J.D.-advantage placement and law school-funded jobs dropped off a bit, for a slight overall placement rate improvement from 82% to 84%.

As always, please notify me of any corrections or errata.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
4.6 University of Chicago 97.5% -0.5 189 2 6 202 98.1% 188 4 10 206
4.2 Northwestern University (Pritzker) 95.8% -1.1 208 22 0 240 96.9% 205 12 5 229
3.2 University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign 94.3% 2.3 107 8 0 122 91.9% 118 19 0 149
1.7 Northern Illinois University 86.7% 20.5 65 5 2 83 66.2% 43 8 0 77
2.6 Loyola University Chicago 84.3% -1.2 140 26 0 197 85.5% 119 46 0 193
2.3 DePaul University 79.8% 6.4 120 50 0 213 73.5% 126 40 0 226
2.6 Illinois Institute of Technology (Chicago-Kent) 78.9% -2.2 157 26 0 232 81.0% 149 39 0 232
2.1 UIC - John Marshall 67.1% -0.4 120 35 0 231 67.5% 151 33 1 274
1.6 Southern Illinois University-Carbondale 66.7% -0.6 52 4 0 84 67.3% 63 11 0 110

Eight questions I have about the summer/fall 2020 bar exam

In the midst of the many changes to the bar exam this summer or fall, here are eight things I’m watching with some interest and some open questions.

1. Online security and reliability. Some states have announced the move to an online test. I’m pretty skeptical that such plans can be built in such a short time (so is Professor Josh Blackman, and the authors of a white paper on the bar exam describe an online exam as “very risky”). The botched AP test administration this spring is just the latest confirmation of my skepticism. I hope states will be able to build something secure and reliable, but we’ll have to wait and see.

2. A new format for test-takers to learn. I think it’s fair to say that bar exam test preparation providers have crafted study programs designed to assist learning in a particular format: in virtually all states, essays and multiple choice covering particular topics. Now, some state bar exams are literally creating a new exam they’ve never administered before out of thin air, whole cloth, or whatever metaphor comes to mind—short essay, short answer, no multiple choice, etc. Indiana, for instance, now will create “short answer questions” on MBE topics. It remains to be seen how students will study for this new test, what materials will be provided to them ahead of time to understand for the format of the test, and whether test-prep companies can accommodate in a timely and effective fashion.

3. Scaling, equating, and pass rates. In most states that administer the Multistate Bar Exam, licensing authorities scale essay exam answers to the equated MBE results. To greatly simplify, it ensures that the test is measuring the same things year after year. But some states are creating their own tests this year. It will be impossible to do that, and I haven’t seen any good statements about what states plan to do except generic claims that they’ll ensure comparable scoring. Michigan, for instance, announced, “Experts will work with the BLE to determine an appropriate passing score based on results from previous July exams.” Nevada “will take all reasonable measures to address the reliability of an essay only exam.” It might be something as crude as making sure the pass rate this year looks similar to past years. Or it might result in a dramatic fluctuation in pass rates. It’s hard to say without seeing more.

4. Out-of-state bias. New York and Massachusetts have announced rules prioritizing in-state ABA law school graduates over others. (Utah accommodated a number of out-of-state law schools, but not all, in its “diploma privilege-plus” model.) It’s not clear whether litigation will follow, whether alternative accommodations will be provided, or whether other states will follow suit.

5. The limitations of the UBE and questions about reciprocity. As UBE states move away from administering a UBE exam this term, students who have increasingly relied on the UBE as a way of improving portability of their license or ensuring licensure in multiple jurisdictions will face a setback. It might be that some states will soften reciprocity requirements (which, I think, seems unlikely)—but, more likely, a cohort of graduates will simply be out of luck.

6. What will “supervised practice” really look like. Utah has the most at stake with supervised practiced as it transitions to a type of “diploma privilege-plus” model, where recent graduates at a number of law schools. But many other jurisdictions, like Ohio and New York, are also allowing graduates to engage in supervised practices. Experience in Canada and elsewhere suggests that such proposals tend to disadvantage first-generation attorneys (i.e., those without a family support structure to help supervise practice) and those with limited socioeconomic means. It remains to be seen how this plays out in practice. It’s also not clear how many graduates take advantage of them, or simply extend their bar exam study periods longer as the bar exam is pushed later.

