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Grayndler - Federal Election 2019

91.3% turnout, final figures

Labor retain
Anthony Albanese elected

0.5% swing to ALP

Preference estimate

Greens

Jim Casey

Vote: 33.7%

32,285

Labor Party

Anthony Albanese (MP)

Vote: 66.3%

63,529

  • Previously held by ALP with margin of 15.8%.
  • Anthony Albanese retains seat first won at 1996 election.

First preference

LaborLabor Party

Anthony Albanese (MP)

Vote:50.9%48,728
Swing: +4.8%

GreensGreens

Jim Casey

Vote:22.6%21,607
Swing: +0.3%

LiberalLiberal Party

Derek Henderson

Vote:21.8%20,846
Swing: -1.6%

Science PartyScience Party

Majella Morello

Vote:2.7%2,613
Swing: +1.4%

United AustraliaUnited Australia

Paris King-Orsborn

Vote:1.2%1,155
Swing: +1.2%

Christian DemsChristian Democratic Party

Gui Dong Cao

Vote:0.9%865
Swing: -0.3%

Animal JusticeAnimal Justice Party

-

Vote:0.0%0
Swing: -2.1%

Drug Law ReformDrug Law Reform

-

Vote:0.0%0
Swing: -1.2%

Socialist Equal.Socialist Equality Party

-

Vote:0.0%0
Swing: -0.4%

Aust Sex PartyAust Sex Party

-

Vote:0.0%0
Swing: -1.1%

Cyclists PartyCyclists Party

-

Vote:0.0%0
Swing: -0.5%

Renewal partyRenewal party

-

Vote:0.0%0
Swing: -0.6%
Informal Votes
4.3%
4,258
Total Votes
100,072

Sydney Inner-West

Very Safe Labor 15.8%v GRN

Post-Election Margin: Labor 16.3% v GRN

MP

Anthony Albanese (Labor) since 1996. Shadow Minister for Infrastructure.

Profile

Australia's smallest electorate at just 32 sq.km, Grayndler covers most of Sydney's newly formed Inner West Council. It includes the suburbs of Balmain, Birchgrove, Rozelle, Leichhardt, Lilyfield, Rozelle, Petersham Stanmore, Enmore, Haberfield, Summer Hill and parts of Newtown, Ashfield, Dulwich Hill and Marrickville. Once the home of Sydney's working class, this electorate's demography has been radically changed in recent decades, first by migration and more recently by gentrification. (Map)

Background

Grayndler was created on the expansion of the Parliament in 1949 and named after Ted Grayndler, General Secretary of the Australian Workers Union in the 1920s and 1930s.

Former members for Grayndler include Fred Daly 1949-1975, Tony Whitlam 1975-1977, Frank Stewart 1977-79, Leo McLeay 1979-1993, and Jeanette McHugh 1993-96.

McLeay moved to represent the neighbouring seat of Watson in 1993 after a cunning power play by left-wing power broker Anthony Albanese. When Graham Richardson resigned from the Ministry over the Marshall Islands affair in 1992, Albanese organised for Jeanette McHugh to replace him in the Ministry. McHugh's seat of Phillip had just been abolished in a redistribution, but being a Minister entitled McHugh to a seat. McHugh chose Grayndler, McLeay moved to Watson, and at the 1996 election McHugh retired to be succeeded by Albanese. Albanese was elected on his 33rd birthday, not so joyous an occasion for him as it coincided with the election of the Howard government.

In two-party preferred terms, Grayndler has remained a safe Labor seat, but increasingly Labor has been challenged in Grayndler by parties to its left. Albanese was first elected against a challenge from No Aircraft Noise, but the Greens have come to be his main opponent. The Greens finished second to Labor at both the 2010 and 2016 elections.

Past Election Results

Year Winning Party
1972 ALP
1974 ALP
1975 ALP
1977 ALP
1979By ALP
1980 ALP
1983 ALP
1984 ALP
1987 ALP
1990 ALP
1993 ALP
1996 ALP
1998 ALP
2001 ALP
2004 ALP
2007 ALP
2010 ALP
2013 ALP
2016 ALP

(Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.)

