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Intergenerational Redistribution in the Great Recession

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew Glover
  • Jonathan Heathcote
  • Dirk Krueger
  • José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

Abstract

We construct a stochastic overlapping-generations general equilibrium model in which households are subject to aggregate shocks that affect both wages and asset prices. We use a calibrated version of the model to quantify how the welfare costs of big recessions are distributed across different household age groups. The model predicts that younger cohorts fare better than older cohorts when the equilibrium decline in asset prices is large relative to the decline in wages. Asset price declines hurt the old, who rely on asset sales to finance consumption, but benefit the young, who purchase assets at depressed prices. In our preferred calibration, asset prices decline 2.4 times as much as wages, consistent with the experience of the US economy in the Great Recession. A model recession is close to welfare neutral for households in the 20?29 age group, but translates into a large welfare loss of more than 8% of lifetime consumption for households aged 70 and over.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Glover & Jonathan Heathcote & Dirk Krueger & José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, . "Intergenerational Redistribution in the Great Recession," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:498
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Intergenerational Redistribution in the Great Recession
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2011-04-18 02:10:59

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    Cited by:

    1. Menno, Dominik & Oliviero, Tommaso, 2020. "Financial intermediation, house prices, and the welfare effects of the U.S. Great Recession," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    2. Xu, Shaofeng, 2016. "On the welfare cost of rare housing disasters," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 301-318.
    3. Geppert, Christian & Ludwig, Alexander & Abiry, Raphael, 1970. "Secular Stagnation? Growth, Asset Returns and Welfare in the Next Decades: First Results," MEA discussion paper series 201605, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    4. Aubhik Khan, 2017. "Large Recessions in an Overlapping Generations with Unemployment," 2017 Meeting Papers 1559, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Kimball, Miles S. & Shapiro, Matthew D. & Shumway, Tyler & Zhang, Jing, 2020. "Portfolio rebalancing in general equilibrium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(3), pages 816-834.
    6. Noëmie Lisack & Rana Sajedi & Gregory Thwaites, 2021. "Population Aging and the Macroeconomy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(2), pages 43-80, June.
    7. Krueger, D. & Mitman, K. & Perri, F., 2016. "Macroeconomics and Household Heterogeneity," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 843-921, Elsevier.
    8. Aubhik Khan, 2016. "Aggregate Fluctuations in a Quantitative Overlapping Generations Economy with Unemployment Risk," 2016 Meeting Papers 1468, Society for Economic Dynamics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset prices; Great Recession; Overlapping generations; Aggregate risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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