Version 1
: Received: 26 February 2021 / Approved: 1 March 2021 / Online: 1 March 2021 (13:46:57 CET)
How to cite:
LOUNIS, M. Predicting Active, Death and Recovery Rates of COVID-19 in Algeria Using Facebook’ Prophet Model. Preprints2021, 2021030019. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202103.0019.v1
LOUNIS, M. Predicting Active, Death and Recovery Rates of COVID-19 in Algeria Using Facebook’ Prophet Model. Preprints 2021, 2021030019. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202103.0019.v1
LOUNIS, M. Predicting Active, Death and Recovery Rates of COVID-19 in Algeria Using Facebook’ Prophet Model. Preprints2021, 2021030019. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202103.0019.v1
APA Style
LOUNIS, M. (2021). Predicting Active, Death and Recovery Rates of COVID-19 in Algeria Using Facebook’ Prophet Model. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202103.0019.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
LOUNIS, M. 2021 "Predicting Active, Death and Recovery Rates of COVID-19 in Algeria Using Facebook’ Prophet Model" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202103.0019.v1
Abstract
The coronavirus disease pandemic 2019 (COVID-19) has emerged in Wuhan province, China in December 2019 and has spread over all countries. The current study was carried out to predict active, death and cured rate of COVID 19 in Algeria for a future period of 35 days using FB prophet model. Results shoed that the active rate and the death rate decrease for the next days while the cured rate increase. The active, cured and death rates are estimated at 19.7% 78.85% and 2.55% respectively. These results highlight the importance of FB prophet model in COVID-19 prediction which could help national authorities in adopting the best preventive measures.
Keywords
COVID-19; Algeria; FB Prophet model; Active rate; death rate; cured rate.
Subject
Computer Science and Mathematics, Applied Mathematics
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.