7. Discipline rates. We know that attorneys tend to be disciplined later in their careers. We also have some evidence that lower bar exam scores correlate with higher ultimate discipline rates. To the extent that alternative exams or admissions practices are adopted, we wouldn’t expect to see much for a decade at least in terms of attorney discipline rates. So we can revisit this in, maybe, 2035 (!) to see if the standards this year changed anything.

8. USNWR fallout. While some have worried about whether law schools will meet their ultimate 75% pass rate for graduates within two years, I think that’s less of a concern—failing to meet the 75% ultimate pass rate means schools must justify to the ABA why they’ve fallen below and what steps they’re taking, and, if in 2022 some schools fall below and can point to the circumstances of the summer/fall 2020 bar exam, I think it would be a small problem for schools to explain non-compliance.

A bigger problem, I think, is the USNWR rankings. USNWR includes as one of its twelve components how a school did in its pass rate compared to the overall pass rate for the modal jurisdiction of its graduates taking the bar exam. It remains unclear how Utah’s new proposal, how novel scoring systems, how pass-fail policies in the last semester, or how increased disruption that may particularly affect law school graduates in, say, New York City will affect pass rates.

To be fair, bar passage rates are a very small portion of the overall formula. But another and larger component is employment statistics. As bar exam grading gets pushed back several weeks (in California, the goal will be to complete it by December 31!), it remains to be seen if a softer employment market coupled with delayed bar exam grading leads to weaker job figures for some schools as of March 15, 2021, the 10-month employment figure date.

Oral argument analysis: Will the Tenth Amendment make a comeback in the faithless electors cases?

A pair of faithless electors cases from 2016 have made their way to the Supreme Court. (Disclosure: I filed an amicus brief on behalf of myself in support of neither party here.) SCOTUSblog posts for Chiafalo v. Washington and Colorado Department of State v. Baca are here and here.

The Tenth Amendment argument unfolded in a curious way because of the Court’s new format of oral argument, where justices asked questions one by one.

The framing here is important before we get to the questions. In 1995, the Supreme Court decided U.S. Term Limits v. Thornton. That case held that states cannot add to the qualifications enumerated in the Constitution for members of Congress, because the Constitution fixes the qualifications and states have no power to add to them.

It was a 5-4 decision (written by Justice Stevens, joined by, among others, Justice Kennedy). Among the arguments rejected by the majority was that the Tenth Amendment empowered states to add qualifications. The majority, relying on the work of Justice Story and others, argued that the states had no reserved powers over federal elections, because there were no federal elections prior to the enactment of the Constitution. Instead, all state power over federal elections must come from an affirmative grant in the Constitution. I think that’s the right argument, as I lay out, in part, in Weaponizing the Ballot.

Justice Thomas dissented on behalf of four justices. He argued that the Tenth Amendment did include such a power. He lost, but still—he had four justices who agreed with him.

Fast forward to today. Justice Thomas asked Professor Larry Lessig, who represented petitioner Chiafalo in the first argument, about a reserved powers of the states claim. Washington did not raise a Tenth Amendment, Professor Lessig notes, but regardless the Constitution empowers electors to have certain discretion, which states cannot take away.

Questions when down the line until it reached Justice Kavanaugh, the most junior justice. He also raised the Tenth Amendment argument with Professor Lessig. Professor Lessig notes that Washington didn’t raise it, and there’s no tradition of state power to control presidential electors.

Now, this is a moment. Justice Kennedy had rejected the Tenth Amendment argument in Thornton. Justice Kavanaugh has replaced him and seemed receptive to the Tenth Amendment.

So, oral argument goes back to the top, to the Solicitor General of Washington. And on down the line until it comes to Justice Sotomayor, who takes the opportunity to push back on the Tenth Amendment claim. In a real-time argument, this would probably have happened when Justice Kavanaugh spoke. But she emphasized, “two of my colleagues” raised it, but Washington never did, and it seems a strange reserved power when states never knew they had it.

Then, on back to Colorado’s oral argument. Colorado did raise a Tenth Amendment claim. Justice Kagan pressed, “Why doesn’t Thornton foreclose that argument?”

So Justices Sotomayor and Kagan, in my view, were very much pushing back against the concerns raised by Justices Thomas and Kavanaugh (and, speaking with more speculation, specifically Justice Kavanaugh) on the Tenth Amendment.

