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Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Risk Assessment of Compound Dry-Hot events for Maize in Liaoning Province

Version 1 : Received: 12 June 2024 / Approved: 12 June 2024 / Online: 12 June 2024 (14:10:42 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Wang, R.; Zhang, X.; Cong, L.; Wang, Y.; Bai, X. Risk Assessment of Compound Dry–Hot Events for Maize in Liaoning Province. Atmosphere 2024, 15, 834. Wang, R.; Zhang, X.; Cong, L.; Wang, Y.; Bai, X. Risk Assessment of Compound Dry–Hot Events for Maize in Liaoning Province. Atmosphere 2024, 15, 834.

Abstract

Extreme climates such as droughts and hot extremes, may result in marked damage to crop yields and threaten regional and global food security. Maize is a major grain crop in Liaoning Province, severely affected by drought and hot events. The objective of this study is to advance an approach to estimate the risk of crop yield reduction under the compound dry-hot events (CDHE) in Liaoning Province. Results show that the ratio of stations experiencing compound dry-hot events during the twelfth leaf and maturity stage tended to increase on the time scale. On a spatial scale, the frequency of compound dry-hot events in central Liaoning Province was relatively low during the whole and various reproductive periods of maize. In addition to the twelfth leaf, western Liaoning Province is prone to compound dry-hot events. The high-risk area for the occurrence of the compound dry-hot events in maize is Chaoyang City, located in the western part of Liaoning Province, and the cities in the low-risk area account for about 64.3% of the total number of cities in Liaoning Province, mainly in the central and northern parts of Liaoning Province. Generally, this study emphasizes focusing on the impacts of compound dry-hot events on agricultural production and provides an index to assess the risk of compound dry-hot events on maize production.

Keywords

compound dry-hot events (CDHE); the yield reduction of maize; risk assessment; Liaoning Province

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology

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