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Yle poll: NCP set for most MEPs in Brussels

Things are not looking up for the Greens or the Swedish People's Party, according to Yle's latest voter sentiment survey ahead of Sunday's European election.

NCP leading in results of a European election poll from 6 June 2024.
Image: Dmitry Rukhlenko / AOP, Silja Viitala / Yle ja eduskunta, grafiikka: Nanna Särkkä / Yle
Yle News

The National Coalition Party (NCP) is Finland's most popular ahead of Sunday's European Parliament election, with 20.6 percent support, according to Yle's latest election poll.

The survey results suggest that Prime Minister Petteri Orpo's NCP would be the only Finnish party to secure four MEPs.

The second most popular party, the opposition Social Democrats (SDP), would get three seats with 19.4 percent support, according to the poll. With 16.5 percent support, the Finns Party would also win three spots in the European Parliament.

All three of these parties are likely to gain one seat, as is the smaller Left Alliance.

Jari Pajunen, the CEO of pollster Taloustutkimus, which carried out the survey, pointed out that much depends on the voter turnout among Finns Party supporters.

"That could be a decisive factor concerning the third seat," he said.

Based on the poll, the Greens would lose two of their three seats in the EU legislature while the Swedish People's Party would lose their single representative to the elected body.

According to previous estimates, at least six percent support would be needed to secure a seat.

Just over 2,100 people responded to the survey carried out between 29 May and 4 June. The margin of error is +/- two percentage points.

Yle News' All Points North podcast found reasons to be enthusiastic about the EU elections.

Listen to the episode via this embedded player, on Yle Areena, via Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

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