Justice Gorsuch didn’t weigh in on the Tenth Amendment piece, but I want to highlight n.60 of a law review article he wrote in 1991 on term limits, expressly reserving addressing the Tenth Amendment question that would later be address in Thornton. Not that his former views would offer any insight, but, there, he did believe that term limits are a “manner” of holding elections and within state power. It’s unclear whether his views (or reserved views) from that day would carry over here.

A few other highlights from oral argument.

Limiting principles. It’s hard to overstate how many times the justices asked either side about limiting principles—do electors have unfettered discretion? Can states condition electoral appointments however they want? Both sides continued to exert fairly maximalist interpretations, in my view, rather than a claim more closely hewing to the facts presented. That said, it’s in part because the justices are looking for larger principles. But the frustration was palpable. Chief Justice Roberts asked about casting a vote for a giraffe, and Justice Thomas about a vote for Frodo Baggins. Pressing Washington about the limits of its power, claims like “the Equal Protection Clause” and the like were the boundaries. It’s hard to know if either side made much headway here.

Bribery. Professor Lessig made an important—and, I’m not sure entirely necessary—claim during argument, one that multiple justices later seized upon. If an elector was bribed, could that elector be removed? Only after a criminal conviction, Professor Lessig noted. That seemed a bridge too far for many members of the court, who seemed concerned that a bribed elector could still vote if the wheels of justice hadn’t moved swiftly enough.

Manufactured case. The justices at a few points wondered about Baca in particular as a manufactured case. Justice Breyer pressed both sides on the claim that Section 1983 did not allow a state to be sued, so why should a court hear the case? Both sides argued it was non-jurisdictional and how they wanted to strategically present the case. Justice Alito went a step farther, questioning Professor Lessig’s motivations in helping invite chaos in the 2016 presidential election.

Pragmatism. Many justices—particularly Justices Breyer, Alito, and Kavanaugh, but also in strains of Justices Kagan and Gorsuch—echoed practical concerns of two kinds. First, if a judicial decision would render significant uncertainty or unpredictability, perhaps that decision should not be issued—as Justice Kavanaugh put it, the “avoid chaos” theory of judging. Second, in the absence of very clear guidelines from the Constitution, perhaps the courts should just defer to the state judgment, which sometimes binds electors and sometimes doesn’t. Justice Kagan openly floated this possibility, as she seemed unconvinced by either textual or historical arguments, suggesting deference would be warranted.

In the end, there’s plenty of uncertainty in the two cases. And the justices have… six or seven weeks to sort it all out….

A quick look at the draft election law ACCESS Act, a part of the draft HEROES Act

H.R. 6800, the Health and Economic Recovery Omnibus Emergency Solutions Act, or HEROES Act, was recently posted. It includes the American Coronavirus/COVID-19 Election Safety and Security Act, or ACCESS Act. (That’s separate and apart from the $3.6 billion in funding for elections given to states.) I thought I’d break down its initial draft provisions relating to federal elections.

Section 160002: Requirements for Federal Election Contingency Plans in Response to Natural Disasters and Emergencies

States have 30 days to develop contingency election plans for natural disasters or infectious diseases, including providing equipment to protect the health and safety of poll works and voters, and to recruit poll workers from “resilient or unaffected populations.” That includes recruiting government employees, or high school or college students.

It includes a private right of action in addition to Department of Justice oversight, which invites individual litigation instead of, say, lodging review exclusively in a federal agency.

Quick take: On the whole, this is a fairly modest requirement that states should be thinking about anyway. I’m not sure allowing individual litigation is the best mechanism for enforcement, but maybe it won’t be significant, and maybe I’m wrong.

Section 160003: Early Voting and Voting By Mail

This section updates the Help America Vote Act of 2002 by requiring early voting at least 15 consecutive days before Election Day, including weekends. It anticipates this will look like in-person voting. It adds some details, like polling places should be “within walking distance of a stop on a public transportation route” where “practicable,” or in areas that “ensure” “residents of rural areas” have access.

It gives the Election Assistance Commission (“EAC”) new power: to “issue standards for the administration of voting prior to the day scheduled for a Federal election,” including “nondiscriminatory geographic placement of polling places.”

It also requires states to begin “processing and scanning ballots cast during the early voting period” before Election Day, but does not compel states “to tabulate ballots in an election before the closing of the polls on the date of the election.”

