Svoboda | Graniru | BBC Russia | Golosameriki | Facebook
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/adx/journl/v5y2023i2p132-145.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling The Effects of Climate Change on Food Production in Ivory Coast: Evidence from ARDL Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Lucres Imelda Ke-Tindagbeme Dossa
  • Muhammad Khalid Bashir
  • Sarfraz Hassan
  • Khalid Mushtaq

Abstract

There is a direct link between global warming and hunger in emerging West African nations like Ivory Coast, where the population is overgrowing, and food insecurity is rising. This work aims to examine and explore climate change's effects on agriculture production in Ivory Coast from 1990 to 2019. Various stationarity tests, including the Phillips-Perron (PP) and the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), are applied to determine the variables' order of integration. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach is employed to model the long- and short-run relationships between temperature, rainfall, carbon dioxide emissions, domestic credit, gross capital formation, and agriculture sector and subsectors. The present study uses the Johansen cointegration test to verify the long-run cointegration of the ARDL estimation. The findings reveal that all the variables are integrated into order zero or one. Cointegration tests demonstrate a valid long-term association between the variables. Agriculture and related subsectors in Ivory Coast were found to benefit from increasing temperature over the long run, except for the fishery subsector, where the impact is negligible. In the short run, temperature’s effect is positive on aggregate agriculture, although it is not statistically significant. Its effect is beneficial to agriculture's subsectors, except for fishery production. In both runs, Ivory Coast’s aggregate agriculture sector and fishery subsector are negatively affected by rainfall. An insignificant favorable effect of rainfall is found on crop production in both runs. The estimated results indicated that the role of CO2 is positive on agriculture and crop production in both run estimations. However, CO2 does not impact livestock production. It has a long-term positive influence on fishery production but no effect in the short run. Domestic credit is found to have a beneficial influence on agriculture and its subsectors in both runs, except for crop and livestock production, where the effect is negative and insignificant in the short run. Gross capital formation negatively impacts agriculture and its subsectors in Ivory Coast, except crop production, where it only has an insignificant beneficial effect in the short run. The same is true for fishery production, which only had a significant favourable impact effect in the short run. For the government and policymakers, the findings guide the formulation of suitable policies to address global warming's effects on agriculture and guarantee sustainable food production for the increasing population.

