Five risks to watch in Europe for 2024

EIU’s latest report dives into five risks that businesses should watch in Europe as uncertainty over the region’s political, economic and geopolitical outlook deepens.

These scenarios are all below 50% probability and are not part of EIU’s core forecast, but are important to monitor as they could significantly fracture operations, if they materialise.

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Risk scenarios covered in this report:

A Trump victory in the US forces Ukraine to accept a peace deal

Cyber interference disrupts European Parliament elections

The European economy experiences a hard landing

Extreme weather events severely disrupt supply chains

Rising debt levels trigger bond market jitters

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