It would also expand absentee voting. State could not “impose any additional conditions or requirements on the eligibility to cast the vote in such election by absentee ballot by mail”—essentially, no-excuse absentee ballots everywhere. It forbids states from using identification requirements (photo or non-photo), and from requiring notarization or a witness signature for requesting a ballot or casting it. It includes a “due process” requirement in the event of a signature mismatch of an absentee ballot, giving a 10-day window to cure the problem—interestingly, to cure such discrepancy, either in person, by telephone, or by electronic methods.” A similar opportunity extends for lack of signature. States must also provide absentee ballots to be requested online.

In the event of a declared “emergency or disasters,” election officials must mail absentee ballots “to all individuals who are registered to vote in such election.” This rule would extend to the November 2020 election (by statute, independent of any declared emergency or disaster, due to the coronavirus).

Absentee ballots would need to be accepted by any state as long as they were postmarked on or before Election Day and received within 10 days after the election. It would also allow unlimited “ballot harvesting.” States would also need to institute a ballot tracking program.

It also adds a private right of action.

Quick take: Several states do not have early in-person voting. Many others do not have it for 15 consecutive days before the election. This would change how voting works in a number of states. It would also be interesting to see how the EAC would go about issuing early in-person voting standards—how broad or narrow, for instance, in scope. The EAC is a commission consisting of four members, two Republicans and two Democrats, so it requires bipartisan consensus to develop such standards.

It would also rather dramatically expand absentee voting opportunities and alter verification procedures, and it would turn an election into an effectively all-mail election during disasters (including all 50 states in 2020). It would expand ballot harvesting. These are non-trivial changes that, I think, will require some more refinement before a nationwide consensus could be reached—given that it would effectively override at least some election rules in the vast majority of jurisdictions.

Section 160004: Permitting Use of Sworn Written Statement to Meet Identification Requirements for Voting

Well, the title says it all. It preserves the requirement under HAVA that first-time voters who registered by mail must present identification.

Quick take: Many states have some form of identification requirement. Some that do also have a similar requirement as this proposed section. But, again, it would be a fairly significant change in a number of states. I should add that a statute like this (and a similar requirement up in Section 160003) might run afoul of the Elections Clause. States have the power to determine the qualifications of voters; there’s a plausible argument that includes the power to enforce qualifications, as the Supreme Court suggested in Arizona v. Inter Tribal Council of Arizona. In my view, laws like voter identification requirements and voter registration requirements likely pass constitutional muster as a component of the “manner” of holding elections, but I toss it out there as a potential complicating factor.

Section 160005: Voting Materials Postage

This section requires states to prepay postage for absentee ballots and include a self-sealing (i.e., one you don’t have to lick!) envelope.

Section 160006: Requiring Transmission of Blank Absentee Ballots Under UOCAVA to Certain Voters

Certain voters may request an electronically-delivered blank ballot (for an idea of what that “federal write-i absentee ballot” (FWAB ) looks like, see here). That includes those who haven’t received a ballot within two days of the election after requesting one, lives in a jurisdiction with an emergency declaration within 5 days of the election, excepts to be absent to help with an emergency, is or expects to be hospitalized, or has a disability in a state without remote ballot marking.

Quick take: While this expands some emergency voting opportunities, the FWAB is basically a blank piece of paper, and I wonder about expanding its use in these circumstances.

Section 160007: Voter Registration

This Section requires states to offer online voter registration (most do). It requires that the application “does not seek to influence an applicant’s political preference or party registration.” The Section also requires states to have “same day registration” and prohibits them from using more than the last 4 digits of a Social Security Number

Quick take: Again, the bill is a fairly large change for many states—about 21 states have same-day registration.

Section 160008: Accommodations for Voters Residing in Indian Lands

“Given the widespread lack of residential mail delivery in Indian Country,” this Section provides extra locations to pickup and return ballots and to register without a residential mailing address.

Section 160009: Payments by Election Assistance Commission to States to Assist with Costs of Compliance

Detailing how the $3.6 billion will be used.

Section 160010: Grants to States for Conducting Risk-Limiting Audits of Results of Elections

This is an interesting little section—it authorizes $20 million right now and more in the future to repay states if they conduct risk-limiting audits. It doesn’t compel states to do so, but allows them to receive money if they do.

Section 160011: Additional Appropriations for the Election Assistance Commission

Section 160012: Definition

This would define “Federal office” in the Help America Vote Act as “a general, special, primary, or runoff election for the office of President or Vice President, or of Senator or Representative in, or Delegate or Resident Commissioner to, the Congress.”

