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Can Gun Violence be Deterred at Low Cost? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in New York City

Author

Listed:
  • Oludamilare Aboaba
  • Aaron Chalfin
  • Michael LaForest Tucker
  • Lucie Parker
  • Patrick Sharkey

Abstract

Can gun violence be deterred at low cost? We report the results of a randomized experiment of a messaging intervention which was designed to reduce gun violence among individuals under parole supervision with a prior violent felony conviction or firearm arrest. The intervention consisted of a group meeting in which high-risk paroled individuals were notified of the sanction they would face upon reoffending while being offered community resources to support re- integration into the community. The program did not lead to a reduction in gun violence or create community spillover effects but did reduce parole violations by 15%. Potential mechanisms and implications for similar programs are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Oludamilare Aboaba & Aaron Chalfin & Michael LaForest Tucker & Lucie Parker & Patrick Sharkey, 2024. "Can Gun Violence be Deterred at Low Cost? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in New York City," NBER Working Papers 32455, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32455
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    JEL classification:

    • K49 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Other

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