The Rise of the Greens

As with many other traditional inner-city Labor seats in Sydney and Melbourne, the last two decades have seen a decline in Labor's first preference vote and a rise in Green support. However, the high profile and vigorous campaigning of Labor's Anthony Albanese means that the trend from Labor to Green has not been as pronounced as in the Victorian seats of Batman and Melbourne.

Labor's first preference vote is still above 45%, and only in 2010 has the Green candidate outpolled the Liberal, though the Greens reached second place on minor party preferences in 2016. Since their breakthrough election in 2001, the Greens have had little impact in taking further votes from Labor.

First Preference Results 1983-2016

Past Results

Results 1983-2016

2016 Polling Place Results


(Click on polling place for more detail of result.)

2019 Candidates in Ballot Paper Order (6 Candidates)

Candidate Name Party
MORELLO Majella Science Party
HENDERSON Derek Liberal
KING-ORSBORN Paris United Australia Party
CASEY Jim The Greens
ALBANESE Anthony Labor
CAO Gui Dong Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)

More Information

Majella Morello (Science Party)

Majella Morello

Science Party

Morello is a lawyer with her own practice based in Sydney's inner west. She has clients that include high tech startups, not for profits, and families of all types. Morello states that from a very young age she has been motivated by a strong sense of justice, which is what led her to practice law.

Website

Derek Henderson (Liberal)

Derek Henderson

Liberal

Henderson was born in New Zealand, has a Bachelor of Psychology and a Masters of Transnational Crime Prevention, and in the past has worked in the hospitality sector and as a local gym instructor. For nearly 20 years, Derek has served as a Senior Constable with the New South Wales Police Force and with the Australian Federal Police. He is also involved in suburban rugby union and works closely with the Starlight Children's Foundation at charity boxing events.

Website

Paris King-Orsborn (United Australia Party)

Paris King-Orsborn

United Australia Party

Website

Jim Casey (The Greens)

Jim Casey

The Greens

Casey is a firefighter and long term labour rights activist. Born in Lithgow, he has been a local firefighter since 1997 and has served at both the Leichhardt and Balmain Fire Stations. For seven years Casey led the NSW branch of the Fire Brigades Employees' Union. During his time as State Secretary, the union saw wins including stopping the NSW Government's policy of temporary closure of local fire stations, and defending workers compensation for firefighters injured on the job. He is a founding member of the Firefighters Climate Alliance. Casey lives in Stanmore with his young family.

Website

Anthony Albanese (Labor)

Anthony Albanese

Labor

Universally known as 'Albo', 56 year-old Albanese replaced John Faulkner as left-wing Assistant General Secretary of the NSW Labor Party in 1989, from where he engineered the coup that saw Jeanette McHugh replace Leo McLeay as member for Grayndler at the 1993 election. Albanese replaced McHugh at the 1996 election, elected to Parliament on his 33rd birthday as Labor went into opposition. Albanese became a senior frontbencher after the 2001 election and in government after the 2007 election become one of the government's senior members with various combinations of Infrastructure, Transport, Regional Development and Local Government in his portfolio list. He also served as Leader of the Government in the House of Representatives, a difficult position in the life of the Rudd-Gillard Parliament. One of the few senior figures to oppose Kevin Rudd being dumped in 2010, Albanese also refused to move against Julia Gillard as Prime Minister despite his misgivings about her continued leadership. Albanese became Deputy Prime Minister and had Broadband added to his ministerial portfolio load after Kevin Rudd returned as Prime Minister. Albanese challenged for the Labor leadership against Bill Shorten after the 2013 election. He won a majority amongst the party membership but lost the ballot through the weighting applied to Parliamentary members who voted for Bill Shorten. He has been Shadow Minister for Infrastructure, Transport, Cities and Regional Development since the 2016 election.

Website

Gui Dong Cao (Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group))

Gui Dong Cao

Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)

Website

2016 Result (Post-redistribution)

Candidate/Party Party Primary % 2CP %
Labor Party ALP 46.1 65.8
Liberal LIB 23.3
Greens GRN 22.2 34.2
Animal Justice AJP 2.1
Others OTH 6.3

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