Quick take: I’ve seen this language elsewhere in the statute. It’s not clear to me how far federal power can necessarily extend in primary elections for President, but my assumption is this definition is designed to ensure U.S. territories must comply and can receive funding.

*

In short, there aren’t too many constitutional red flags to me in reviewing this legislation (exception potentially its application to presidential primaries and any overlap it may have with voter qualifications). But it does fairly dramatically alter a number of state practices, including practices that most states currently reject. Maybe it’s time for such a dramatic overhaul of elections—and to implement those new changes this November. But I think, if the ACCESS Act as a part of the HEROES Act becomes law, it will likely undergo some serious revisions to secure support of both houses of Congress and the President’s signature.

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Texas in 2019

This is the third in a series of visualizations on legal employment outcomes for the Class of 2019. Following posts on outcomes in Pennsylvania and Ohio, here is a visualization for legal employment outcomes of graduates of Texas law schools for the Class of 2019. (More about the methodology is available at the Pennsylvania post.) Last year's Texas post is here.

Total jobs, including bar passage-required jobs, improved significantly. Bar passage require jobs rose from 1366 to 1430, while J.D. advantage positions fell slightly. Total graduates also declined slightly. Job placement improved from 76% to 80%, including a few law school-funded jobs.

I typically don’t comment on particular school performances, but I imagine this one may receive some attention. I don’t make any assessment as to the quality of positions. Read the methodology for more—I use the employment placement figures that USNWR adopts, with some different ways of visualizing the data. Texas, for instance, placed 122 graduates into law firms with more than 100 attorneys, and another 34 into federal clerkships. Baylor is less than half the size and placed 16 & 9, respectively. Texas A&M is half the size and placed 10 & 4, respectively. And SMU is slightly smaller but placed 81 & 3, respectively. Again, this is one of many metrics one can use.

As always, please notify me of any corrections or errata.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
2.4 Baylor University 93.7% 4.7 116 2 1 127 89.0% 100 5 0 118
2.4 Texas A&M University 92.3% 10.4 107 13 0 130 81.9% 93 20 0 138
4.1 University of Texas-Austin 89.9% -2.9 255 6 6 297 92.8% 238 15 6 279
2.7 Southern Methodist University 89.1% 2.0 233 12 0 275 87.1% 192 17 0 240
1.9 Texas Tech University 82.2% -3.6 103 8 0 135 85.8% 125 8 0 155
2.7 University of Houston 81.0% -4.4 163 24 0 231 85.4% 171 22 0 226
1.6 South Texas College of Law Houston 72.9% 5.1 173 17 1 262 67.8% 160 24 1 273
1.6 St. Mary's University 72.9% 10.4 131 22 0 210 62.5% 129 11 0 224
nr University of North Texas Dallas 59.3% 1.4 56 11 0 113 57.9% 76 8 0 145
1.4 Texas Southern University 57.8% 9.2 93 7 0 173 48.6% 82 6 0 181

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Ohio in 2019

This is the second in a series of visualizations on legal employment outcomes for the Class of 2019. Following a post on outcomes in Pennsylvania, here is a visualization for legal employment outcomes of graduates of Ohio law schools for the Class of 2019. (More about the methodology is available at the Pennsylvania post.) Last year's Ohio post is here.

Total jobs, including bar passage-required jobs, improved significantly. Those bar passage-required jobs rose from 571 to 662. Total graduates also rose from 888 to 961. Job placement improved even with total graduates rising, increasing the placement weight in all these areas of employment from 76% to 81%. Four of Ohio’s nine law schools still graduated fewer than 100 students.

As always, please notify me of any corrections or errata.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
3.3 Ohio State University 87.5% -2.4 132 13 2 168 89.9% 134 14 3 168
1.7 University of Dayton 83.3% 7.7 58 12 0 84 75.6% 46 13 0 78
1.5 Ohio Northern University 83.0% 15.2 38 1 0 47 67.8% 34 6 0 59
1.8 University of Akron 82.2% 12.2 82 24 0 129 70.0% 65 19 0 120
2.4 University of Cincinnati 81.0% 1.0 86 12 0 121 80.0% 58 14 0 90
1.8 Cleveland-Marshall College of Law 80.7% -1.1 55 16 0 88 81.8% 65 7 0 88
1.9 University of Toledo 80.0% 5.9 49 15 0 80 74.1% 31 12 0 58
2.6 Case Western Reserve University 78.3% 5.3 99 12 1 143 73.0% 83 9 0 126
1.4 Capital University 67.3% 5.9 63 5 0 101 61.4% 55 7 0 101

