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Household & housing needs projections 2023-2040

20 March 2024

​Statistics Jersey has today published the latest household and housing needs projections report.​​​​ 

This report has been produced based on the latest population projections​ produced by Statistics Jersey. Projections for the total number and type of households are provided year by year up to 2040. The changes in household structures seen across the 2011 and 2021 census are used to inform these projections.

It is important to note that the projections are not forecasts and so will differ from the actual future outcomes to a greater or lesser extent. They assume that current trends and behaviour in respect of fertility, mortality, migration and household formation continue forward over the projection period. Changes to these assumptions will impact the results, therefore the findings should be considered an estimate based on recent trends to inform decision making. 

The report also uses the change in the numbers and types of households to provide an objective assessment of future housing needs over the projection period and includes breakdowns of the projected change in the numbers, type and size of dwellings. This assessment is based around the existing distribution of property type to households as observed in the 2021 census. It is based solely on the projected demographic change and assumes that the distribution of households to property type / size remains the same as was observed at the time of the census. ​

Read the full report.

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