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Attribution

LATEST IN ATTRIBUTION

Flood damage in northern Afghanistan.

Afghanistan’s ‘deadly’ early spring rainfall made twice as likely by El Niño

The extreme rainfall that hit Afghanistan, Pakistan and Iran in April and May this year was made twice as likely by El Niño, a new rapid attribution... Read More

Attribution | Jun 13. 2024.
Red cargo ship transits through Gatun Locks, Panama Canal.

Drought behind Panama Canal’s 2023 shipping disruption ‘unlikely’ without El Niño

A lengthy drought that caused widespread disruption to commercial ships passing through the Panama Canal in 2023 would have been “unlikely” witho... Read More

Attribution | May 1. 2024.
Young man works on a construction site in Nigeria on 6 February 2024.

Climate change made west Africa’s ‘dangerous humid heatwave’ 10 times more likely

The “dangerous humid heat” that engulfed western Africa in mid-February was made 10 times more likely by human-caused climate change, a new rapid... Read More

Attribution | Mar 21. 2024.
A person standing among the rubble from the Chilean “megafires”.

No ‘statistically significant’ link between climate change and Chile’s wildfires

Climate change did not have a statistically significant impact on the wildfires that hit Chile earlier this month, according to a new rapid attributi... Read More

Attribution | Feb 22. 2024.
A fisherman walks across a dry patch of land after drought in the marshes of southern Iraq, Dhi Qar province. Image ID: 2M9TRTP.

Climate change: Intensity of ongoing drought in Syria, Iraq and Iran ‘not rare anymore’

.shadeBg{ background: rgba(0,0,0,0.18); } High temperatures caused by climate change are driving an ongoing drought in the Middle East, accordin... Read More

Attribution | Nov 8. 2023.
A forest protection officer walks through an area of burned forest in Quebec, Canada, on 5 July 2023.

Eastern Canada wildfires: Climate change doubled likelihood of ‘extreme fire weather’

The unusually hot and dry weather that drove record-breaking wildfires in eastern Canada was made at least two times more likely by human-caused clim... Read More

Attribution | Aug 22. 2023.
People take shelter from the heat in Spain, on 12 July 2023.

Record-breaking 2023 heat events are ‘not rare anymore’ due to climate change

The intense heatwaves that have been engulfing the US, China and southern Europe in July 2023 are “not rare anymore” in our current climate, a ne... Read More

Attribution | Jul 25. 2023.
Emilia Romagna region submerged in water days after heavy flood, Ravenna, Italy.

Climate change had no ‘significant’ impact on northern Italy floods in May 2023

Climate change did not have a “significant” impact on the likelihood or intensity of recent “devastating” rainfall and flooding in a norther... Read More

Attribution | May 31. 2023.
A man is seen at a near-empty 'La Malagueta beach' during an unusual heat wave on 26 April 2023.

Western-Mediterranean heatwave ‘almost impossible’ without climate change

The extreme heatwave that swept across Spain, Portugal, Morocco and Algeria in April 2023 was “at least 100 times more likely” due to climate cha... Read More

Attribution | May 5. 2023.
Pastoralist Ali Hacho Ali looks at the carcass of his dead cows in Mandera region, Kenya, on 1 September 2022.

Deadly drought in Horn of Africa ‘would not have happened’ without climate change

Deadly drought in the Horn of Africa, which has left tens of millions of people without food, “would not have [happened] at all” without human-ca... Read More

Attribution | Apr 27. 2023.
Floods caused by Cyclone Gabrielle in Hawke's Bay, New Zealand.

Heavy rainfall from New Zealand’s Cyclone Gabrielle ‘more common on warmer planet’

Heavy rainfall events comparable to the intense downpour that hit New Zealand in February 2023 during Cyclone Gabrielle are four times more frequent ... Read More

Attribution | Mar 14. 2023.
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