Visualizing legal employment outcomes in Pennsylvania in 2019

Following up on a series of posts last year (and previous years), this is the first in a series visualizing employment outcomes of law school graduates from the Class of 2019. The U.S. News & World Report ("USNWR") rankings recently released include data for the Class of 2018, which are already obsolete. The ABA will release the information soon, but individualized employment reports are available on schools' websites.

The USNWR prints the "employed" rate as "all jobs, excluding positions funded by the law school or university that are full-time and long-term and for which a J.D. and bar passage are necessary or advantageous." It does not give "full weight" in its metrics to jobs that were funded by the law school. USNWR gives other positions lower weight, but these positions are not included in the ranking tables. And while it includes J.D. advantage positions, there remain disputes about whether those positions are actually as valuable as bar passage required jobs. (Some have also critiqued sole practitioners being included in the bar passage required statistics.) Nonetheless, as a top-level category, I looked at these “full weight” positions.

The top chart is sorted by non-school-funded jobs (or "full weight" positions). The visualization breaks out full-time, long-term, bar passage required positions (not funded by the school); full-time, long term, J.D.-advantage positions (not funded by the school); school funded positions (full-time, long-term, bar passage required or J.D.-advantage positions); and all other outcomes. I included a breakdown in the visualization slightly distinguishing bar passage required positions from J.D.-advantage positions, even thoug both are included in "full weight" for USNWR purposes (and I still sort the chart by "full weight" positions).

The table below the chart breaks down the raw data values for the Classes of 2018 and 2019, with relative overall changes year-over-year. Here, I used the employment rate including school-funded positions, which USNWR used to print but no longer does; nevertheless, because there are good-faith disputes, I think, about the value of school-funded positions, I split the difference—I excluded them in the sorting of the bar graphs, and included them comparatively in the tables. The columns beside each year break out the three categories in the total placement: FTLT unfunded bar passage required ("BPR"), FTLT unfunded J.D. advantage ("JDA"), and FTLT law school funded BPR & JDA positions ("LSF"). This year, I also added the total graduates. (My visualization is limited because the bar widths for each school are the same, even though schools vary greatly in size, and that means raw placement might be more impressive considering class size.)

Let me finally add that there are many other, and probably better, ways of looking at this data, including qualitative assessment of the types of jobs in each category. This is only a high-level look at eight select regions and the state of the entry-level legal employment market.

The first state is Pennsylvania (last year's visualization here). There were 1316 statewide graduates, a 6% increase over last year's class. The total placement rate among the graduates was over 90% (including a few school-funded jobs), a big jump over last year’s 82% despite a larger graduating class. Placement in bar passage required jobs jumped from 939 to 1082.

As always, if I made a mistake, please feel free to email me or comment; I confess there are always risks in data translation, and I am happy to make corrections.

UPDATE: Some figures incorrectly included both bar passage-required and J.D.-advantage jobs when they should have been separate categories. Those figures and the table below have been updated.

Peer Score School 2019 YoY% BPR JDA LSF Grads 2018 BPR JDA LSF Grads
4.4 University of Pennsylvania 97.6% -0.3 229 8 7 250 97.9% 216 12 10 243
2.5 Villanova University 93.8% 5.6 181 17 0 211 88.2% 127 15 0 161
2.2 Pennsylvania State - Dickinson Law 91.2% 3.9 45 7 0 57 87.3% 51 4 0 63
2.7 Temple University 90.7% 7.5 174 22 0 216 83.3% 161 13 0 209
2.2 Drexel University 88.8% 5.1 119 11 0 134 83.7% 95 13 0 129
1.8 Duquesne University 86.2% 6.2 78 16 0 109 80.0% 86 13 0 120
2.7 University of Pittsburgh 85.8% 14.0 89 14 0 120 71.9% 85 12 0 135
1.5 Widener Commonwealth 85.5% 23.3 60 5 0 76 62.3% 32 1 0 53
2.4 Penn State Law 80.4% 0.4 107 8 0 143 80.0% 86 13 1 125