Suggested Citation

  • Lucres Imelda Ke-Tindagbeme Dossa & Muhammad Khalid Bashir & Sarfraz Hassan & Khalid Mushtaq, 2023. "Modeling The Effects of Climate Change on Food Production in Ivory Coast: Evidence from ARDL Approach," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 5(2), pages 132-145.
    • Handle: RePEc:adx:journl:v:5:y:2023:i:2:p:132-145
    DOI: 10.52223/jei5022302
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.52223/jei5022302
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.52223/jei5022302?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Olutosin A. Otekunrin & Oluwaseun A. Otekunrin & Barbara Sawicka & Piotr Pszczółkowski, 2021. "Assessing Food Insecurity and Its Drivers among Smallholder Farming Households in Rural Oyo State, Nigeria: The HFIAS Approach," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-20, November.
    2. Jerome Dumortier & Miguel Carriquiry & Amani Elobeid, 2021. "Impact of climate change on global agricultural markets under different shared socioeconomic pathways," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(6), pages 963-984, November.
    3. Olayide, Olawale Emmanuel & Tetteh, Isaac Kow & Popoola, Labode, 2016. "Differential impacts of rainfall and irrigation on agricultural production in Nigeria: Any lessons for climate-smart agriculture?," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 30-36.
    4. Hualin Xie & Yuyang Wen & Yongrok Choi & Xinmin Zhang, 2021. "Global Trends on Food Security Research: A Bibliometric Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-21, January.
    5. Adom, Philip Kofi & Bekoe, William & Akoena, Sesi Kutri Komla, 2012. "Modelling aggregate domestic electricity demand in Ghana: An autoregressive distributed lag bounds cointegration approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 530-537.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zewdie, Markose Chekol & Van Passel, Steven & Cools, Jan & Tenessa, Daregot Berihun & Ayele, Zemen Ayalew & Tsegaye, Enyew Adgo & Minale, Amare Sewnet & Nyssen, Jan, 2019. "Direct and indirect effect of irrigation water availability on crop revenue in northwest Ethiopia: A structural equation model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 27-35.
    2. Adom, Philip Kofi & Bekoe, William, 2012. "Conditional dynamic forecast of electrical energy consumption requirements in Ghana by 2020: A comparison of ARDL and PAM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 367-380.
    3. Adel Ben Youssef & Laurence Lannes & Christophe Rault & Agnès Soucat, 2016. "Energy Consumption and Health Outcomes in Africa," Post-Print halshs-01384730, HAL.
    4. Abdulazeez Hudu Wudil & Muhammad Usman & Joanna Rosak-Szyrocka & Ladislav Pilař & Mortala Boye, 2022. "Reversing Years for Global Food Security: A Review of the Food Security Situation in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-22, November.
    5. Eric Fosu Oteng-Abayie & Prosper Awuni Ayinbilla & Maame Esi Eshun, 2018. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Crude Oil Demand in Ghana," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(4), pages 873-888, August.
    6. Tomáš Hoch & Vincenc Kopeček & Jakub Kašpar, 2015. "Gruzie Mezi Evropskou Unií A Ruskem (Georgia Between The European Union And Russia)," Medzinarodne vztahy (Journal of International Relations), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 13(4), pages 347-364.
    7. Mompremier, R. & Her, Y. & Hoogenboom, G. & Migliaccio, K. & Muñoz-Carpena, R. & Brym, Z. & Colbert, R.W. & Jeune, W., 2021. "Modeling the response of dry bean yield to irrigation water availability controlled by watershed hydrology," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    8. Lee Lian Ivy-Yap & Hussain Ali Bekhet, 2015. "Examining the Feedback Response of Residential Electricity Consumption towards Changes in its Determinants: Evidence from Malaysia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 772-781.
    9. Amoako, Samuel & Andoh, Francis Kwaw & Asmah, Emmanuel Ekow, 2023. "Technological advancement, sectoral growth, and electricity consumption in Ghana," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
    10. Xi He & Miguel Carriquiry & Amani Elobeid & Dermot Hayes & Minghao Li & Wendong Zhang, 2022. "China's corn and biofuel policies and agricultural trade: Projections from an international agricultural commodity market model," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 970-989, October.
    11. Ölkers, Tim & Liu, Shuang & Mußhoff, Oliver, 2023. "A typology of Malian farmers and their credit repayment performance - An unsupervised machine learning approach," 97th Annual Conference, March 27-29, 2023, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 334547, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
    12. Kivyiro, Pendo & Arminen, Heli, 2014. "Carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption, economic growth, and foreign direct investment: Causality analysis for Sub-Saharan Africa," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 595-606.
    13. Tiangui Lv & Li Wang & Hualin Xie & Xinmin Zhang & Yanwei Zhang, 2021. "Exploring the Global Research Trends of Land Use Planning Based on a Bibliometric Analysis: Current Status and Future Prospects," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-19, March.
    14. Muhammad Kamran Khan & Jian-Zhou Teng & Javed Pervaiz & Sunil Kumar Chaudhary, 2017. "Nexuses between Economic Factors and Stock Returns in China," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(9), pages 182-191, September.
    15. Paul Adjei Kwakwa & Solomon Aboagye, 2014. "Energy consumption in Ghana and the story of economic growth, industrialization, trade openness and urbanization," Asian Bulletin of Energy Economics and Technology, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 1(1), pages 1-6.
    16. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-481 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Tuba Baskonus Direkci & Tuncer Govdeli, 2015. "The Relationship Between Electricity Consumption And Economic Growth In Oecd Countries: Panel Cointegration Analysis Under Cross-Sectional Dependence (Vzťah Medzi Spotrebou Elektrickej Energie A Hospo," Medzinarodne vztahy (Journal of International Relations), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 13(4), pages 382-398.
    18. Aisha Kolawole & Sola Adesola & Glauco De Vita, 2017. "A Disaggregated Analysis of Energy Demand in Sub-Saharan Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 224-235.
    19. Muhammad Usman & Gulnaz Hameed & Abdul Saboor & Lal K. Almas & Muhammad Hanif, 2021. "R&D Innovation Adoption, Climatic Sensitivity, and Absorptive Ability Contribution for Agriculture TFP Growth in Pakistan," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-18, November.
    20. Otekunrin, Olutosin Ademola & Otekunrin, Oluwaseun Aramide, 2022. "Exploring dietary diversity, nutritional status of adolescents among farm households in Nigeria: do higher commercialization levels translate to better nutrition?," MPRA Paper 114779, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Salisu, Afees A. & Ayinde, Taofeek O., 2016. "Modeling energy demand: Some emerging issues," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1470-1480.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:adx:journl:v:5:y:2023:i:2:p:132-145. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Iqbal Javed (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.scienceimpactpub.com/journals/index.php .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.