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Hyperglycemia is a strong predictor of poor prognosis in COVID-19

Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2020 Sep:167:108338. doi: 10.1016/j.diabres.2020.108338. Epub 2020 Jul 24.

Abstract

Aims: The objective of this study is to explore the association between documented diabetes, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and the clinical outcomes of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Methods: This retrospective study included 255 patients with COVID-19. Of these, 214 were admitted to isolation wards and 41were admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). Demographic, clinical, treatment, and laboratory data were collected and compared between ICU and non-ICU patients. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to explore the risk factors associated with poor clinical outcomes (ICU admission or death).

Results: There were significant changes in several clinical parameters in ICU patients (leukopenia, lymphopenia, elevated D-dimer, as well as higher levels of FPG, cardiac troponin, serum ferritin, IL-6, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein)compared with non-ICU patients. The prevalence of known diabetes was substantially higher in ICU than non-ICU patients (31.7% vs. 17.8%, P = 0.0408). Multivariable regression analysis showed that a history of diabetes [odds ratio (OR), 0.099; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.016-0.627; P = 0.014], high FPG at admission (OR, 1.587; 95% CI, 1.299-1.939, P < 0.001), high IL-6 (OR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.002-1.018, P = 0.013), and D-dimer higher than 1 mg/L at admission (OR, 4.341; 95% CI, 1.139-16.547, P = 0.032) were independent predictors of poor outcomes. Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that compared with FPG < 7 mmol/L, FPG levels of 7.0-11.1 mmol/L and ≥ 11.1 mmol/L were associated with an increased hazard ratio (HR) for poor outcome (HR, 5.538 [95% CI, 2.269-13.51] and HR, 11.55 [95% CI, 4.45-29.99], respectively).

Conclusion: Hyperglycemia and a history of diabetes on admission predicted poor clinical outcomes in COVID-19.

Keywords: COVID-19; Diabetes; Hyperglycemia; SARS-CoV-2.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Betacoronavirus
  • Blood Glucose / metabolism*
  • COVID-19
  • China / epidemiology
  • Coronavirus Infections / epidemiology
  • Coronavirus Infections / metabolism*
  • Coronavirus Infections / mortality
  • Diabetes Mellitus / epidemiology
  • Diabetes Mellitus / metabolism*
  • Female
  • Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products / metabolism
  • Hospitalization
  • Humans
  • Hyperglycemia / epidemiology
  • Hyperglycemia / metabolism*
  • Intensive Care Units*
  • Interleukin-6 / metabolism
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Pandemics
  • Pneumonia, Viral / epidemiology
  • Pneumonia, Viral / metabolism*
  • Pneumonia, Viral / mortality
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Blood Glucose
  • Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products
  • Interleukin-6
  • fibrin fragment D